What is the threshold for action, Afghans ask the world
In two months, it will be five years since the Taliban returned to power in Afghanistan.
During these five years, despite the overwhelming evidence and documentation of the Taliban’s treatment of the Afghan people, as well as their sheltering of regional and international terrorist groups, the world has not only failed to take any meaningful action to end the group’s rule, but some countries have also been working to normalize the current situation and recognize the Taliban as the legitimate governing authority of Afghanistan.
Russia became the first country to recognize the Taliban last year, China was the first to officially accept the group’s ambassador in 2023, and although Iran, Uzbekistan, Turkmenistan, Kazakhstan, India and Turkey have not formally recognized the Taliban, they have handed over Afghan embassies and consulates to Taliban representatives and established close working relations with the regime.
Pakistan, a country with a long history of supporting Afghan jihadist groups, initially believed that the Taliban’s return to power would serve its foreign policy interests in Afghanistan. However, today, Pakistan has shifted from being a supporter to an adversary and has itself suffered heavily from the Taliban’s rise to power.
Despite the apparent optimism reflected in the relations between some regional and international actors and the Taliban, concerns within their own security and intelligence institutions about the group’s rule have continued to grow. Beyond creating a deep internal crisis in Afghanistan, the Taliban’s return to power has imposed unprecedented security costs on countries across the region.
On the domestic front, the Taliban are reportedly imposing harsh conditions on the population, particularly targeting women and vulnerable ethnic and religious groups such as the Hazaras, Shiites and followers of Hinduism and Sikhism. Afghan women, in particular, have experienced extremely difficult conditions over these last five years. In this regard, Meryl Streep, speaking at a United Nations meeting on women’s rights in Taliban-ruled Afghanistan, said “A cat has more rights than women in Afghanistan. A cat can go outside, to parks or public spaces and feel the sunlight on its face, but women in Afghanistan do not have this right.”
Conditions for women are worsening day by day, as increasingly strict restrictions and regulations affecting women’s rights are announced by the Taliban.
In one recent case, reports claim that the Taliban have formalized child marriage. In a criminal code attributed to the group, slavery is also said to have been recognized and permission has been granted for husbands to beat their wives. In addition, a woman’s right to visit her father’s house has been made conditional on her husband’s permission.
In another recent development, the Taliban announced that women are required to wear a form of dress that they refer to as “Islamic hijab.” On this pretext, a large number of women and girls have been arrested across Afghanistan and many have reportedly been subjected to torture, humiliation and, in some cases, sexual assault during detention. On June 9, the Taliban, in the Hazara-populated district of Jabr-eil in the city of Herat, reportedly arrested Hazara women and girls on the pretext of enforcing hijab regulations. This action faced public resistance and a number of women and men held peaceful protests against what they considered a clear violation of women’s rights by the Taliban.
Shortly after these demonstrations began, a large group of armed Taliban forces reportedly arrived at the scene and, without any prior warning, opened fire on the peaceful protesters, both women and men. According to reputable media reports, at least two people, including a 12-year-old child, were killed and 22 others were injured. The Taliban then reportedly arrested a large number of women and men from the area, accusing them of what they called “rebellion.” As of approximately 40 hours after the protests, there has been no information about their fate.
The Taliban do not appear to feel moral responsibility when targeting Hazaras and Shiites and do not consider such actions unlawful. This is linked, in their view, to the notion that these communities are not “true Muslims” and are labelled as “Rafida,” with any form of pressure against them being considered, in their interpretation, justified or even religiously rewarded.
A local source told the author that during and after the attack on protesters in the Jabr-eil area, Taliban forces arrested a large number of local residents, including children under the age of 18, and subjected them to severe torture before transferring them to the group’s police authorities. Although some United Nations officials and human rights organizations have expressed concern over these developments, many people in Afghanistan believe that such condemnations have no real impact on changing the situation. The Taliban dismiss international criticism as the voice of opposition coming from “infidels.”
At the same time, in Badakhshan province in northeastern Afghanistan, the Taliban have reportedly arrested and tortured large numbers of local residents, alleging they were engaged in illegal gold extraction. They have also deployed nonlocal armed forces to the area and continue widespread repression of the local population. Meanwhile, companies linked to the Taliban are reportedly extracting mineral resources across Afghanistan, particularly in Badakhshan, and distributing the revenues among themselves.
Alongside these ongoing developments, Afghanistan is increasingly described as a safe haven for regional and international terrorist groups. Credible international reports indicate that at least 25 terrorist organizations are active in Afghanistan under the umbrella of the Taliban, and that due to the support and space provided to them, these groups are steadily increasing their military capabilities and manpower.
The Taliban have also been accused of leveraging all the capacities they have developed as a form of pressure on the international community and playing a double game. Using immigrants as tools of negotiation and engaging in a form of “hostage diplomacy” are described as key approaches in their foreign relations. At the same time, the group is said to exploit the humanitarian crisis it has contributed to creating, using humanitarian aid as a tool of rule, an instrument of control and repression.
Against this background, the people of Afghanistan are asking the world: How long and to what extent must the Taliban continue internal repression and support for terrorist groups before the international community recognizes the real scale of the threat?
In the view of the author, the current situation in Afghanistan has reached a point where it not only enables ongoing cultural, human and human rights violations on a daily basis, but also, in an increasingly undeniable way, creates the capacity for a disaster even larger than the Sept. 11 attacks to occur in another part of the world.
The BBC’s chief international correspondent was awarded the prestigious nonfiction prize for The Finest Hotel in Kabul – which she hopes will bring more attention to the Taliban’s draconian treatment of women
More than three decades later, it became the subject of her first book, The Finest Hotel in Kabul, which has now won the Women’s prize for nonfiction. But while the prize recognises a remarkable work of reportage and history, the BBC’s chief international correspondent is more interested in what it might do for the country that inspired it.
Photograph: PR
“Afghanistan has largely slipped from the headlines,” Doucet says. “Perhaps this win will bring some attention to the country. None of us should be ready to accept a situation in which we live in a world where there is a country where girls cannot be educated after they’re 16, where women cannot go to university, where women are barred from so many jobs. This is something we should all be angry about.”
Afghanistan was not ever thus. After nearly four decades reporting from the country, primarily for the BBC, Doucet, 67, has watched it pass through almost every political experiment of the modern era: Soviet-backed communism, civil war, Taliban rule, western-backed democracy, and now the Taliban again.
“I was conscious that Afghanistan has a very difficult and violent history,” Doucet says. “I needed to find something that would draw people in rather than push them away. I didn’t want people to close the book and say: ‘It’s too dark. It’s too bloody.’ So a hotel was a device to tell the story in a way people could recognise.”
The Intercontinental Hotel – known simply as the Intercon – offered the perfect lens to tell a people’s history of the country. Built by the British in the late 1960s, it was once a symbol of a different Afghanistan. In the 1960s and 70s, Kabul was known as the “Paris of the east”, a vibrant hub of fashion, jazz, miniskirts and apres-ski resorts. Afghan pop star Ahmad Zahir – known as the “Elvis of Afghanistan” – performed at the hotel; Gloria Gaynor was a guest. Foreign travellers passed through on the hippy trail.
As the following decades saw immense political upheaval, the Intercon remained open. “Politics, like hotel guests, checked in and out,” Doucet writes. “As Afghanistan lurched through decades of trial and terror, laced with bright but brief beginnings, the Intercon was an unbreakable constant.”
‘Politics, like hotel guests, checked in and out’ … Intercontinental Hotel in Kabul. Photograph: Theodore Liasi/Alamy
The hotel staff who remained through those changes are at the heart of her story: Hazrat, the housekeeper who worked there from the hotel’s opening; Abida, the hotel’s first female chef; Amanullah, the engineer; and Malalai, one of the first female waiters.
“I have to pay tribute to the Afghans who helped me and spoke to me for the book, because in Afghanistan even sharing stories can have risks,” Doucet says.
Doucet began her career in journalism as a freelance reporter in west Africa for the BBC. She went on to cover conflicts across the world, eventually becoming chief international correspondent in 2012. Her book opens with the fall of Kabul in August 2021, and the disastrous American withdrawal, which remains one of the defining moments of Doucet’s career. She recalls watching the evacuation from the airport: military transport planes, helicopters and Afghans carrying only one bag as they fled.
“There was this fear at the end. People kept talking about Vietnam – that image of the people clinging to the last helicopter rising from the roof of the embassy in Saigon,” she says. “In fact, it was a hundred times worse – Afghans racing to the airport, clinging to the underbelly of planes. It’s been a really traumatising experience.”
Since returning to power, the Taliban have systematically erased women from public life through a series of draconian measures. Girls have been entirely banned from secondary education and university, women have been forced out of many workplaces and banned from public spaces, and strict adherence to the burqa is required. Last month, an official decree was passed effectively legally recognising child marriage. And just this week, a rare protest that erupted in the western city of Herat against arrests of women accused of violating hijab rules ended with two people killed, including a child.
A member of Taliban security stands guard outside a mosque in Shahrak-e-Almahdi, Jebrail district of Herat province yesterday. Photograph: Mohsen Karimi/AFP/Getty Images
“Five years in and it is getting worse. It is a stain on our world,” Doucet says. “But the courage of Afghan women is extraordinary.”
Doucet is also frustrated that the barriers facing Afghan women go beyond those inside the country. “There are Afghan women getting scholarships, but there are no visas now to allow Afghan women to come and study in Britain and in many other places,” she says. “They are meeting obstacles everywhere. We live very privileged lives here, and it’s not our privilege to give up on Afghans.
“People who were somebody in Afghanistan – activists, world-class journalists – find themselves having to start again from scratch,” she continues. “It’s something none of us would want to do.”
Doucet believes, though, that the world must be careful not to dismiss the achievements of the post-2001 period. “People often say: what did 20 years of international engagement achieve? Was it all for nothing? I always say it wasn’t for nothing. There were many mistakes, but that period helped create the most educated, the most connected generation in Afghan history,” she says. “When you see girls saying: ‘I want to get online, can you help me get a scholarship, can you help me get some kind of education?’ … They know their rights now.”
“I’m a BBC journalist,” Doucet says. “My job is to explain, not advocate. But [some] mediators would say that it’s better to negotiate than isolate. The only change is going to have to come from within the Taliban.”
For now, there is little sign of change in the country. But Doucet is reluctant to surrender the quality Afghans themselves prize above all others.
“Afghans always used to say: the last to die is hope,” she says. “Afghanistan has possibly lived through every political system the world has tried – the thread through Afghan history is that nothing lasts forever.”
‘We can’t give up on Afghans’: Lyse Doucet on the remarkable ‘people’s history’ that won her the Women’s prize
For generations, the tradition of ashar – voluntary, unpaid communal labour – was one of the strongest expressions of solidarity in rural Afghan society. Whether harvesting a neighbour’s wheat, building a home or cleaning an irrigation canal, ashar bound together families, villages and tribes through reciprocal obligation. This tradition has sharply declined across much of southeastern Afghanistan in recent years, weakened by the monetisation of labour, mechanisation, migration and the slow unravelling of the social bonds that once made collective work both necessary and expected. In this report, AAN’s Sharif Akram examines what ashar used to mean to rural communities, why it is disappearing and what its decline says about broader changes in society in the Afghan countryside.
Afghan rural society has long been characterised by strong social bonds at multiple levels: the extended family, village, qawm (a close-knit group of interrelated families bound by shared patrilineal descent, larger than the extended family but smaller than the tribe) and tribe. People depended on one another not only in times of crisis but also in routine daily tasks. The paternal grandfather, brothers, uncles and male cousins – the tarburna (patrilineal male relatives) – formed the innermost circle of social obligation. Beyond that came the village. While a tribe may be a broad and dispersed category, the qawm functioned as the primary unit of solidarity and mutual obligation, sometimes spanning several villages, with a strong say in individual and family decisions. Members were present at funerals and disputes and equally at weddings, harvests and communal feasts.
While the customs that held these communities together were numerous, this report focuses on one – ashar, the tradition of collective voluntary labour, in which villagers contributed their time and effort, without payment, towards tasks that benefited either a single household or the community as a whole. Ashar was, in many ways, the material expression of qawmi solidarity – the understanding that communities, bound by proximity, kinship or shared resources, had obligations towards one another and that this went beyond their own household. It is associated with Pashtunwali (the customary code of honour and ethics for Pashtuns), but is not exclusive to it. Ashar is also, overwhelmingly, a practice whereby men contribute their time and labour to each other’s households or to the community.
The report examines ashar as it used to exist in rural Pashtun communities until quite recently, traces its decline and analyses what that decline means for the broader social fabric. It is based on in-depth interviews with 18 individuals across Khost, Paktia, Paktika, Ghazni and Wardak provinces, conducted during October and November 2025. Respondents were all men, but of all ages from young to old; they included tribal elders and village leaders who had witnessed the transition from collective to individualised modes of work.[1]
The term for ashar varies by region. In Khost, the word pagra is used, possibly derived from pa gada (together). In other southeastern provinces, ashar is the common term. In some Persian-speaking parts of southeastern Afghanistan, it is sometimes called wandi. Throughout this report, ashar is used, rather than local variations, except in direct quotes. In many of the quotes, interviewees use ‘people’ to refer to ‘men’; we have kept this in the translations.
What is ashar?
Ashar, derived from the Arabic word hashr, meaning gathering or assembling, is a form of collective, voluntary labour that members of an extended family, village, tribe or even a district carry out for each other or for a common cause. It operates on the simple principle of reciprocal obligation: when a family or community needs labour for a task too large for one household to manage, villagers are called upon to help. A household who helps others today can also expect the same support when their turn comes. This creates a cycle of mutual dependency that reinforces social bonds across households and villages.
Interviewees consistently distinguished between two forms of ashar. The first was household-level ashar, for the benefit of a single family. The most common occasions were agricultural: harvesting wheat, threshing grain, ploughing fields or transplanting rice. Families that lacked sufficient labour – widows, the elderly or households whose men had migrated – were typical beneficiaries, but the practice was not limited to the needy. In Khost, a 70-year-old respondent recalled that “pagra was also done for the village khans and maliks (the big landowners). Usually, the khan or malik had a lot of land. Villagers would bring out several pairs of oxen and turn the khan’s land and the khan would only provide them with food.” But when poorer families ran out of grain, the khan would reciprocate. Life, as the respondent put it, “went on well in this way, with mutual cooperation.”
Beyond agriculture, household ashar extended to building and repairing mud houses, gathering firewood from the mountains and preparing for weddings and funerals. In Khost, ‘wedding firewood ashar’ was common: young men would gather wood. As one interviewee from the province described it, “‘[Someone would] say: So-and-so is getting married, let’s do a firewood pagra for him. And we’d bring more than enough firewood.’” Women also participated in certain forms of ashar. Interviewees in Khost recalled calling village women to spread mud on the roofs of houses that were being built. In mountainous areas, women from neighbouring households helped one another carry firewood, with the favour returned the next day.
Calling men to household ashar was informal. The person in need would tell friends and neighbours the evening before or announce in the mosque or village hujra (a community guesthouse where male villagers gathered) that he needed help with a particular task. Participants arrived early, already dressed and ready for work. The only obligation on the host was to provide food – typically the most valued food such as shirwa (homemade ghee) and dandakai, a popular meal made of rice, dried yoghurt and meat in Loya Paktia.
The second form was collective or village-level ashar. The cleaning and repair of jui (irrigation canals) before the planting season and the construction of mosques, village meeting places, roads, small bridges and ponds were all done through collective ashar. Each household was expected to contribute one or two men; participants brought their own tools and food and the work was organised by village elders, the malik or the mirab (water master). When tasks extended beyond one village – maintaining a shared kariz (underground irrigation channel), for instance – the labour was distributed proportionally, usually by the number of households or the degree of benefit enjoyed by each village. Ashar is, moreover, an overwhelmingly male activity: the labour mobilised through ashar is almost entirely male and the social institutions that organise it are led by men. Women have their own parallel forms of ashar, helping other women with tasks such as gathering firewood or household labour, but these operate in separate networks. Due to cultural constraints, this research was conducted with men only, so insights into women’s ashar are almost existent.
This distinction matters because the two forms have declined at different rates. Collective ashar has proved more resilient for a straightforward reason: communal infrastructure, such as canals and dams, affects everyone’s livelihood directly. If the canal is not cleaned, nobody can irrigate. The incentive to opt out is therefore weaker. Individual ashar benefits only one household at a time, making it easier for others to decline.
The spirit of ashar
Ashar was not merely a labour arrangement. It carried a strong social dimension and was, in many forms, as much a social occasion as a working day. Interviewees across all provinces recalled that participants worked with genuine enthusiasm and sincerity, treating the task as their own. One elder from Khost put it this way: “It’s not like nowadays, where workers don’t do their best and only pass time in order to get paid. In ashar, everyone was working sincerely and with all his abilities, like working on his own task.” A village elder from Paktia said he had worked “for another villager in the harvest season even for three consecutive days,” which meant leaving his own fields unattended. This was not unusual; it was expected.
In Khost, agricultural ashar – rice transplanting and harvesting in particular – was accompanied by dhol (drums) and later by music played through tape players. A respondent in his forties recalled the range of occasions that once existed:
Before, there was hardly any need to look for an excuse [to carry out] pagra (ashar). There was pagra at harvest time, pagra when turning the soil, pagra when planting rice, pagra when making mud bricks for rooms, pagra when bringing firewood, pagra when storing wheat grain, chaff and fodder. The young men would gather; there was work, but there was also enjoyment.
Ashar in this sense was not just a way of getting work done. It structured the social year, giving young men regular occasions to gather, work together and eat together. A village elder from Khost said: “When work is done collectively, it is full of blessings and far more effective than paid labour. We have tested it many times: both the quality and the speed of collective work are far better.” An elder from Paktika linked it directly to social cohesion: “When the young men go to each other’s houses, eat with each other and work with each other, it strengthens the bonds and keeps them together and united.”
Participation in ashar was not legally enforced, but it carried strong social expectations, backed by one of the most potent sanctions in Pashtun society – the desire, even necessity, of avoiding payghor, or shame. To be subject to payghor, a concept deeply embedded in Pashtunwali, is to be publicly shamed for failing to meet a social obligation – an intensely painful experience in a society where honour and reputation are paramount. In the context of ashar, refusing to participate without valid reason brought not only payghor, but also risked exclusion from future communal support. According to one respondent from Khost, “in the past, if someone did not participate in pagra, it would be considered payghor and they’d feel ashamed.” Those who could not attend due to a genuine obligation would seek permission from the person calling the ashar; only then was their absence tolerated.
For village-level work, the consequences were sharp. One interviewee from Paktika explained it:
If you didn’t share in others’ work, you’d remain alone in your own tasks, with no one coming to help you. If you didn’t participate in someone’s funeral ceremony, then no one would come to the funeral of your relatives. And no one can handle something like that alone.
A respondent from Wardak described a more formal punishment: “If someone failed to attend community ashars, he’d be made to pay nagha [compensation] – providing food to all the ashar participants or something else that the village had decided upon.”
Ashar was, in this sense, also a governance mechanism. It provided one of the bases through which communities enforced conformity with local customs and nerkh (customary law). A Paktika elder put it plainly:
In the past, families and individuals [acting] alone were very weak and no one could survive on their own. Therefore, everyone was bound to abide by the norms and by nerkh. No one could move away from the customs and traditions in a village because, if they did, no one would help them in their ceremonies and agricultural work. This was something no one could afford.
A tribal elder from Paktia summed it up: “It was like an obligation – not in the sense that it was absolute, but the way society was woven made it obligatory for everyone to be part of it, or face isolation – and no one could afford that.”
The decline of ashar
Ashar has not disappeared entirely, but across much of southeastern Afghanistan it has sharply declined. Collective ashar – canal cleaning, mosque repair, road maintenance – survives in a diminished form, particularly in remote areas. But household-level ashar has, in many places, been replaced almost entirely by paid labour. A Khost respondent described the shift, including in forestry work:[2]
Speaking of individual pagra, most occasions for it no longer exist. No one does pagra for bringing firewood, because the mountains and forests are not like they used to be. Ploughing with oxen and harvesting with sickles is no longer done. Tractors do all this work now.
Even where collective ashar persists, it has weakened. The same respondent noted the paradox:
Previously, even though there weren’t so many tools and resources, the village roads, canals and dams were maintained very well. But now, despite so many resources, there are shortcomings. The canals and dams are not as clean as before. Even village roads are in a bad condition and nobody cares much.
A young man from Ghazni made a similar observation:
In our village, there used to be only five cars and two tractors. In the neighbouring village, there were three cars and three tractors. And in the winter season, we’d go out and repair the tracks right up to the asphalted road. However, in the last five years, people don’t gather despite the fact that now the number of cars has risen to fifteen and tractors to seven in our village and a similar number in the neighbouring village. And we use the damaged, muddy tracks. It’s like people have lost their ability to work together and solve a common problem.
Interviewees identified several interrelated factors behind this decline. These are best understood not as isolated causes but as mutually reinforcing changes. Among them, the most frequently cited factor was the shift from a subsistence to a monetised economy. In the past, rural households operated largely outside the cash economy. Labour was exchanged for labour and ashar was the only way to mobilise the hands needed for large tasks. As cash became more widely available and daily wage labour emerged, this changed. An elder from Paktia explained:
In the past, there was very little money and very few things were bought with cash. People were content with the life they had and didn’t desire too many things, which meant they were not money minded. But now, everyone is trying to earn as much money as possible. So, when one can find a paid labourer for 300 afghani a day, why would he work voluntarily?
Paid labour did not merely provide an alternative to ashar; it actively undermined it. The same neighbours who would previously have worked for one another now offer their services for a daily wage. One Paktia interviewee described this: “Ten years ago, I was helped by villagers through ashar, but now when I ask them, they say they need to do this or that, but when I offer them a daily wage, they leave their work and work for me – in return for payment.”
In Ghazni, one man in his 50s recalled a time when being paid by a fellow villager would have been considered shameful: “It was like a shame to work for a villager and then get paid. There were some year-round labourers who’d work in exchange not for money but for wheat. But for occasional work, it was a shame to be paid.” That this is no longer the case marks a significant change in the moral economy of rural life.
A Khost respondent described the shift from both sides: “Now perhaps neither side wants it – instead of calling people to pagra, a family considers it better to pay money and get the work done. On the other hand, people also think that instead of participating in pagra, it’s better to do some work and earn a living.” When both the person who needs labour and the one who might provide it prefer to use cash, ashar becomes redundant. An interviewee from Ghazni illustrated the problem: on one occasion, he had arranged with two villagers to help him with his harvest, but two days later, both told him they had been selected for a musisa (NGO) project where they would get 500 afghanis [USD 9] per day, “so,” he said, “they couldn’t come and work with me.”
Mechanisation and changing livelihoods
A second factor is mechanisation, which has eliminated many of the tasks which had once made ashar essential. Harvesting used to require dozens of hands. Now, it can be done by one or two men using a machine. Ploughing, once performed with shared teams of oxen, is done by tractor. Firewood is bought from urban markets. “In the past,” one interviewee from Ghazni said, “harvest would be done by hand. Now it’s done by tractor, which consumes fuel [which is not free, and has to be paid for], and many people bought [tractors] in order to make a profit from them.”
The scarcity of tools and equipment also created bonds of interdependence. A Khost respondent described this: “Previously, many families couldn’t afford two oxen. So, one family would buy one ox, another would buy another, and at ploughing time, their partnership was formed by bringing both oxen together.” When each family can afford their own tractor, a respondent from Paktia said, that bond dissolves:
The work that once took a hundred people to do is now done by a single machine. And a machine is purchased and has maintenance costs and people buy it to make a profit. So, it’s not logical to gather a hundred people to work for free for days on end instead of a machine that does the same work by itself, all in one day – and makes a return of a few thousand afghanis.
A third factor leading to a decline in ashar is the diversification of livelihoods, which has left men with less time for communal work and, in some cases, has dissolved the reciprocal logic that used to sustain it. Government and private-sector jobs and commitments (such as university and school) leave little room for all-day voluntary labour. As one Khost respondent said: “In the past, our people had no other occupation; there was only farming. Almost everyone was engaged in agriculture, so they were compelled to help one another. Now, alongside farming, there are government and private jobs and people are also increasingly busy with small businesses.” A young man from Wardak, a university student in Kabul, explained the problem in practical terms:
Now everyone is busy. There’s no time for ashar. I only go to the village once every two weeks and that too on a Friday. This is the story of most of our young [men]. And on Friday, there’s a lot more to do than participate in someone’s ashar.
The shift away from ashar also reflects a deeper structural change – the declining centrality of agriculture itself. As market goods have replaced household production, even in small villages, most essentials are now purchased rather than grown. Many young men have left for the cities or abroad in search of paid employment and the proportion of households sustaining themselves solely by farming has dropped sharply. That has eroded the economic foundation of reciprocal labour. When most families were farming, exchanging labour made practical sense; each household needed something from the others. Such logic no longer works in a diversified cash-based economy. Another young respondent made a broader point about the breakdown of reciprocity:
In the past, people were all doing the same things and there was very little to do outside the village. And they all lived in the village. Now, people aren’t doing the same as one another and they’re not able to help other people. I’m a shopkeeper. No one can help me with ashar because that’s not their profession. I’m not a farmer and I can’t help others with farming. The reciprocal nature of things is no longer there.
Migration, war and the erosion of authority
Decades of conflict have driven massive displacement and migration, both to Pakistan and within Afghanistan, especially to the cities. Culturally, it has exposed rural Afghans to different ways of life, where collective labour plays no role. A Khost respondent said:
In the past, people mostly depended on farming, but over time, and especially when they moved to other areas, they saw different types of business. This changed their old way of thinking and many launched different businesses as well as farming. And what’s more important, they found out that the same things they were doing for free could be transformed into a form of business.”
The wars that began in 1979 also damaged the structures of authority on which collective ashar depended. At the village level, ashar was coordinated by the elders, maliks and mirabs, whose authority rested on customary legitimacy within the qawm system. After the Soviet invasion, as Roussel and Caley documented, “[T]he leaders of the uprising, more often than not of religious background, rapidly, and sometimes abruptly, replaced the leaders of their qawm, the traditional notables who had survived the government purges, thereby creating a new social category: the militia chiefs.”[3] Commanders were focussed on military mobilisation, not on ashar, and the elders who had once called for ashar found their standing diminished. One interviewee described this transition: “The khan of a village was a person who held great authority. He’d call for ashar and everyone would be present. Later, the khans lost their influence and each person became wealthy, each a ‘heavyweight’[4] unto themselves.”
During the Republic era, even though the maliks lost influence and commanders and insurgents gained it, the Taliban in areas under their control did use their authority to impose a form of collective work, though not, according to interviewees, in the spirit of maintaining social solidarity, but to solve practical problems. A respondent from Wardak described this:
When the Taliban were in our area [before 2021], in the winter, they’d announce in the mosque that the tracks had to be cleared of snow or repaired. All the villagers would participate out of fear. The Taliban did this because their mobility would be limited on muddy or snowy paths and they’d use the villagers to clear them. But since the Taliban are gone [as insurgents and become a government], the villagers have cleaned and repaired the routes just once in four years.
Population growth has compounded these pressures, as a resident of Khost explained:
The land that a few decades ago was farmed by one or two members of a family is now shared among ten or twenty, while the land remains the same size! There’s now more than enough men and wasael [technological tools] to make households self-sufficient.
Smaller plots require less labour, reducing the need to call upon neighbours. At the same time, fragmented holdings have reduced the agricultural surplus that once allowed wealthier families to reciprocate ashar by distributing grain in lean times.
The role of international aid
One striking argument that emerged during the interviews was that international aid has played a role in weakening collective ashar. Aid organisations periodically provided financial support for maintaining infrastructure – dams, canals, headworks – something that had previously needed communal labour. A younger Khost respondent was direct about this:
In my opinion, international aid organisations weakened the spirit of collective ashar among the people. This aid caused harm rather than benefit, because [by paying locals for refurbishment work] it took away the spirit of voluntary labour from the people, but the assistance didn’t continue. So now, people wait in hope that someone will appear again and provide assistance in exchange for work.
A shift in mentality
Underlying all of these factors is a broader shift in attitudes, described by a Khost man in his 40s:
At one time, people’s mentality was such that they led highly social lives and participated with others in grief, in joy and in voluntary cooperation. Now, the mentality is that, instead of being highly social, one should become self-sufficient and meet one’s own needs without others’ help. At one time it was considered manly to cooperate with others or ask for their cooperation. But now it’s considered manly to meet one’s needs without others’ assistance.
This inversion is significant. In the past, a man who refused ashar would face payghor. Today, as the same respondent noted, “People take pride in saying, ‘I don’t participate and I meet my own needs myself.’” The sanction that once enforced collective behaviour has not merely weakened; what was shameful is now a source of pride.
A resident of Paktia in his fifties also described another aspect of this change in attitude:
When you tell people to come and help as ashar, they say they have this or that work to do. This doesn’t mean that in the past people didn’t have work. The issue is that in the past, they valued [ashar] to the extent that they’d leave their own work and help, because they knew they’d need that villager’s help in the future. But now, no one sacrifices their work for others.
A Khost respondent was lyrical about his sense of loss:
It’s true that in the past, resources were scarce and life was full of hardships, but the love and pleasure that was in that life doesn’t exist today, with all its abundance of resources. Because now, everyone is trying to rely on themselves only.
New forms of collective action: from labour to fundraising
While traditional ashar has declined, it has not vanished without trace. In some areas, a new form of collective action has emerged, particularly among younger Afghans who run businesses and are living in cities or abroad. Rather than contributing their labour, they contribute money. In some cases, a young man from the area posts on social media calling on friends and fellow villagers – often those working in the Gulf countries or Afghan cities – to donate funds for a shared problem. One respondent from Paktika described one example of how this worked:
The road that connected five villages to the district centre was very damaged. No one was there to repair it, including the government. One day, a very active young man from Zangikhel posted on Facebook and asked his friends who were from the same district and also had businesses in Saudi and Dubai to donate money so that the route could be repaired. 300,000 afghanis [roughly USD 5,000] was donated. Then one person took responsibility for speaking to a construction firm and the road was rebuilt.
A respondent from Wardak described a similar initiative: “In our area, the district school building was very old and wasn’t big enough to host the number of pupils enrolled. So, the young men decided to collect donations from the wealthy people of the area. They collected a good sum and repaired the school.”
These initiatives represent a significant type of community self-help, but the form is fundamentally different. In traditional ashar, men gave their time and physical labour and this was itself the social bond: they worked side by side, ate together and reinforced their relationships through the act of working. In the new form, the contribution is financial. It can be made from thousands of kilometres away, by someone who has not set foot in the village for months or even years. The work itself is contracted out to a construction firm or to paid labourers. The communal meal, the drums, the shared effort do not exist at all.
This means that, while the new form may solve practical problems, it does not replicate the social function that traditional ashar performed. It does not keep communities physically together; it does not create regular occasions for bonding, dispute resolution and norm enforcement that made ashar a mechanism of self-governance, as well as a labour practice. On the contrary, monetary contributions vary enormously with economic status, easily becoming a competition in generosity displayed, that feeds into family prestige and local prominence, drawing yet another dividing line between the wealthy, who can donate conspicuously, and the poor, who cannot. Several interviewees also raised concerns about the misappropriation of donated funds for personal gain, a problem that could not arise when the contribution was labour, rather than money.
The consequences of the decline of ashar
The losses described in this report go beyond the disappearance of a labour arrangement. Because the practice was embedded in a wider system of social obligations, its erosion has weakened the mechanisms through which rural communities maintained their internal cohesion, enforced norms and protected their most vulnerable members.
The most visible consequence is the loosening of the social bonds that held villages together. Ashar was one of the main ways by which people maintained good social relations, resolved tensions informally and enforced conformity with nerkh. When participation in communal life was the price of communal support, individuals had strong incentives to stay within accepted norms. With paid alternatives now available, that leverage has weakened. “These days,” said one interviewee from Paktia, “if someone doesn’t participate in ashar, he’s not concerned that tomorrow, his fellow villagers won’t help him because he can hire people for money. He doesn’t need his fellow villagers.” A respondent from Wardak, in his fifties, drew a sharp contrast with the past:
In the past, occasions like ashar kept people together. While some injustices existed, it was never to the extent of nowadays. In the past, when someone in a village was dealing with a problem or couldn’t do a task alone, the entire village was with him and would consider his problem as their own. Now, when someone is dying because of a problem, no one knows and no one helps because people have become scattered and don’t care about each other. This is why God’s blessings [barakat] have gone from our lives.
Many interviewees described this erosion in very concrete terms. One elder from Paktia said:
Life was very good at that time. In the entire village, if even one man was present and the rest were out of the village, that one man would take care of all the families and their needs. Nowadays, people can’t leave their own home for a day because nobody else cares what might happen to it.
Another interviewee, also from Paktia, described how a single tractor could serve an entire village:
In the entire village, if someone had one tractor, that would mean the whole village could benefit from it. Now, everyone has their own and when a few people don’t have one and want a fellow villager to lend them his, he says they need to pay for it or even refuses them altogether. That kind of behaviour was never expected in the past.
A third interviewee recalled a night when a villager knocked on his door because his wife was sick and four neighbours with cars had refused to drive them to the clinic. “I took her, along with him,” he said. A tribal elder from Paktia’s Ahmad Abad district described a broader change:
Rural areas and villages have become like the cities. People who once were living like one family now take pride in not interfering with one another. In the past, if a child did something wrong, every elder in the village had the right to correct him, or even beat him and the parents of that child would be happy that the villagers had corrected their son. But now, when you tell someone not to do this or that they did something wrong, his family protests and says this is not your business.
An elder from Ghazni described the cultural consequences:
In our village, young men are imitating the fashions of infidels and no one dares tell them not to. In our time, no one dared to come to the mosque not wearing a khwalai and patkai [cap and turban], but now very few people wear it. When you ask them why, they say: Are you feeding me [ie do I owe you anything]? Everyone is their own boss these days.
The elders interviewed typically couched this change mostly in cultural terms. They resented their loss of authority to discipline others’ children or enforce how others dress and behave. However, the trend they describe bears a broader connection to the decline of practices of mutual help such as ashar, which arguably originally came into existence because of communities’ interdependence and not because of patriarchal and gerontocratic control over society.
The erosion of collective life is also visible in the changing role of the hujra, which was once the centre of village social organisation – the space where decisions were made, disputes mediated, guests hosted and ashar organised. An elder from Khost said: “In the past, there might have been one or a few hujras in the village, but everyone treated them as their own. Now, every family has its own hujra and has acquired the means to host guests.” The shared hujra both depended on and reinforced collective life. Its replacement by individually owned guest rooms mirrors the replacement of ashar by paid labour: both represent the privatisation and fragmentation of what was once communal. But the shift is not only in practice, but also in aspiration. In today’s economy, every household wants to achieve the status symbols that only the wealthy could once attain – their own guest room and their own hired labour. Communal arrangements that once softened inequality now feel like signs of poverty rather than sources of solidarity. And it is the less affluent who lose most: they cannot fully achieve the new expectations. Yet the old safety nets that once supported them are gone.
Even participation in social events has changed. In Khost, a respondent described how grave-digging, once a task young men competed to perform, had declined to the point where “villagers have become worried that if this continues, there might come a time when no one would go to dig the graves.” The solution was to impose a rule: one person per household must attend. That a task once performed enthusiastically now requires compulsion illustrates the scale of the change. The same respondent described participation in communal life as having become “somewhat contractual,” for example, “People attend weddings only to avoid causing offence, not out of genuine solidarity.”
The consequences of neglecting collective maintenance can be severe. An elder described how floods had destroyed crops in two villages because a canal had not been cleaned for a decade, something another interviewee from Wardak described:
The main reason was that the canal [rod] was full of mud and dirt and no one had cleaned it in the last ten years. Such things were done, in our time, twice a year and therefore, when it rained, there’d be no problem. But in the past ten years, despite a lot of advanced technology, such as excavators and money, no one bothered to clean them out and the result was that the crops of the two villages were destroyed.
The decline has not affected all households equally. Wealthier families can hire labourers and buy machinery; for them, the loss of collective labour is manageable. For poorer households, the consequences are severe. In the past, ashar functioned as an informal safety net regardless of a family’s wealth; the village contributed labour for their harvest, construction or ceremonies. One interviewee described the new reality:
When you ask someone for ashar, he says, “I’m doing it on a daily wage basis, not as ashar.” And even in daily wage work, people don’t work properly and just want to stretch the task out so they can charge for two days. For a poor farmer, it’s difficult to pay such an amount of money.
An elder from Paktia explained that in the past, “men had no money and there were few men. And even if a household had more [men], they’d migrate for work, so no family could do their work alone.” A farmer from Khost described the costs of not being able to rely on ashar: “I grow beans on my land and from sowing until the harvest is done, I hire three men on a daily wage to help me for seven days. They take a good amount of money from me. Now, the costs are very high. I remember in the past, no one hired anyone and that money was saved as profit.” The disappearance of this safety net has made the poor poorer and the rich richer.
Tribal structures and village principles have weakened accordingly. One Khost elder observed, “Some young men even take pride in not being bound by these things.” A younger respondent similarly said that, “Now, anyone can build a house on their own, plant an orchard on their own and carry out farming and animal husbandry on their own.” This self-sufficiency might, in material terms, be thought of as ‘progress’, but interviewees consistently described it as a loss. The same young man added, “Today’s young men prefer to do everything by themselves. But they don’t understand that the pleasure that was in the old traditions and in cooperating with one another – it no longer exists.” Self-sufficiency, as one Khost elder noted, comes at a cost: “This situation has filled life with stress and confusion.”
Conclusion
The decline of ashar is not a simple story of modernisation replacing tradition. It is the result of several interacting pressures that reinforce one another, progressively dismantling the conditions that once made collective labour both necessary and natural.
What is lost is more than a labour practice. Ashar was a mechanism of social cohesion, an informal safety net, a tool of local governance, backed by the powerful sanction of payghor, and a source of communal identity. Its decline has weakened bonds between households, undermined the enforcement of nerkh, disproportionately harmed the poorest families and accelerated a rise in individualism that many communities view with ambivalence.
Yet the picture is not entirely bleak. Collective ashar survives in many areas, sustained by the simple logic that if the canal is not cleaned, nobody eats. In Khost, harvest ashar has found an unexpected afterlife among school students, who call on classmates for help and turn the work into a social outing. New forms of collective action have also emerged, with young Afghans abroad or in cities raising funds through social media for village infrastructure. These adaptations suggest that the impulse towards solidarity has not been entirely extinguished, even though the new forms do not replicate the social bonds that traditional ashar created.
It would also be too simple to read this decline purely as a tale of lost virtue. Some scholars have cautioned against romanticising rural Afghan solidarity, noting that “the cooperation and solidarity among rural Afghans assumed to be a community because they happen to live in the same place are at best limited.”[5] Ashar may have always been more fragile than nostalgia suggests and its decline may partly reflect the removal of the local power dynamics that compelled cooperation, rather than the loss of goodwill. What interviewees describe as a golden age was also, by their own account, a world of scarcity and constrained choices.
The decline of ashar offers a window into the broader transformation of Afghan rural society – the replacement of reciprocal bonds with transactional relationships, the growing stratification of village life and the tension between material progress and social fragmentation.
Edited by Fabrizio Foschini, Rachel Reid and Kate Clark
References
References
↑1
Because of the difficulty of a man interviewing women in the southeast, all the interviewees for this report were male.
↑2
The interviewee refers here to the significant depletion of Khost forests due to the felling of trees for fuel during the decades of conflict. The availability of alternative fuels, which are easier to access, though more expensive, has probably contributed to the abandonment of collective forestry work, but the weakening of local community control was not necessarily good for the state of Afghan woodlands, with unsustainable logging practices still carried out by individual traders or companies.
↑3
See Frederic Roussel and Marie-Pierre Caley, ‘Les Manteqas: Le Puzzle Souterrain de l’Afghanistan’, unpublished paper, 1994, cited in ACTED, ‘Review of the Implementation of the AGORA Methodology in Afghanistan under SRDP IV,’ Paris, ACTED, 2023, p3.
↑4
The interviewee literally said that everyone considered themselves a man, theseven kilogrammes unit of weight, used, for example, for measuring wheat and flour. He means that everyone has come to think of themselves as sufficient unto themselves, that everyone claimed authority and no one accepted the authority of the khan.
The pressures on Afghanistan’s environment are increasingly urgent as the climate crisis bites. Our last dossier of reports on this subject was published in November 2022 when Afghanistan – one of the lightest emitters of greenhouse gases and also one of the hardest hit by climate change – had no representation at the international COP27 gathering (because of the non-recognition of the Islamic Emirate). AAN has continued to pursue environmental reporting, looking not just into questions of climate vulnerability, but also, as featured in this new dossier, reports on drought and flooding, food security and water diplomacy, environmental pressures on cities, pollution, climate governance and conservation and biodiversity. Not all the reports are bleak, but many are, an indication of how grave and multiple the environmental crises facing Afghanistan are. Yet authors often provide suggestions of how to mitigate or adapt to avoid the worst, or even improve life.
A farmer surveys his failed rainfed spring wheat in Khwaja Sabz Posh district of Faryab province, where in 2025 there was nothing to harvest in 90 to 100 per cent of all fields. Photo: Hashim Azizi/FAO, 7 July 2025
Two themes run through almost all the reports in this dossier – the climate crisis and water. Many of the issues we have investigated are also cross-cutting. Nevertheless, for ease of navigation, we have organised this dossier around five broad topics.
The first group of reports concern water scarcity – drought and its repercussions for agriculture and for Afghanistan’s towns and cities, and disputes over transnational water resources.
The second section focuses on floods, looking at both why they are happening with greater frequency and severity and the consequences for the communities hit by them.
A third section gathers together reports which ask broader environmental questions: What is the economic cost of the climate crisis for Afghanistan? Can Afghanistan feed itself? and Can the Islamic Emirate engage in international climate diplomacy when it is not recognised?
The theme of the fourth section is pollution, of all types – air, water, waste and noise.
The fifth and final section takes a look at biodiversityand conservation and the efforts to monitor and protect wildlife in a country where such concerns almost always compete with more immediate political and economic needs.
Together, the reports in this dossier offer a picture of a country living with rapid environmental change and searching for ways to adapt. They show that environmental crisis cannot be viewed as a distinct sectoral issue. Questions of water, climate and natural-resource management are entangled with food security, livelihoods, agriculture, public health, urban development, regional relations and international engagement. While climate change and water, inevitably, remain the central themes running through this dossier, the many reports gathered together highlight that broader environmental concerns will, for many years to come, shape Afghanistan’s prospects.
Water scarcity
The reports in this section look at the interrelated challenges of climate change, water availability, agriculture and livelihoods. They show how drought, changing precipitation patterns and growing demand on the country’s water resources are affecting food production, urban households’ access to water and regional relations.
Water scarcity, once thought to be a problem only for Afghanistan’s driest provinces like Farah and Nimruz, is now gripping Afghan cities. Predictions that Kabul’s groundwater will be exhausted by 2030 have already made international headlines, but Kabul is not alone. In cities across the country, taps are running dry, wells are having to be deepened and government systems are collapsing under the weight of rising demand and institutional paralysis. Urban water supply has long sat on the margins of Afghanistan’s development agenda – underfunded, uncoordinated and poorly understood. With climate change accelerating and urban populations swelling, that neglect is becoming catastrophic. A crisis, decades in the making, is now unfolding in real time. Guest author Mohammad Assem Mayar discusses a key question in this, his latest report for AAN: Why are Afghan cities running dry and what can be done about it – before it is too late?
Kate Clark, 17 July 2025Afghanistan is bracing itself for its fourth drought in five years. For many farmers and herders, the drought is catastrophic: spring rains failed and with them, rainfed wheat and pasture in the rangeland. Even so, agroclimate experts are forecasting a surprisingly positive picture for Afghanistan’s staple crop, wheat. Winter wheat has done well this year, despite below-average rain and snowfall, thanks to the mass distribution of drought-tolerant seed varieties, which has boosted the national harvest. Even so, the famine watchdog, the IPC, has projected that more than a fifth of the population will face crisis or emergency levels of food insecurity in the coming months largely because of non-agricultural factors – the fragile economy, cuts to aid and endemic poverty. AAN’s Kate Clark has been hearing from farmers and finding that those hit hard by the drought are acutely anxious not only about harvests and herds, but also the many other shocks assailing their communities – the forced return of compatriots from Pakistan and Iran, cuts to public sector jobs and the cessation of United States’ aid.
The last few weeks have finally seen rain and snowfall in Afghanistan, raising hopes for farmers and herders that this year could be better than the last three drought years. Afghans typically categorise a drought year as one where the low amount of precipitation causes problems for agriculture – a poor harvest or crop failure or not enough grazing for livestock. At its worst, a drought also affects drinking water. The long-term future for Afghan agriculture is grim: scientists predict the global climate crisis will bring more severe droughts more frequently. But this year, AAN’s Kate Clark found, together with Ali Mohammad Sabawoon, Rohullah Sorush and Sayed Asadullah Sadat, farmers hope there might be enough rain and snow to, at least, avert another year of drought.
Mohammad Assem Mayar and Roxanna Shapour, 20 November 2023
Afghanistan and Iran have been at loggerheads for much of this year over the Helmand River and its water. As the region grappled with a punishing drought for the third year running, the two neighbouring countries have been locked in a tense melee over shared transboundary rivers. While Iran seeks to assert its rights over water from the Helmand River based on the 1973 Afghan-Iranian Helmand River Water Treaty, Afghanistan maintains that there is simply not enough water to provide Iran with a greater amount. AAN guest author, Mohammad Assem Mayar, and AAN’s Roxanna Shapour look into what has driven the recent upsurge in the long-running dispute over water between these two countries and provides insights into how their ‘water relations’ might develop.
Floods
Flooding, like drought, is becoming more frequent and more destructive as the climate crisis deepens. These reports explore both practical measures to reduce flood risk and the experiences of communities affected by this extreme weather.
In Afghanistan’s rugged landscape, floods arise from a multiplicity of causes: torrential rainfall, rain on snow, the rapid melting of snow due to warmer weather, glacial lake outbursts, the overflow of natural ponds or even the breach of dams. Regardless of their origins, floods can destroy whole villages, ruin farmland and change the very landscape. Almost a quarter of all casualties caused by natural disasters in Afghanistan are due to floods, with the problem only likely to worsen, given that the climate crisis is predicted to bring heavier spring rains and more severe monsoons. This spring, above-average precipitation brought an end to the multi-year drought that had plagued Afghanistan, says AAN guest author Mohammad Assem Mayar, but the considerable rainfall has also led to devastating flooding. In this report, he delves into what can be done to mitigate the risk of flooding in Afghanistan, both now and in the longer term.
A man walks along the edge of farmland submerged by the flash floods in the Khandaqa area of Zurmat district near the border of Ghanzi and Paktia provinces, Afghanistan. Photo: Sayed Asadullah Sadat, April 2024
The rain and snow that has fallen in recent weeks has eased the hearts of Afghan farmers and given them hope that the multi-year drought has finally ended. At the same time, heavy rain falling on dry, parched land has caused flooding in many areas of Afghanistan. Hundreds of people have been killed in recent weeks, homes and businesses have been destroyed and farmland inundated with floodwater and mud. In March, we spoke to farmers in different districts about their hopes for better weather this year. For this report, Sayed Asadullah Sadat has returned to one district, Zurmat in Paktia province, to hear how the longed-for rain has brought devastating flooding.
Broader environmental questions
In this section, authors try to answer some big questions, to do with harvests and food security, the economic cost of climate change and international climate diplomacy for a government which is not internationally recognised.
Afghanistan’s food system is under growing strain. Domestic harvests remain insufficient and uneven and trade routes have shifted repeatedly in recent years. This spring’s rainfall has been good enough for a forecast of a bumper wheat crop, but that belies the ruinous longer-term reality of the climate crisis and the more frequent droughts it is causing. Population growth, returnees and declining purchasing power have all deepened vulnerabilities in both rural and urban areas. In this report, guest author Mohammad Assem Mayar brings together spatial data on major crops – production, deficits and risks – to show where food is produced, where shortages are emerging and how external shocks – from regional trade disruptions to climate variability – shape the nation’s food supply. He also examines some practical options for increasing production, with a focus on water and irrigation.
Despite contributing minimally to global emissions, Afghanistan faces escalating economic and social crises from climate change. Climate shocks, such as from floods, droughts, landslides, avalanches and extreme temperature events, cause annual economic losses estimated between USD 550 million in a year where precipitation is ‘normal’ and USD three billion in a drought year – equivalent to between almost 3.2 per cent and more than 18 per cent of GDP. Yet, the country has not received the adaptation funds promised to the poorest countries, leaving it increasingly vulnerable to climate-related hazards. AAN’s guest author, Mohammad Assem Mayar,* has calculated the economic toll of climate change on Afghanistan, putting figures to the harm being done. This is a necessary step, he says. There are ways that climate funds could be given – despite the Islamic Emirate not being recognised – and the need for those funds to bolster Afghanistan’s resilience in the face of climate change is urgent.
The 29th UN Climate Change Conference, or COP29, which was hosted by the Republic of Azerbaijan, concluded on 24 November 2024 in Baku, with a delegation from the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan in attendance. This was the first time the Emirate had participated in a UN-organised conference on climate, but only as an observer. The invitation was extended to the Emirate by the host country and not by the United Nations. The Emirate’s delegation was led by the National Environment Programme of Afghanistan’s new Director-General, Mati ul-Haq Khales. The UN, for its part, invited two Afghan NGOs and a civil society representative to participate in COP29 side events. AAN’s former co-director Thomas Ruttig delves into what prompted this invitation, as well as examining Afghanistan’s climate-related challenges and the Emirate’s words and actions on climate change.
Kabul’s winters bring a suffocating haze, as residents burn coal, wood and even plastic to heat their homes and use outdated vehicles, releasing toxic fumes into the city’s dry air. However, perhaps surprisingly, the worst air quality in Afghanistan is found not in the capital, but in the southwest and north, where dust storms, made worse by climate change, blow in across the borders. Pollution is also not confined to the air. In urban areas, open sewage channels spread foul odours across city streets, badly kept septic tanks contaminate groundwater and rubbish piles up, uncollected. Noise adds another layer of disturbance, with vendors’ loudspeakers blaring by day and stray dogs barking through the night. These overlapping forms of pollution leave Afghans exposed to multiple hazards and reflect the decades-long failure of state institutions to provide basic services, particularly in urban areas. In his new report for AAN, guest author Mohammad Assem Mayar looks into the where and why of Afghanistan’s pollution crisis and lays out strategies for survival and mitigation.
Biodiversity and conservation
The final section of this dossier explores wildlife, conservation and environmental monitoring. The reports here highlight how environmental changes are affecting both the people of Afghanistan and its plants and animals, its ecosystems and biodiversity.
Waterbirds at Sardeh Dam, Ghazni province. Photo: Organization Rewild, 2026
The first survey of birds to be carried out by an Afghan organisation since the fall of the Islamic Republic has taken place. It was also the first time that Afghanistan has taken part in the annual International Waterbird Census, a global effort involving 189 countries. A volunteer team, including expert ornithologists, visited six wetland sites, all potentially important stopover sites on the Central Asian Flyway, the mass migration of birds that takes place twice a year, between winter feeding grounds in India/Pakistan and summer breeding grounds in Central Asia and Siberia. That migration had yet to start when the survey took place, but volunteers from a new Afghan conservation NGO, Organization Rewild, assessed resident and over-wintering birds and habitats in places that might provide a safe place for birds to stop and rest – or possibly not, writes AAN’s Kate Clark, given the dangers posed to them by hunters and the drying up of wetlands.
The cold weather marks the start of the hunting season in many countries across the world. In Afghanistan, despite a hunting ban, this time of year sees the resumption of particular hunting-related activities. One particular group of hunters – raptor birds migrating through the country – become the hunted. Every year, some are caught and sold, often abroad, to be trained to hunt other prey in turn. At this time of year, as well, foreign falconers, notably wealthy sportsmen from the Gulf endowed with special hunting permits, come to western Afghanistan in order to indulge their passion for falconry and hunt their most prized quarry, the houbara bustard – which has also become the objective of a Qatari conservation programme in the country. In this second and concluding instalment of a two-part report on falconry in Afghanistan, AAN’s Fabrizio Foschini examines the illegal export of raptors from Afghanistan, and also the hunting of and efforts to conserve the houbara in Farah province. He notes the ambivalent effects of this particular form of foreign intervention.
At present, China and Afghanistan do face new opportunities for trade and economic cooperation.
In March 2026, China released the Outline of the 15th Five-Year Plan for National Economic and Social Development, which states China’s firm and sustained commitment to expanding high-standard opening up, stepping up high-quality Belt and Road cooperation, and exploring new frontiers of cooperation such as green development, artificial intelligence, digital economy, public health, and agriculture.
Against the backdrop of global economic slowdown intertwined with daunting challenges, increasing uncertainties and looming instabilities, China’s planning for the future really brings valuable development opportunities for our friends in developing countries, with Afghanistan being definitely included.
Just a few weeks ago, a delegation of Afghan businessmen embarked on a trip to China, which took them to 3 cities, namely Yiwu, Hangzhou and Shanghai. They found themselves well exposed to China’s achievements and progress made in digital trade, renewable energy technologies, urban planning and so on.
They were all impressed by Yiwu’s dynamic network of international trade, Hangzhou’s thriving industries of innovative technologies, and Shanghai’s outstanding performance in running a modern mega-city.
Our Afghan friends on the trip told me that China has been so successful and remarkable in terms of delivering advanced infrastructure, growing digital economy and upgrading industrial sector, that China-Afghanistan practical cooperation in various fields is destined to enjoy broader prospects and an even more promising future.
At present, China and Afghanistan do face new opportunities for trade and economic cooperation. First, the two economies are highly complementary to each other. China possesses a complete industrial system, technological advantages, abundant pool of talents and a vast market, while Afghanistan is endowed with rich resources such as minerals and agricultural products.
Recent years have seen Afghan products such as pine nuts and dried fruits being exported to China, which gives China-Afghanistan trade a strong and firm basis. Since 2024, China has officially provided Afghanistan with zero-tariff treatment covering 100% of tariff lines. In 2025, the trade volume between China and Afghanistan reached a historic high of USD 1.89 billion, representing a year-on-year increase of nearly 20 percent.
Looking ahead, by further diversifying traded goods, expanding trade volume, and optimizing trade channels, China and Afghanistan are well positioned to register greater growth in trade.
Second, our two countries do enjoy better chance for quality cooperation in infrastructure and connectivity. Economic growth depends on convenient regional infrastructure connections and efficient logistics network.
China has been accumulating rich experience in delivering quality transportation and logistics services, which not only boosts China’s own development, but also injects dynamism into regional economic cooperation.
As far as Afghanistan is concerned, strengthening regional connectivity will certainly give rise to trade growth, hence helping ensure more job opportunities and better living standards for the people, not to mention improving regional cooperation.
Furthermore, as economic growth is increasingly being empowered by digital technologies, cooperation in such areas as new energy, urban governance and environmental protection is expected to reap more fruits.
Afghanistan is dealing with various challenges resulting from energy scarcity and waste management. In fact, China stands out as a helping partner since we are ready to share our technological know-how and best practices in realizing green development and optimizing urban governance. Through technology exchange and practical cooperation in the aforesaid fields, our two countries will open up new chapters of economic cooperation.
Having said that, what we have to always bear in mind is that, when it comes to securing a quality development, security is something that really matters. A sustainably secure and stable environment can enable a country or a region at large to better attract investment, promote trade and unleash potential in economic growth.
The Chinese side sincerely looks forward to our Afghan friends helping build and shape a secure, stable, facilitating and efficient environment for both economic development and business operations, which will surely, in turn, make foreign nationals more confident and comfortable to live, to work, to invest and to thrive in Afghanistan.
China stands ready to work together with our Afghan friends in well implementing the Global Development Initiative (GDI) proposed by H.E. President Xi Jinping, and promoting high-quality Belt and Road cooperation, so as to further deepen China-Afghanistan practical cooperation, share opportunities for development and contribute more to regional prosperity and stability, and the well-being of our two peoples.
Ambassador Zhao Xing of China to Afghanistan
OpEd: Openness & Cooperation: New Opportunities for Development
The EU must enact laws to stop gender apartheid and end impunity – not invite the perpetrators to Brussels. For Afghan women and girls it is a matter of survival.
The Taliban in Afghanistan recently arrested three of my family members, kept them in captivity, tortured one, and confiscated my house. It was to silence me. I was about to write to European diplomats to seek support for the release of my innocent family when I heard the shocking news that the EU is inviting Taliban officials to Brussels.
Meanwhile, the Taliban relentlessly issues regulations and laws making life harder and harder. In their recent penal code regulation, they legalised slavery, allowing men to enslave and punish women. In the latest regulation on the “separation of spouses,” they legalised girl child marriage in several articles, and continue to act with zero accountability.
As the first female deputy speaker of parliament in Afghanistan, before the Taliban took control, I hold consultations with women across the country to listen to their challenges. Recently, one pointed out: “We talk about poverty, lack of jobs and increased pressure by the Taliban to control every detail of our lives. These are important, but none of the oppressive policies toward women and girls will end unless the culture of impunity toward the perpetrators of gender apartheid ends. So why don’t we collectively discuss ending the apartheid that we all live in?”
Afghanistan is the most visible example of gender apartheid, defined as “inhumane acts committed in the context of an institutionalised regime of systematic oppression and domination by one gender group over any other gender group or groups and committed with the intention of maintaining that regime”. Codifying gender apartheid as a crime under international law would establish a clear legal standard to address systemic, state sanctioned repression of women, not only in Afghanistan, but wherever it occurs, recognising it as a crime, not a cultural exception.
Gender apartheid is not merely a political statement or a cause. For our sisters back home in Afghanistan, they feel apartheid every day. They live it and they carry its pain.
In the absence of defence lawyers, female judges, prosecutors and laws that protect women, we have no access to an official justice system. The recent Taliban criminal courts procedure regulation, signed by the Taliban leader on 4 January 2026, is another nail in the coffin of freedom for women.
The procedure divides society into four categories: religious scholars and first-degree people, the elites – such as tribal elders and merchants – the middle class, and the lower class.
Discretionary punishments, or ta’zir, differ according to these categories. Article 4, Part 5, delegates punitive authority to individuals, including husbands or owners, reducing the dignity of a human being to that of a commodity and institutionalising coercive control in a manner that violates international law prohibiting slavery, torture and cruel or degrading treatment.
Under the Taliban’s penal regulation Article 32, “If a husband beats his wife in a manner that results in fractures, wounds, or bruises, and the wife proves her claim before the judge, the husband shall be sentenced to 15 days of imprisonment.”
Article 70 of the regulation states that anyone who harms a bird or an animal may be sentenced to five months in prison. This legal disparity makes clear the intent of the Taliban toward women: a bird is better protected than a woman.
Afghanistan exposes a broad legal gap. The international system lacks a framework to prosecute the totality of such abuses; with it, similar patterns of institutionalised discrimination elsewhere can be addressed with equal force.
Discrimination and apartheid have worsened day by day. Afghanistan’s minister of higher education told journalists in 2024 that education is “not possible” for now, and that even asking questions about schools is prohibited.
In these circumstances, while trust in international institutions is declining, I urge EU member states to act: codify gender apartheid, end impunity, and stand with Afghan women and girls. As an immediate measure, countries should adopt laws based on universal jurisdiction and enact legal measures to address gender apartheid in Afghanistan. Closing this legal gap will empower action against comparable systems of repression globally. After addressing the human rights subcommittee, and the Delegation for Relations with Afghanistan of the European parliament alongside fellow former MPs and activists, I left with hope. I hoped policymakers understood the gravity of the human rights catastrophe in Afghanistan and the urgent need for meaningful action to hold the Taliban accountable.
For women and girls in Afghanistan, accountability and pressure are a matter of survival. Every day, they are erased from public life, silenced, imprisoned within their country and stripped of their most basic human dignity.
That is why, only a year after the EU-sponsored Independent Investigative Mechanism for Afghanistan was adopted at the UN Human Rights Council, seeing the Taliban welcomed on European soil feels like a devastating betrayal. It is a slap in the face to every Afghan woman and girl who has fought, suffered and resisted Taliban oppression.
Engagement without accountability risks legitimising oppression. It sends a dangerous message: that the international community’s promises to Afghan women can be abandoned for political convenience.
We do not need symbolic solidarity or empty statements. We need courage and commitment from those who claim to stand for justice. The human rights catastrophe in Afghanistan will affect the security of the region and beyond; it is just a matter of time.
Ending impunity for perpetrators of women’s rights violations is not a political act; it is a necessity.
Fawzia Koofi, the first woman deputy speaker of parliament in Afghanistan, is a former peace negotiator with the Taliban, and president of the board of Women for Afghanistan and a fierce champion of women’s rights.
A bird has better protection than an Afghan woman. Welcoming the Taliban to Europe is a slap in the face
Afghanistan’s food system is under growing strain. Domestic harvests remain insufficient and uneven and trade routes have shifted repeatedly in recent years. This spring’s rainfall has been good enough for a forecast of a bumper wheat crop, but that belies the ruinous longer-term reality of the climate crisis and the more frequent droughts it is causing. Population growth, returnees and declining purchasing power have all deepened vulnerabilities in both rural and urban areas. In this report, guest author Mohammad Assem Mayar* brings together spatial data on major crops – production, deficits and risks – to show where food is produced, where shortages are emerging and how external shocks – from regional trade disruptions to climate variability – shape the nation’s food supply. He also examines some practical options for increasing production, with a focus on water and irrigation.
Afghanistan has long struggled to produce enough food for its population, a challenge shaped by its mountainous terrain, limited arable land and highly variable precipitation, worsened by climate change. The country came closest to broad food self-reliance between the late 1940s and 1973, following the implementation of ten major irrigation and water management projects that expanded irrigated agriculture and stabilised production in key river basins.[1] These systems added 332,800 hectares of irrigable land and contributed to a period of relative food security in the 1960s, when the population was under ten million. This brief stability ended with the political upheavals and decades of conflict that followed, leaving the country once again dependent on imports and vulnerable to climatic shocks. Since then, Afghanistan’s population has reached an estimated 43.8 million in 2025 (UNFPA), with no systematic expansion of arable farmland.
Afghanistan’s food economy is defined by a persistent gap between domestic production and the population’s needs. Even in years of good rainfall, harvests fall short of national needs for nearly all staple foods, particularly wheat and rice. The country faces a multifaceted food crisis driven by the convergence of multi-year droughts, the devastating economic collapse following the 2021 political transition (World Bank),[2] the 2022 poppy ban and the forced return of 5.4 million Afghans from Pakistan and Iran since 2023 (UNHCR). These pressures are compounded by a decline in purchasing power across both rural and urban populations, leaving millions unable to afford basic staples even when markets remain supplied through imports. Meanwhile, a significant reduction in humanitarian aid since 2022 has widened this gap, removing a key safety net for millions of vulnerable households.[3]
Understanding the depth of this fragility requires looking at the structure of Afghanistan’s food economy. Afghan diets are heavily cereal-centric, with wheat providing most of daily calories for most households. This creates a ‘wheat gap’ – the difference between national demand (around 6.9 million metric tonnes) and average domestic production, which rarely exceeds 4.5 to 5 million tonnes. Agricultural production is uneven across regions. Irrigated northern and northeastern provinces serve as the national breadbasket, while the rainfed belts of the west and the northern highlands are frequently exposed to climate shocks, including recurrent droughts.
According to the latest Integrated Food Security Phase Classification (IPC) analysis, an estimated 17.4 million Afghans faced food insecurity, including 4.7 million at IPC Phase 4 (Emergency) levels during the most recent ‘lean season’ (November 2025–March 2026). Some seasonal improvement is expected between now and September, as harvests come in (the forecast was for 13.8 million in food insecurity, including 2.9 million at emergency level) and that improvement should now be even greater than predicted (as shown in the IPC projection for April – September 2026). The IPC’s first projection was carried out in October 2025, before good spring rains fell. Combined with the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan (IEA’s) poppy ban, that is pushing poppy farmers into wheat, the rain may mean Afghanistanrecording one of its largest wheat harvests in decades. Significantly, the rains were unusually well distributed, raising expectations of a strong rainfed wheat harvest for the first time in several years. The rain is also good news for farmers of other crops and livestock farmers.
Climate signals also point to a potentially favourable year ahead. A transition toward a strong El Niño in the Pacific is expected to bring above‑average winter precipitation and colder temperatures for Afghanistan, suggesting another year of good water availability for agriculture (if predicted conditions persist until spring 2027). However, this good news sits atop long‑standing structural constraints, especially those relating to climate change. It is already causing more frequent and more severe droughts.
This report addresses a central question: Can Afghanistan feed itself? This raises an important related issue – food security – whether all households in Afghanistan can feed themselves, given widespread poverty, weak purchasing power and uneven access to land and markets? As elsewhere, food security is shaped by broader social, political and economic factors, including who owns land, who has access to water and to capital, who controls trade and market prices and what social relations underpin farming and trade. National production alone does not guarantee food security.However, it does provide a useful starting point for analysing how Afghanistan’s food system functions and is the focus of this study. A second question is whether Afghanistan should aim for greater self-reliance in food production or continue to rely on food imports. Food imports are also vulnerable to economic and political shocks.
This report starts by mapping Afghanistan’s food deficit and explaining how it is measured. It then examines domestic production levels and the risks farmers face, before taking a detailed look at the main crops and meat production. It looks at the approaches taken by the Islamic Republic and Islamic Emirate to increase food production.
The report then briefly examines two other sources of food – imports and humanitarian food aid – and considers the problems both are facing. Finally, it ends with some practical measures to increase domestic production. Given the historical importance of irrigation, and drawing on the author’s expertise in water management, particular attention is paid to water as a key factor in increasing Afghanistan’s national production of food.
Afghanistan’s food production deficit
Afghanistan’s food deficit is most evident in staple foods, particularly wheat and rice, where domestic harvests consistently fall short of national requirements, even in years of good rainfall. Wheat and rice show the largest deficits, while fruit is the only category that produces a surplus. Table 1 summarises estimated demand and deficits for the main cereal crops based on the Ministry of Agriculture annual reports for 2024, 2023, 2022 and 2021. MAIL also publishes separate wheat and rice reports, including those for 2025, which are available here and here, respectively.
Table 1: Demand for agricultural products in Afghanistan (1,000 metric tonnes). Source: Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock annual reports
While these figures highlight the scale of the deficit, understanding them requires a brief explanation of how production is measured.
How is domestic production measured?
Mapping Afghanistan’s complex agricultural sector or its multifaceted food system is a formidable task. This analysis focuses on the main staples that form the backbone of the Afghan diet, locally called dastarkhan: wheat and flour, rice, maize, legumes, meat, fish, cooking oil, fruit and vegetables. It draws on data from the Annual Agriculture Reports published by the Ministry of Agriculture, Irrigation and Livestock (MAIL); the National Statistics and Information Authority (NSIA) annual Trade Statistics Yearbook, which provides official data on imports and exports; and United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) statistics.
Wheat production is estimated using a combination of satellite‑based mapping and administrative reporting. Each year, Ministry of Agriculture analyses Sentinel‑2 imagery (with 10-metre spatial resolution) to determine the total area planted with irrigated and rainfed wheat, using Normalised Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) signatures, a proxy for crop health, to distinguish crop cover from other land uses. To refine yield assumptions, remote estimates are combined with field‑level observations on crop condition, rainfall and pest damage from provincial agriculture departments. Total production is calculated by multiplying the estimated area by yield factors, which vary by province and by irrigated and rainfed zones.[4]
Rice production is estimated using a similar approach, but with greater reliance on irrigation mapping. Because rice is grown in flooded fields, satellite imagery can more easily identify rice paddies during the transplanting and peak vegetative stages, when spectral signatures are most distinct. Provincial agriculture offices submit production estimates based on field visits, which are cross‑checked against remotely sensed data, before national totals are calculated.
For other major crops, including maize (corn), legumes and fodder grains, the Ministry of Agriculture uses a lighter but consistent methodology. Satellite imagery is used to estimate cropped areas, although distinguishing these crops spectrally is more difficult than for wheat and rice. As a result, the Ministry of Agriculture supplements remote sensing with provincial reporting, which provides area and yield estimates based on local field inspections. Yield assumptions are anchored in the ten‑year baseline and adjusted for rainfall, irrigation access and reported pest or disease outbreaks. In the absence of nationwide surveys, the production figures are a synthesis of remote sensing, provincial reporting and historical baselines.
Domestic production: levels and trends
While Table 1 shows the scale of national deficits, Table 2 presents domestic production levels using the Ministry of Agriculture’s reporting for 2024, 2023, 2022 and 2021.[5] Much of the variation is driven by the weather: 2019 was a ‘wet year’, with above-average precipitation; 2020 was broadly normal; and 2021 to 2024 were affected by drought. In addition, the 2022 poppy ban affected wheat production in the subsequent years.
Table 2: Summary of the agricultural products in Afghanistan (1,000 metric tonnes). There is no data for the demand for potatoes and onions, although there are production figures. Source: Ministry of Agriculture annual reports
These production patterns cannot be understood in isolation, as they are shaped by a range of structural and climatic risks.
Risks to food security
Afghanistan’s food system faces a wide range of overlapping risks – from climate-related shocks to socio-economic vulnerabilities – that affect both production and access to food. Drought remains the dominant pressure, particularly in rainfed areas, but other shocks also play a role.
Fruit cultivation has proved more resilient than cereals and livestock. However, spring floods and flash floods regularly destroy cropland, orchards and irrigation infrastructure. While their impact may be small on the national scale, they can wipe out a household’s or a village’s annual food supply. Heatwaves and warm winters trigger early flowering, leaving orchards vulnerable to late frosts.[6] Hailstorms can also damage blossom and fruit in orchards – which are vulnerable because Afghanistan lacks protection nets – as well as other crops.
The livestock sector, which depends heavily on pasture, has been hit hard by climate change, with fodder shortages and periodic disease outbreaks forcing distress sales. Herd sizes have declined, especially in rainfed provinces such as Badghis, Ghor, Faryab and parts of the south.[7] Cold waves and colder-than-average winter temperatures also lead to livestock losses. For instance, livestock losses ranging from 70,000 to 200,000 in Ghor province from December 2022 to January 2023, according to the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO).
Locust outbreaks, particularly in drought years when the collapse of rainfed pasture creates ideal breeding conditions, have historically affected the northern provinces, but can spread into irrigated zones.
Meanwhile, the return, to date, of 5.4 million Afghans from Pakistan and Iran since 2023, combined with a high birth rate, means population growth continues to outpace food production. After the economic collapse in 2021, household incomes and purchasing power fell in both rural and urban areas, reducing the ability of millions of Afghan households to buy basic staples, even when markets remain well supplied. Trade disruptions, including border closures with Pakistan and global price spikes linked to the wars in Ukraine and the Middle East, have further increased the cost of food imports.
Taken together, these pressures create a food economy that is chronically stretched, structurally import-dependent and highly sensitive to both climate and market shocks.
Domestic production by crop
These climatic and structural pressures shape agricultural production in different ways across crops and regions. The following subsections examine Afghanistan’s major crops and meat production, focusing on harvests, deficits, regional distribution and seasonality.
Wheat
Wheat is the backbone of Afghanistan’s national food supply, dominating both cultivated land and caloric intake. Wheat is harvested from June (Jawza) to September (Sunbula), with the lean period stretching from February (Dalw) to May (Saur).
Wheat is grown in all provinces, but production is uneven, shaped by geography and water availability. Between 2019 and 2025 (1398-1404), annual harvests fluctuated between 3.8 and 5.1 million tonnes. The 2025 (1404) season yielded 4.54 million tonnes, a decline driven almost entirely by the collapse of rainfed (lalmi) production due to drought. While the geography of production has not changed and the irrigated wheat harvest in provinces such as Kunduz, Takhar, Baghlan, Helmand, Kandahar and Farah have remained relatively stable, rainfed harvests – especially in Badghis, Faryab, Jawzjan, Baghlan and parts of Takhar – have suffered from drought and erratic rainfall (Figure 1).
Figure 1: Wheat production by province, rainfed and irrigated (2021-23 average). Source: USDA
In wetter years, more provinces produce wheat surpluses (highlighted in green in Figure 2), while others, including Kabul, Daikundi, Bamyan, Nuristan and Panjshir (highlighted in orange), remain in deficit.
Figure 2: MAIL’s estimates of excess and deficit wheat production in 2019 and 2023 per province. Map by Roger Helms for AAN
In addition to the impact of drought, Figure 3 also shows how the 2022 poppy ban has reshaped wheat production: by 2023, most poppy fields had been converted to wheat, increasing the harvest, despite persistent drought, particularly in Helmand – previously the country’s largest opium-producing province – where, according to Alcis estimates, 98 per cent of land previously under poppy cultivation was instead sown with wheat.
Figure 3: Transition from poppy to wheat in Helmand province, before and after the ban. Source: Alcis
Rice
Rice is the second most important staple after wheat, with production relatively stable, ranging from 383,000 to 447,000 tonnes between 2019 and 2025. Cultivation is concentrated in Kunduz, Takhar, Baghlan, Nangrahar and Laghman. Together, they account for most of the national output, while provinces such as Sar-e Pul, Bamyan and Uruzgan contribute negligible amounts (Figure 4).
Rice is almost entirely dependent on irrigation, making it highly vulnerable to water shortages. Harvesting typically occurs from October (Mizan) to November (Aqrab), with shortages most visible in early spring and summer.
Both maps below (USDA on the left and MAIL on the right) show the provinces where rice is grown. The variation, which may be due to methodology, is negligible.
Figure 4: Rice harvest distribution across Afghanistan. The map on the left shows USDA’s estimates, the map on the right MAIL’s. Map on the right by Roger Helms for AAN
Maize
Maize is widely cultivated, primarily as a feed crop. National production has ranged between 185,000 and 385,000 tonnes in recent years. The strongest producers are Helmand, Kandahar, Balkh, Nangrahar, Kunar and Kapisa, while the northern highland provinces, such as Sar-e Pul, Jawzjan and Faryab, also contribute a little (Figure 5). Because maize is planted after the wheat harvest, it depends heavily on residual soil moisture and the availability of irrigation. Seasonal availability peaks in August and September (Asad and Sunbula), but shortages mainly affect livestock feed and poultry production, rather than household food security.
Figure 5: Maize production in Afghanistan. Source: USDA
Barley
Barley is typically planted in the same agro-ecological zones as rainfed wheat, meaning it faces similar drought exposure. Production fluctuates from year to year – ranging from 65,000 tonnes in 2021 to 190,000 tonnes in 2024, reflecting its concentration in drought-prone rainfed zones and its sensitivity to moisture stress. In provinces such as Badghis, Faryab, Jawzjan and parts of Ghor, yields can collapse in dry years. Barley plays an important stabilising role in both household consumption and livestock feed, particularly in years when wheat production declines. Poor harvests have cascading effects: reduced availability of animal feed increases pressure on already weakened herds, especially in regions where pasture degradation is widespread
The spatial distribution of barley, shown in Figure 6, using USDA estimates, shows the strongest concentrations in the northern and western rainfed belts.
Figure 6: Barley production in Afghanistan. Source: USDA
Vegetables (potatoes and onions)
Potatoes and onions are key staple vegetables grown for both household consumption and market sale. They are valued for their storability and role in bridging gaps in the lean season, from February to May (Dalw to Saur), when fresh produce is scarce.
Potato production is concentrated in the cool highland provinces – Bamyan (the country’s potato hub), Daikundi, Ghazni and parts of Wardak – where the climate favours tuber crops. Their high yield per hectare also makes potatoes an efficient crop for land-constrained highland communities.
Onion cultivation is more widespread but depends heavily on irrigation. Major producing provinces include Kandahar, Nangrahar, Balkh and Kunduz, supplying both domestic markets and Pakistan and India. Prices are seasonal, falling during the harvest months (Asad to Mizan) and rising in winter and early spring due to storage losses. Limited cold-storage continues to drive post-harvest losses, reducing incomes and contributing to price volatility.
Figure 7: Irrigated area and vegetable harvests in Afghanistan, 2021. Source: MAIL, English translation by the author
Legumes
Pulses, including chickpeas, lentils and mung beans, remain a small but nutritionally important component of agriculture, accounting for only a fraction of the national caloric supply.
Yields vary by crop and year, due to climate factors, pests and the size of the area under cultivation (see Figure 8 for 2021). Production is concentrated mainly in Balkh, Baghlan, Kunduz, Herat and Faryab provinces, with smaller-scale cultivation in the central highlands, mostly for local consumption. Pulses are typically harvested from July to September (Saratan to Sunbula), with market availability improving in early autumn. Their contribution to national food security is limited by both low acreage and the absence of large-scale processing.
Figure 8: Irrigated area and production of legumes in Afghanistan, 2021. Source: MAIL, English translation by the author
Oilseeds
Oilseed cultivation is scattered across irrigated zones in the north, northeast and south, with crops such as sesame concentrated in Nangrahar and parts of the north, sunflower in Balkh, Kunduz and Jawzjan and cottonseed in Kandahar, Helmand, Baghlan, Kunduz and Balkh.
For generations, households relied on dairy-based butter and ghee, or oil extracted from locally grown oilseeds. While these practices continue in some rural areas, most cooking oil is now imported. Domestic production from sunflower, sesame and cottonseed, along with small amounts of safflower, falls well short of national demand, making cooking oil one of the most import-dependent components of the Afghan diet.
Processing capacity is also limited. A small number of local factories produce oil from cottonseed and other oilseeds, particularly in northern provinces, although TOLOnews recently reported on a modern factory with a 200-tonnes-per-day production capacity in Kandahar.
Fruits
Fruits are a major source of rural income and – unlike cereals – consistently exceed domestic demand, making them a cornerstone of export earnings (Figure 9). Major crops include grapes, apricots, almonds, apples and pomegranates, produced across different agro-ecological zones, with grapes having the largest share of total fruit output, followed by apricots, almonds, apples and pomegranates (For the quantity and proportional share of each fruit in the various areas under cultivation, see the MAIL reports.)
Grape strongholds in Kandahar, Helmand, Herat, Balkh and Samangan are supported by established vineyards and raisin processing facilities. Apricot production is also substantial, particularly in the northern provinces and the central highlands. Fresh and dried apricots contribute to household incomes and export. Almonds, which show strong harvests in Kandahar, Uruzgan, Zabul and Samangan, remain one of Afghanistan’s most valuable horticultural exports. Apple production is concentrated in the cooler highland provinces, with Wardak, Ghazni, Bamyan, Paktia and Logar producing most of the national supply. Pomegranate production is strong in Kandahar, Helmand, Farah and Kapisa. It remains a major export commodity, with stable yields despite water shortages. Figs, peaches, mulberries and walnuts contribute smaller but steady quantities to the national fruit supply. These crops are important for local consumption and small-scale trade.
Melons, including watermelons, are among Afghanistan’s most widely consumed seasonal crops, with significant production volumes. Major melon producing provinces include Farah, Helmand, Balkh, Kunduz, Baghlan and Nangrahar, which supply markets from July to September (Saratan to Sunbula). Watermelons are grown under both rainfed and irrigated conditions and are therefore affected by drought. Afghan melons, particularly the Kunduz and Mazar varieties, are valued for their storability and sweetness.
While fruit production is relatively stable, storage constraints and water shortages affect quality and market access.
Figure 9: Irrigated areas and production quantities of fruits in Afghanistan, 2021. Source: MAIL, English translation by the author
Meat
Although MAIL appears to publish periodic livestock assessments, the author could access only one annual livestock report – for 2020 – which provided provincial estimates for major livestock categories (sheep, goats, cattle, horse, chicken and other poultry).
In the absence of consistent annual reporting, meat, poultry and fish production figures are often released through press releases or media reports. For example, Afghanistan produced an estimated 1.5 million tonnes of beef and mutton in 2021 (MAIL) and the country’s 10,000 poultry farms were producing a reported 1,700 tonnes of chicken meat per day in 2024 (Pajhwok).
Aquaculture is expanding, with more than 2,600 active fish farms in provinces such as Nangrahar, Kunduz, Balkh and Herat (Ariana News). However, fish consumption accounts for only a small share of the country’s protein consumption, and output remains below demand, which peaks in winter.
Availability is highly seasonal, with drought and pasture degradation reducing herd resilience, leading to year-to-year fluctuations, while winter months always bring tighter supplies and higher prices as fodder becomes scarce.
Mapping Afghanistan’s food deficits makes it very clear that the country cannot feed itself, but is there potential for it to do better? The following section considers government actions over the last quarter century which have aimed at increasing Afghanistan’s capacity to grow more of what it eats.
Government actions
State responses to Afghanistan’s food security challenges have evolved over time, reflecting changing political systems, institutional capacities and external support. The following sub-sections examine how successive governments have sought to increase Afghanistan’s food security.
Under the Islamic Republic
During the relatively stable period of the Republic (2001-21), the government introduced a range of strategies aimed at improving food production, nutrition and agricultural resilience, but was unsuccessful in closing food deficits. Most of these measures date from the Ashraf Ghani governments, including the Wheat Sector Development Strategy, the National Comprehensive Agriculture Development Priority Program (NCADPP), the Food Security and Nutrition Strategy, the Afghanistan Drought Risk Management Strategy, the National Irrigation Investment Roadmap, 2020-30 (seen by the author), alongside efforts to reform the Ministry of Agriculture to a more decentralised, farmer-oriented institution (as part of the ministry’s Comprehensive Agricultural Development Programme -archived on the Wayback Machine).
In parallel, the Republic-era Ministries of Energy and Water and Agriculture initiated a number of water infrastructure projects, including the Kamal Khan Dam in Nimruz province, Shah wa Arus Dam in Kabul, Pashdan Dam in Herat; the Zamin Dawar and Musa Qala Canals in Helmand province; diversion tunnels for the Bakhshabad Dam in Farah province, the Kama Barrage in Nangrahar province; the Shahi Canal in Laghman province; and the Qush Tepe Canal in Balkh province.[8] Progress, however, varied and the Kamal Khan Dam was the only major project largely completed before 2021, although several were later continued, some of them to completion, by the Emirate. While these projects have the potential to improve water management, their impact on expanding arable land has so far been limited.
Launched in 2017, the Afghanistan Food Security and Nutrition Agenda (AFSeN‑A) aimed to provide a multisectoral framework for addressing hunger and malnutrition. Its practical impact was limited, beyond aligning Afghanistan with the UN’s Sustainable Development Goals: 2 (Zero Hunger) and 17 (Partnerships). AFSeN-A effectively ended after the fall of the Republic, continues to influence the government’s reporting systems and UN programming (see for example FAO’s agricultural sector strategic roadmap, 2026–2028).
Despite all these plans, technical support and donor funding, little was achieved to actually increase food production during all the years of the Republic, a problem familiar in almost all sectors of the economy and government.[9]
Under the Islamic Emirate
Since 2021, the IEA has continued and completed several infrastructure projects initiated under the Republic, including Shah wa Arus Dam, (Amu TV), the diversion tunnels of the Bakhshabad Dam in Farah (Al Emarah) and work on the Pashdan Dam in Herat (The Diplomat), as well as phase II of the Qush Tepa Canal (Bakhtar). Smaller projects, including the Shahi Canal and several dams, remain under development or are focused primarily on drinking water supply, with limited impact on irrigation or agricultural expansion.
The Emirate has also moved to revive state‑owned grain infrastructure, including reopening government‑owned silos that had long been inactive (Hasht-e Subh). Wheat will be purchased during harvest and released later to help stabilise prices (The Kabul Times), although the scale of this initiative remains unclear. Official statements have also highlighted Afghanistan’s fast approach to self-sufficiency in poultry – 80 per cent in 2019 and, more recently, 99 per cent in 2025. According to a Ministry of Agriculture official, who asked not to be identified, the country is now largely self-sufficient in poultry but still relies on imported breeding stock. The Emirate has also started exporting sheep meat to Central Asia to curb the smuggling of lives animals to neighbouring countries and incentivise private-sector investment in livestock production.
Achieving major improvements in food production will be difficult. The Emirate is hamstrung in what it can achieve in terms of developing irrigation and other projects aimed at improving agricultural production. International aid has focused on humanitarian efforts since 2021 (for political reasons and a political impasse between donors and the Emirate, AAN).
The Emirate has limited resources to spend on development, partly because it concentrates funding on the security services. The March 2026 World Bank Economic Monitor reported that 48 per cent of spending in financial year 2025 (ending 20 March) went to the army, police and intelligence and just 1.6 per cent on agriculture (figures from the Emirate Ministry of Finance). The Emirate is now putting a greater portion of the budget into capital spending, rather than running costs (largely wages) and capital spending has tended to focus on water management projects, especially the Qush Tepa Canal. It is also increasing, albeit from a very low level.[10]
It is also worth mentioning that immediately on taking power, the Emirate introduced agricultural taxes – ushr (a tithe on the harvest) and zakat (a wealth tax, usually taken on livestock), which is collected by the Ministry of Agriculture and delivered to the Supreme Leader’s Office, ie it does not go into the general budget via the Ministry of Finance (in most Muslim countries, these are given as personal acts of charity, rather than taxes taken by the state).[11] While this measure may not affect national production, it may hit the food security of individual households and communities.
The next section looks in detail at one technological intervention as an example of how interventions can bring costs as well as benefits. The solar‑powered borehole is a relatively new technology that has spread rapidly across Afghanistan in recent years, without any push, or indeed, any control by the state, whether the Republic or Emirate. Greater state intervention here would have been helpful.
Agricultural expansion by groundwater and its limits
In recent years, unregulated solar-powered boreholes that extract groundwater at low cost have spread widely across the country, helping farmers cope with drought and expand irrigated agriculture.
Although their contribution to national production has not yet been systematically quantified, their output is already included in official production figures.
Figure 10: Groundwater extraction in Afghanistan. Source: FAO Afghanistan
In 2023, NSIA reported around 310,000 boreholes nationwide; FAO identified far more in 2025 – 489,314 solar-equipped boreholes in 32 provinces, indicating a sharp increase, particularly in 2023 (Figure 10).
The distribution of boreholes is highly uneven, with the largest concentrations in Helmand, Kandahar and Farah. In these areas, they have enabled the rapid conversion of previously uncultivated desert land into irrigated fields, much of which was used for poppy cultivation. Following the 2022 poppy ban, many of these areas shifted to wheat – a crop that requires more water but generates less income per hectare. The Alcis map illustrates the scale of land-use change for Helmand and Kandahar, showing large tracts of former desert (considered state property) now under surface irrigation (see here).
While this expansion has supported agricultural growth, it raises concerns about long-term sustainability. If groundwater is extracted faster than it is replenished, water levels drop, making such easy extraction a finite and ultimately counterproductive solution. Reports suggest this is already happening (Yale Environment 360), but comprehensive national data remains limited. There are reports of entire villages being abandoned in Helmand province’s Washir district and in Nawabad, Farah province, due to water scarcity stemming from borehole activity and declining precipitation (see TOLOnews from June 2023 and this August 2023 documentary). Boreholes have also been dug in northern Afghanistan, contributing to a gradual decline in groundwater levels, although the situation there remains stable.[12]Possibly in response to the depletion of groundwater, in 2023, the Emirate introduced an anti-land-grabbing law that, as well as affecting urban areas, restricts further agricultural expansion onto public land, particularly in desert areas. It requires farmers who are already using public land to pay rent or risk losing access to it.
Failing to grow enough food itself, Afghanistan has relied, instead, for decades on food imports and humanitarian food aid to fill the deficit, but as the next sections outline, both sectors are under strain from global instability and cuts to aid.
Trade: imports and shifting corridors
Afghanistan meets its domestic supply gap through imports, particularly for wheat, flour, rice and cooking oil.[13] In 2024, wheat and flour alone accounted for a significant portion of food import volumes and value, underscoring the country’s dependence on imports.
For decades, Pakistan served as the country’s primary food import corridor, including wheat flour from mills in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, rice from Sindh and vegetable oil through Karachi’s ports. However, repeated border disruptions (New York Times) have translated into immediate price spikes in Afghan markets and Afghanistan has turned to Central Asia as an alternative.
The shift away from Pakistan has been building over time. From 2015 onwards, Pakistan used border closures as a political lever, prompting Afghan traders to seek alternatives. It accelerated as the war in Ukraine disrupted global wheat flows, reducing Ukrainian wheat exports to Pakistan and tightening regional flour supplies (BBC). India’s subsequent suspension of wheat exports further tightened global markets and drove up prices (BBC). As Pakistani mills faced shortages, traders in Pakistan began buying Afghan wheat during the harvest months – particularly from the southern provinces – and exporting it back across the border. In response, the Emirate banned wheat exports in May 2022 to prevent domestic shortages (Ministry of Finance and VOA). By then, the regional supply landscape had already shifted. Finally in October 2025, border closures imposed by the Emirate effectively cut off the route that had once carried mostof Afghanistan’s food imports.
Afghanistan has become increasingly dependent on Central Asia, particularly on Uzbekistan and Kazakhstan for wheat and flour imports. The northern crossing at Hiratan-Termez (Balkh province and Uzbekistan, respectively) has emerged as the country’s new logistical hub for both commercial imports and humanitarian operations. Drought has reinforced this shift: northern provinces that once produced surplus wheat – Faryab, Badghis, Jawzjan and Balkh – are now among those facing crisis-level food insecurity, according to FEWS NET, as shown in Figure 11. As local surpluses disappeared, the northern corridor became the only viable entry point for large-scale wheat imports. The World Food Programme (WFP) and other UN agencies have expanded storage facilities in Termez to ensure rapid delivery to drought-affected regions, replacing the Pakistan-based supply chain that had dominated for decades.
This new dependence on Central Asia comes with its own uncertainties. Relations with Uzbekistan and Kazakhstan are complicated by the Qush Tepe Canal, which diverts water from the Amu Darya and has raised concerns about downstream flows, raising the possibility that political tensions could spill over into trade. For now, however, Central Asia remains Afghanistan’s primary source of wheat and flour.
The rice trade has also been reshaped. Pakistan has traditionally filled Afghanistan’s rice deficit, but border closures and rising political tensions have disrupted this flow, with Indian rice increasingly replacing Pakistani varieties. While Iran plays only a limited role in Afghanistan’s food imports, it has become important as a transit corridor, particularly for imports such as Indian rice entering via Iranian ports in Bandar Abbas and Chabahar and transported overland to Afghanistan.[14] Prices have risen due to longer transit distances and higher transport costs. Traders report that some Pakistani rice is now rerouted through Iran and relabelled as Indian before entering Afghan markets.
Figure 11: Area level classifications for acute food insecurity in Afghanistan, October 2025. Source: FEWS NET
Cooking oil imports have also been affected. Previously sourced through Pakistan’s ports, trade has now shifted to Iranian ports and Central Asian suppliers, increasing transport costs. Meat imports have also been affected: buffalo meat from Pakistan, once an affordable protein source, has become scarce, driving up prices in urban markets.
Together, these shifts have made food trade more fragmented, more expensive and more politically exposed.
A supply chain once anchored in a single dominant corridor has now shifted to other routes, shaped by its geopolitical constraints. Amid declining purchasing power, drought and shrinking domestic surpluses, the reconfiguration of trade corridors has become central to Afghanistan’s food economy.
Humanitarian food assistance: coverage, gaps and trends
Humanitarian assistance, while intended to be temporary, has become a critical pillar of the food economy, supporting households unable to grow or afford enough food. However, coverage has declined in recent years due to funding constraints. Table 3 summarises the volume of food distributed by WFP between 2021 and 2025 (for details on targeted recipients, see WFP’s annual reports).
Table 3: WFP food distribution, 2021-25 (metric tonnes). Lipid-based nutrient supplements are designed to prevent and treat malnutrition, particularly in children aged 6-23 months and pregnant and lactating women. Source: WFP.
The contraction in aid is also reflected in the decline in the number of beneficiaries. In 2022, WFP reached more than 23 million people; by 2025, its coverage had fallen to around 4 million people, plus half a million returnees. This decline has occurred despite continuing high levels of need, with large parts of the country – particularly the northern rainfed belt, the west and pockets of the central highlands – classified by FEWS NET as facing Crisis (IPC 3) or Emergency (IPC 4) conditions.[15]
Changes in aid delivery have had direct effects on markets. Large-scale wheat distributions in 2022 helped moderate price spikes in rural areas, while cash‑based transfers supported local traders and prevented supply gaps (WFP 2022 Afghanistan Country Brief). The subsequent reduction in aid has had the opposite effect: in districts where in‑kind aid distributions were reduced, wheat and flour prices have risen, particularly in drought-affected northern and western regions (WFP Afghanistan 2023 Annual Country Report). Cash‑based transfers, while effective in urban centres, have had limited impact in remote areas where markets are thin.
Coverage remains uneven, with some regions chronically underserved.[16] The northern rainfed belt – Badghis, Faryab, Jawzjan and parts of Balkh and Samangan – has faced repeated droughts and now hosts large numbers of returnees, yet assistance remains inconsistent. The central highlands (Daikundi, Bamyan, Ghor) receive limited support due to access constraints, while in the east, Nangrahar and Kunar have seen assistance decline despite rising needs. FEWS NET has alsoreported that in some districts, the lack of assistance has pushed households into ‘negative coping strategies’, including distressed livestock sales and reduced meal frequency. Urban areas such as Kabul and Herat receive only limited support despite falling purchasing power.
Ultimately, humanitarian food assistance cannot offset the combined pressures of drought, economic contraction, population growth and declining purchasing power. What was once a stabilising force now reaches fewer people, less frequently and with smaller rations, leaving millions exposed to deepening food insecurity.
The way forward: practical and strategic options
Afghanistan’s food security challenge is shaped less by a lack of agricultural potential than by the country’s political, financial and environmental constraints. While the country has the land, water resources and agro-ecological diversity to increase production, decades of conflict, drought, weak infrastructure, fragmented institutions and the current economic crisis have limited its ability to translate these assets into reliable food production. The way forward does not lie in imagining radically transforming agriculture, but in pursuing practical measures to stabilise production, strengthen resilience, improve access to food and revive the institutions needed to support agricultural planning and rural markets.
In the short term, stabilising wheat production while reducing the country’s exposure to climate-driven shocks remains the priority. Wheat underpins Afghan diets, but it is highly vulnerable because of its reliance on rainfed agriculture in drought-prone regions. Measures such as improving water management, rehabilitating irrigation canals and distributing higher-yielding seeds could help reduce climate‑related losses and improve rural incomes, especially in key irrigated wheat-producing areas such as Kunduz, Takhar, Helmand, Kandahar and Farah.
Meanwhile, some drought-prone rainfed areas may benefit from gradually shifting towards crops that require less water and offer higher returns than wheat. In some areas, such transitions are already underway. In Wardak province, for example, most farmers have shifted from wheat cultivation to apricot and apple orchards that generate higher incomes.
Irrigation and water management will remain central to Afghanistan’s agricultural prospects. Improvements to the country’s irrigation system would reduce the national wheat deficit, but large-scale expansion in the foreseeable future is unlikely given current financial constraints. Large-scale infrastructure schemes, such as the Qush Tepe Canal, require not only funding but also technical capacity, maintenance systems and long-term political stability. A pragmatic way forward would prioritise small- and medium-scale irrigation interventions, such as rehabilitating existing canals, expanding water-harvesting structures and improving on-farm water management. These measures are relatively low-cost, can be implemented in stages and are likely to yield quicker benefits.
Reducing post-harvest losses could also improve food availability without requiring major increases in production. Potatoes, onions, fruits and vegetables are often abundant during harvest periods but become scarce and expensive later in the year because of limited cold-storage facilities and transport corridors. Expanding cold-storage facilities in major production hubs such as Bamyan, Kunduz, Kandahar, Herat and Nangrahar, improving transport networks and supporting local processing could help reduce seasonal shortages and stabilise prices.
In Afghanistan, better food security depends not only on production and infrastructure but also on access to land, water, employment, capital, purchasing power and reliable markets. In their absence, increases in national food stocks alone will not translate into better access to food for households. In that light, food security depends as much on distribution and governance as production.
The decline in humanitarian assistance and the continuing sluggish economy mean millions of households remain highly vulnerable to drought, price rises and other shocks. Prospects for greater food security are shaped by financial, institutional and climatic constraints. While production can be increased in the long term, the country cannot finance the infrastructure needed to close its food gap in the foreseeable future. The narrowing of development aid means the country no longer has access to the financial resources available during the Republic and although the Emirate is clearly interested in agriculture and irrigation, spending priorities – allocating about half the annual public purse to the security sector – limit its capacity to act.
Given current conditions, a realistic strategy should prioritise incremental gains rather than large-scale transformation. Stabilising wheat production, improving water management, reducing post-harvest losses and strengthening market systems are more achievable and likely to deliver lasting improvements in food security. These efforts should be combined with targeted agricultural support, climate finance, regional cooperation on trade and water and investment in irrigation rehabilitation, seeds and nutrition services. Progress will ultimately depend on the consistent implementation of practical, well-targeted, high-impact interventions rather than grand plans.
Edited by Kate Clark and Roxanna Shapour
* Dr Mohammad Assem Mayar is a water resources management and climate change expert and former lecturer at Kabul Polytechnic University in Afghanistan. He is currently an independent researcher based in Germany. He posts on X as @assemmayar1.
References
References
↑1
In How the water flows: A typology of irrigation systems in Afghanistan, Afghanistan Research and Evaluation Unit, 2008, Bob Rout identified ten major irrigation projects: the Helmand-Arghandab irrigation scheme in Helmand and Kandahar provinces (103,000 hectares of irrigable land); the Sardeh scheme in Ghazni (15,000 ha); the Parwan scheme in Parwan and Kabul (24,800 ha); the Nangrahar scheme (39,000 ha); the Khanabad scheme in Kunduz (30,000 ha); the Shahrawan scheme in Takhar (40,000 ha); the Kelagay scheme in Baghlan (20,000 ha); the Nahr-e Shahi scheme in Balkh (50,000 ha); the Gawargan scheme in Baghlan (8,000 ha); and the Sang-e Mehr scheme in Badakhshan (3,000 ha).
Alcis, a UK-based private company, has been using satellite imagery to monitor wheat and poppy cultivation in Afghanistan since 2022. Its data is accessible here.
↑5
See MAIL’s Annual Agricultural Reports for 2024, 2023, 2022 and 2021. The reports for 2020 and 2019 are not currently available online, but the author previously downloaded them. The FAO Food Balance Sheet (FBS) for Afghanistan (2010-23) provides internationally comparable per‑capita food supply estimates for major commodities, including cereals, pulses, meat, dairy, fruit, vegetables and oils. For Afghanistan, the FBS consistently shows a diet dominated by cereals, particularly wheat, alongside very low per capita consumption of meat, dairy and oils compared with regional and global averages.
The Qush Tepa Canal has raised concerns among downstream states, particularly Uzbekistan and Turkmenistan, about its potential impact on the Amu Darya flows. Afghanistan argues that it is using its share of transboundary water resources, while analysts have highlighted risks related to water allocation and sustainability (The Diplomat and Kunduz Adylbekova, Water Crisis Looming: Uzbekistan and Turkmenistan’s Imperative for the Grand Afghan Canal, Central Asian Bureau for Analytical Reporting/Institute for War and Peace Reporting (IWPR) 23 July 2023).
In its first ‘mini-budget’, for the last three months of financial year 2021 (the only time the Emirate’s Ministry of Finance has released detailed spending figures), 8.7 per cent was allocated to development, although thebudget line was unfunded. The Ministry of Water and Energy had by far the biggest percentage development budget: 673 million afghanis, 76.7 per cent of which was for development. Other ministries ranged from just over 1 to just under 15 per cent) (AAN). In the financial year 2025, the Emirate spent 13.75 per cent of its budget on development, an increase of over a quarter compared to the previous year (World Bank).
See NSIA’s Afghanistan Trade Statistics Yearbooks 2024-25, 2023-24, 2022-23, 2021 and 2019 (NSIA has not yet published its 2025 trade report), which are primarily based on ASYCUDA customs records. Afghanistan’s 2024 imports included 272,000 tonnes of wheat (USD 52.67 million); 2.58 million tonnes of wheat flour (USD 680.97 million); 540,942 tonnes of rice (USD 342.68 million); fish (USD 27.98 million); cooking oil (USD 351.5 million) and tea imports valued at USD 65.8 million (green tea) and USD 25.6 million (black tea).
↑14
Iran exports little wheat because its own domestic needs are unmet. On 3 March 2026, following Israelis and US attacks on the country, Iran imposed an indefinite ban on all food and agricultural exports to protect domestic supplies (Global Food Industry News).
↑15
See FEWS NET projections for early 2026 and the UN Financial Tracking Service, which documents the decline in annual civilian aid to Afghanistan from a high of USD 3.8 billion in 2022 to USD 1.2 billion in 2025.
↑16
FEWS NET, Afghanistan Food Security Outlook: October 2025 – May 2026 identifies the northern rainfed belt (Badghis, Balkh, Faryab, Jawzjan, Samangan) as the area of greatest concern due to repeated droughts, high returnee inflows and insufficient humanitarian coverage.
Can Afghanistan Feed Itself? Agriculture, trade and food security under pressure
AAN has considered women’s health in Afghanistan from several angles in recent years, with bleak conclusions. We found provision for women living in rural areas under particular threat, with clinics closing, shortages of female health professionals and economic pressure making it difficult for families to afford transport to a clinic. In 2024, the Islamic Emirate also completely turned off the pipeline for educating new female health professionals – it had already stopped the training of doctors. In an environment where women’s health needs are ever more acute and the operating environment more difficult AAN’s Kate Clark and Fabrizio Foschini wanted to see where female healthcare was faring better. They took up an invitation from the Norwegian Afghanistan Committee (NAC) to see some of their work, which includes some creative initiatives on health care and training. They also heard some striking personal stories of how women’s lives and status had been changed by health education.
There are twenty ‘white areas’ in Kapisa province, just to the north of Kabul, places where at least 10,000 people have no access to health services within ten kilometres of their homes. One area, though, is white no longer. In November 2021, it gained a tiny clinic focused on women and children’s health, known as a ‘Continuum of Care Centre’ or 3C. Two midwives, previously trained by the Norwegian Afghanistan Committee (NAC),[1] work out of two rooms attached to the home of one of them in the village of Arabkhel, in the Bolaghayn area of Kohband district. One room is for deliveries. The other is a waiting room, with a curtained-off area where patients can be seen in reasonable privacy. There were already two other such tiny clinics in Kapisa. They were the only maternal clinics to stay open in the province in the weeks after the August 2021 change of government. That gave some confidence in negotiations with the new provincial authorities to open a third, the one in Arabkhel.
The day we visited the clinic, the waiting area was packed. One of the midwives, Gul Chehra, a graduate of NAC’s midwifery course, was seeing patients and because she is local, she can speak to the patients in their own language, Pashai. Pashai settlements dot the higher-lying areas of Kapisa from north to south, following the local sub-range of the Hindu Kush. They are often situated in rugged and isolated areas with rocky, low-fertility soil. Boulders spread across the fields on the approach to the clinic testified to the frequency of landslides and floods, such as those which hit the province in early October 2025 (South Asian Desk). NAC established the clinic on the further side of the river bed from the main asphalted road connecting the district to the provincial centre so that women from villages on that side of the river could access healthcare even when there was flooding and their villages were cut off from the rest of the province.
One of the patients being seen on the day we visited, Sima, was expecting her ninth child and described how, when the river flooded, the path to the main road became impassable. Her last child had been born in the clinic, the others at home. “There was no help,” she said. “I just prayed to God.”
Women’s health in crisis
The picture across the country is less rosy. Afghanistan was already in the bottom ten countries in the world for the worst maternal mortality figures. It is also an outlier in the region. The latest maternal mortality figure quoted by the World Bank is for 2023: 521 mothers dying for every 100,000 live births. The next worst country is far better, albeit still bad: 155 Pakistani mothers are dying per 100,000 live births.[2] Yet the numbers for Afghanistan appear to be getting even worse. Although there are no recent official statistics, World Health Organisation (WHO) Representative for Afghanistan Mukta Sharma told Salam Watandar on 7 April 2025 that there were 620 maternal deaths per 100,000 live births. The rise is not surprising, given the pressure on and lack of support to services. The World Bank December 2024 Afghanistan Development Update had already been warning about a contraction of the health sector – by 3.1 per cent – during the previous 12 months, saying:
The health sector has managed to stay afloat due to international support. However, the ongoing struggles in education [education had shrunk even more, by 9.3 per cent] and health highlight a critical lack of investment in human capital, which could jeopardize Afghanistan’s long-term economic prospects.
Since then, in early 2025, the United States, which had provided 40 per cent of aid to Afghanistan in 2024, decided abruptly to cut all aid to Afghanistan.[3] As a direct result, the WHO July 2025 Health Cluster Bulletin said, 422 health facilities had closed.[4] Several other donors have also cut funding, although not to the same extent. The Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan (IEA) has also continued to prioritise spending on its security services. According to the World Bank’s March 2026 Economic Monitor, the Ministries of Interior, Defence and General Directorate of Intelligence, had been allocated 48 per cent of government spending in financial year 2025 (ended 20 March 2026). Public health had been given just 2.6 per cent. Afghans have also been hit by a struggling economy (AAN), which has eroded the ability of many families to pay for private healthcare, or even to pay for transport to a free government or NGO-run clinic. Emirate restrictions on women’s travel and its insistence that they must have a mahram to enter government medical facilities in some parts of the country have further blocked women from getting access to treatment.
Donor funding has underpinned Afghanistan’s health sector for many years. That left it vulnerable to the decisions of donors – as seen both in cuts to aid and international sanctions against the Taliban, which, since they captured power, have been applied to Afghanistan. Although multiple waivers have since been introduced, sanctions still have to be factored into NGO decision-making. Their health programmes, now, as under the Republic, also have to be planned and implemented in close coordination with the Ministry of Public Health.
For NGOs working in the health sector, navigating the needs of communities, as well as the restrictions, demands and priorities of both donors and the Afghan authorities can be a tricky path to tread, particularly when something major happens. For some NGOs, the USAID cuts this year forced them to close clinics or stop deploying the mobile clinics that reached the most under-served communities. NAC, fortunately, received only very limited US money. However, a decision by the Emirate, in December 2024, to ban all training of female health professionals, including in midwifery, nursing, laboratory sciences and physiotherapy (BBC, Radio Azadi) did leave it with some difficult decisions to be made.
Lab work carried out at the Norwegian Afghanistan Committee’s 4C clinic, in Gardez, Paktia province.
Photo: NAC, 20 December 2023
Only paper-trained?
The IEA made no official statements about the ban on health training for women, but the Ministry of Public Health did call the directors of private training institutes to a meeting on 2 December 2024 to tell them this was the case (RFE/RL). Three types of public and private organisations had previously provided health training to Afghan women:
The Institute of Health Sciences, officially known as the Ghazanfar Institute of Health Sciences, is a training authority under the Ministry of Public Health, that provides two to three year diploma programmes for healthcare workers and is responsible for curriculum development and supervision of regional institutes of health sciences. Female students were already blocked from studying there, following the closure of universities to female students in December 2022.
Community education programmes training midwives and other female health professionals in rural areas was carried out by a mix of national and international NGOs and other international agencies and, in a few cases, the government. The benefit of this route was that, as well as being local and often in under-served areas, entry requirements were lower (no need for 12th grade schooling). This avenue for training is also now closed.
Private institutes that offer health training had become the last avenue open for higher education for women and are now also closed to women. However, there was scepticism over the quality of some of the training that had been provided in the private sector. The State of Afghanistan’s Midwifery 2021 report, which delved into the training, qualifications, need and numbers of midwives, found there were almost 35,000 midwife graduates and that the sector was “saturated in terms of quantity of professionals.”[5] However, it questioned the competency of the 77 per cent of midwifes who had graduated from private institutes, which were not accredited with the Afghan Midwifery and Nursing Education Accreditation Board. It quoted a rapid assessment carried out in 2018 which had found that less than a third of the institutes (31 per cent) met the criteria as clinical sites requiring students to perform a minimum of 40 births assisted before graduation. The equivalent rates for community midwifery education and Institute of Health Sciences courses were 100 and 67 per cent respectively – and the 2021 midwifery report was satisfied it could assume their midwife graduates were competent.
The 2021 report also pointed out that there was high unemployment among midwives – 82 per cent – at the same time as Afghan mothers’ needs were not being met. It said the country needed 18,000 more employedand qualifiedmidwives. In particular, the rural/urban imbalance needed addressing, with an acute need for qualified midwives in rural and hard-to-reach areas.
This data is several years old, but it seems the overall picture is little changed. If anything, the situation will have worsened, as more midwives have graduated from private institutes, while no female doctors or other health professionals have graduated from university since the December 2022 closure. At the same time, as well, qualified and experienced health professionals were among those who left Afghanistan during the mass exodus of 2021.
Adapting to the Emirate’s training ban: apprenticeships and other stopgap measures
The ban on training female health professionals has applied to all community education programmes, including NAC’s. In Kapisa, it had been running midwifery, nursing and physiotherapy courses for the Institute of Health Sciences near Kapisa’s provincial capital, Mahmud-e Raqi, in Kohistan district. NAC’s involvement in medical training began there in 2014 with two-year programmes for 30 female students each in nursing and midwifery. In 2019, the ministry lengthened the courses nationally, to three years. NAC also added physiotherapy to its offer.
In 2020, NAC’s medical courses moved into a new building, with a smaller building alongside that serves as a clinic for women and children, both built by the Ministry of Public Health. The co-location meant students could easily also gain practical skills and experience. In 2023, the clinic was upgraded to a ‘Comprehensive Continuum of Care Centre’ (4C), offering far more extensive services to women and children. There are doctors, including an obstetrics and gynaecology specialist, midwives, specialist nurses, two lab technicians and a pharmacist – the latter three all commuting two hours each way every day from Kabul because of the scarcity of qualified women locally. In the month of October 2025, the clinic treated some 950 patients and delivered 11 babies. It mainly serves local women and children, but also attracts patients from elsewhere in Kohistan, from Kohband and Nejrab districts and the neighbouring provinces of Panjshir and Parwan.
NAC has produced many graduates in midwifery and other specialities over the years. “We give a good quality education,” said NAC Country Director, Terje Magnussønn Watterdal, “our graduates are sought after.” Significantly, he said, there is a focus on medical ethics and patients’ dignity. “There is a reason,” he said, “why many women chose to give birth at home – because medical staff are often not very nice to patients.”
The last cohort of trainees in Kapisa in 2024 had been 148-strong. Some of the women, studying nursing, midwifery and physiotherapy, had come from nearby, but most had travelled a long way – from Bamyan, Parwan, Panjshir, Ghazni and Wardak and remote parts of Kapisa – and stayed in the NAC hostel. Then, the Emirate’s ban came in. “We’d invested a lot in these facilities,” said Watterdal. “We wanted to protect our assets. We had a very open discussion with the provincial director of Public Health about that, so that [those assets] are there when the ban is lifted.”
NAC decided to redirect its activities. In coordination with provincial local health authorities, it set about planning three-month apprenticeships for women who have graduated in nursing, midwifery, physiotherapy, pharmacy and as laboratory technicians from private Institutes of Health Sciences. The aim is to give the apprentices practical experience either in an NAC clinic or in the government provincial hospital. Most, said Watterdal, “had studied theory and had had no opportunity to study anything practical.” So, the apprenticeships are an effort to turn their ‘paper-only’ qualifications, as described in ‘The State of Afghanistan’s Midwifery 2021’ report, into qualifications which are grounded in the necessary practical experience to enable them to work effectively and professionally.
NAC had also established a midwifery training school in Badakhshan, funded by GIZ, in 2024. In July that year, 30 students arrived from three remote and under-served districts in the province, ten from Kohistan, ten from Raghistan and ten from Yawan. NAC’s Midwifery Programme Coordinator, Momina Kohistani, who is herself from one of those districts, distributed the forms: “We found the students and prepared a standard programme, a three year course,” she said, “the girls were very interested.” However, she said, “There were never any graduates: [the girls] just did one term, went home on holiday and then the ban was announced.” NAC has received permission to train the 30 students, not as midwives, but as community-based rehabilitation workers, serving women in general and women and adolescent girls with disabilities in particular.
In Kapisa, NAC took another decision following the ban on training female health professionals – to start a course to train male pharmacy technicians.[6] This was driven by NAC being midway through a chunk of funding that was due to last until 2026, which it did not want to lose. It also wanted to keep making use of assets, such as the buildings, so that whenever women are again allowed to study, they would still be there. They needed a course that was two-years long, and training to be a pharmacy technician is one of the few health sector diplomas that fulfilled that requirement, besides being a specialisation that is always needed across Afghanistan. “We had to convince the donors,” recalled Dr Habib, NAC’s National Head of Health Programmes, “and then it took some time to sign the agreement with the government. So that after that, we had to rush to get all the contracts, procurement and refurbishment done in order to start with the new class in time this year. But we managed to avoid both losing the money and not putting the facilities to use.”
When the authors visited, the course had just begun. 34 students were being taught, even as some refurbishment works were still taking place to re-adapt the classrooms from their former use. The skills lab was being readied for when the students had progressed enough in their lessons to start practical training. Meanwhile, in another room of this vast complex, mannequins and other teaching material from the midwifery course had been carefully stored, in the hope that one day they could be brought out and used again.
Despite being ‘replacements’, the pharmacy students present were upbeat. Ranging in age between 17 and 24 and coming roughly from the same provinces as their female predecessors, despite the recent uprooting from their families and the busy lessons’ schedule, they were visibly excited to have passed the selection for enrolling in the school. This is now one of the few chances of foreign-funded higher education. Moreover, it is one leading to a prospective career that will allow the students to practice their skills in any corner of the country. As pharmacists, they said, they would be, by the nature of their work, able to establish a connection with Afghans from all groups and walks of life. They were ready, one claimed, to make the most of this rare chance and in the future “to show that we aren’t just khalwatgaran [people seeking protection, assistance], but rather khidmatgaran [servants, providers of service].”
The apprenticeship scheme
NAC’s apprenticeship scheme for women who have graduated from private medical courses relies on foreign funding, so the model is not ideal. However, it has one strong sustainable element in that a good education is rarely wasted and may have far-reaching and unforeseen consequences. Indeed, education was the germ for setting up the 3C clinics, such as the one in Arabkhel. The idea for them had grown, said Terje Watterdal, out of a survey of the midwives who had trained with NAC in previous years in Nangrahar and Laghman provinces. It had found that only half had formal jobs.
We were very disappointed. But then we asked those who weren’t working: Why? and What are you doing? And we found out they were working as midwives in their villages. Sometimes they were paid in cash, or in goods, but they were delivering more babies than in the formal system. That changed the picture for us completely. We wanted to set up a structure where our midwife graduates could organise in a different way.
NAC investigated different practices and found the idea of 3C clinics already promoted by the World Health Organisation in southern Africa and ideal for poor, remote and badly-served areas. “At the beginning,” said Watterdal, “the idea was that patients could pay a little – it should be less than the cost of transport to the nearest clinic. The IEA stopped that and said they should be free.” That does make the project less sustainable for the future, but even if funding ended tomorrow, it seems likely the 3Cs could turn into arrangements similar to the informal arrangements that NAC-graduate midwives found, identified in the survey in Nangrahar and Laghman.
Recovery, disability and dignity
Just how significant good quality, timely medical intervention can be was also seen in NAC’s Women and Child Rehabilitation Centre in Kabul. Set up a year ago, in April 2025, its philosophy is two-fold – curative and preventative:
Treating those with disabilities to provide physical rehabilitation;
Treating those who are injured to prevent their injuries becoming permanent.
In its first week, with no publicity, the centre saw 26 patients coming for treatment. By October, 200 patients had come, 15 to 16 a day. A few are referred by medical staff, said one of the physiotherapists at the centre, Nadia Haqjo, but most come through word of mouth. “We register them inside the compound,” she said. “No one waits on the street.” Three physios, provide, on average, ten sessions per patient in a women-only setting. The centre also provides psycho-social support, both at the centre and through outreach (with currently 80-100 patients) and vocational training for 30 female students.
“Lower back pain is what we most commonly see – many women do such heavy work,” said Nadia. “We also see people with spina bifida, amputees, children with delayed development, people with cerebral palsy and those who’ve had strokes or head injuries.” She gave the example of a 50-year old woman who had come to the clinic on the recommendation of a friend. She had a four-year old wound in her leg that had never healed, as well as diabetes, and she was also in a bad economic condition.
She came with a walker. Now, she just uses just a stick. The day the Taliban came to Kabul, she was accidentally injured, a gunshot to the tibia and it had got infected. She’d lost her mobility. The injury had atrophied and it was so painful, she wanted to die. I, myself, felt hopeless when I saw her.
After cleaning and dressing the infected wound, Nadia began to treat the woman’s other symptoms:
The first job was to improve her balance, also strengthen her muscles and support her morale – that’s very important, to give psychosocial support – and to decrease her pain through manual work and using TENS [Transcutaneous Electrical Nerve Stimulation, a method of pain relief where electrodes applied to the skin block impulses in underlying nerves]. Now, she’s very happy. She has some mobility. If she’d gone elsewhere, she’d have been rejected.
We also met two-year old Madiha who has cerebral palsy and had arrived constantly trembling and unable to sit up by herself. Now in her third month of treatment, coming to the centre twice a week, she was sitting up and even crawling. Nadia said her brother, five-year old Hekmat, who has the same condition, is now standing.
The centre’s secret, Nadia said, is that they are available, accessible and free, and can give patients time for follow-up visits, home-based if necessary. “If they relapse,” she said, “they can come back.” All of that, of course, costs money, and without funding for the physiotherapy, women’s injuries “can lead to their movement and mobility stopping.” Their problems then become compounded and they can become disabled, which is why Nadia thinks the physio’s work is so vital. “I’m very proud that most of our clients get better,” she said. “We improve their conditions. We have so many success stories. I love my profession.”
One of the doctors at the Norwegian Afghanistan Committee’s 4C clinic in Kapisa province, sees a patient. Photo: NAC, 24 September 2024
From training to practice: how education shapes lives and the wellbeing of communities
This report has so far largely focused on systems, funding and training opportunities – or their absence – and the constraints on women’s healthcare. We wanted to see how training and supporting female health workers affects the lives of the trainees and discovered it transforming not only the lives of the individual health worker, but also the lives of women in entire districts. Such a transformation is summed up in the personal story of NAC’s National Midwifery Coordinator, Momina Kohistani,who comes from one of those districts where there were no girls’ schools. Her own mother had died during childbirth because, Momina said, there were no professional medical staff in her district.
After that, the family moved to Faizabad and Momina was able to get the schooling that would not have been possible in her home district of Kohistan. Because of the circumstances of her mother’s death, Momina always dreamed of becoming a doctor, something her family could not afford. However, when she was in 10th class, she learned that the first midwifery programme in her province, run by Aga Khan Health Services, was to start. From then on, she said, her life changed.
I told my family I wanted to enrol, but they didn’t agree. My father said I had to complete my schooling. Luckily, I got married in the last year of school, and my spouse was interested in my education. Community elders also came to my house to ask that I get an education. My spouse convinced my family, saying to them: “The responsibility [for your daughter] has been given to me. You mustn’t be worried about her future because I’m certain her future will be good.” They gave their agreement and I started training in Badakhshan.
I was very lucky. I became the top student and the student representative for the hospital. Everyone encouraged me, especially the hospital chief. He even offered to pay my university fees, saying: “You must go to medical school.” But at that time, my son was very small – just six months – and when I shared the issue with my husband, although he was happy [with the suggestion], he said: “I can’t afford to support you. And your people need a midwife.”
So, I graduated on 1 October 2009 and started work on 10 October, after a week spent with my spouse’s family in our home district of Kohistan. When I began to work as a midwife [with the NGO, Medair], I was very young, and the people were thinking: “She won’t be able to do a thing.”
But in my first days, a mother was transferred to my clinic in shock. I found she had a retained placenta. I gave her IV fluid and removed the placenta with my hands and she was well again after two hours. Her husband had lost his first wife with the same bleeding. He cried. “I can’t believe my wife is alive,” he said. “I can’t believe you saved her!”
After that, all the people realised that this newly-graduated midwife could save lives, and even older women came to see me – to see how I was working – so young and with so little experience. There was a high maternal mortality rate in Badakhshan, especially in Kohistan. One thing I did was to work with my health community shura to identify and find high-risk mothers. We found them, and with UNICEF funding, there was a room in Faizabad that we referred them to go and stay in [until they delivered] because in winter, the roads are closed and emergency travel is impossible.
They’d bring me a cup of milk, an apple, vegetables and when I said the treatment was free and I couldn’t take gifts, they said: “We see you’re alone, you [and your husband] are away from your [birth families], you’re serving us, this is your portion that we’ve taken from our breakfast for you.” At Eid, they’d give me gifts and leave them with the guard to give to me. During that year, I went to many training sessions and meetings in Faizabad, but I used no annual leave or sick leave. … Kohistan is such a very poor, cold, remote area, with no transport.
Momina’s story demonstrates the value of medical education for both the individual and the community. Especially for women in rural areas, such training means they have a viable livelihood, but the benefits are not just economic, or even to do with saving lives. Research carried out by one of the authors in 2018 for the Italian NGO, Emergency, on a maternity hospital it ran in Panjshir found a surprisingly high percentage of young nurses and midwives from some of Kapisa’s rural districts working there. Several had attended the first educational programmes run by NAC. They reported how many of their classmates had ended up finding jobs with other NGOs and in private or public medical facilities across the region, and also how their status in their home villages had changed. Their new skills and economic status had brought an unprecedented degree of social recognition and acceptance by their families and neighbours. One of the midwifes working with Emergency, hailing from Kapisa, recalled how it had been the encouragement of fellow villagers that tilted the scales in favour of what for her was a brave choice to seek training despite family opposition:
There was a need for a midwife in my village – and till now [at the time of the interview in 2018], I’m still the only girl from there who’s studied midwifery. My family was against my attempts to get a higher education and then going to work outside – my maternal uncle was against the idea, and my father and brother as well. Only my mother wanted me to and she argued with them a lot. Actually though, it was the people of the village who supported me – somebody from the village becoming a midwife who could then help them. Even before I graduated, they started to come to my home to ask for advice and in time they developed a great respect for my skills. Seeing this, even my father started to respect me more, and had to relent.
When communities see such female healthcare workers in their midst as an asset, it helps to pull down barriers, enhancing the perception of working women, even in conservative rural areas. Momina attributed her success “to the prayers of Kohistan’s mothers,” a measure of the popular support she felt. She said that in her home district, when still in her early 20s, she had became known as the ‘Mother of the Tribe’.
Medical education, especially in rural areas, also gives women the opportunity to earn money and serve their communities in a way that is seen as respectable. It encourages progressive change, as girls’ education and women doing paid work outside the home come to be valued, even in, or perhaps especially in, the most conservative parts of Afghanistan.
A convergence of crises
The NAC apprenticeship programme is aimed, in Momina Kohistani’s words, to help “lift the quality so that there are enough skilled and experienced midwifes.” However, by itself, it cannot solve the looming staffing crisis: when the Emirate closed girls’ secondary schools, it ensured that the pipeline of girls finishing schooling to grade 12, who might go on to train as health professionals, if the ban is ever lifted, is now blocked. Past problems with schooling already mean that in some districts, there are no female high school graduates, and in some entire provinces, they are few on the ground.[7] In those areas, it is difficult to see how the health of women will ever really improve, so long as girls’ secondary schools are never opened, while nationally, there will inevitably be a gaping deficit in female medical professionals.
Afghanistan’s health system is currently facing a convergence of crises. However, one of them, foreign funding, looks for now, to have been somewhat averted. On 4 November 2025, UNICEF announced that it was getting USD 270 million from the Asian Development Bank (ADB) for 2026. The funding means it will be able to “expand and sustain essential health services for an estimated 23 million people across 17 provinces … support over 1,300 health facilities [and help] ensure that children, women, and men continue to receive quality primary health care close to home.” Afghanistan’s heavy reliance on foreign funding to support and sustain the country’s healthcare system has long been a topic of debate about its sustainability. The closure of hundreds of clinics this year in the wake of the abrupt USAID cut showed just how vulnerable the sector is to the decisions of donors. Yet, even if foreign funding was assured, if secondary schooling and medical training for girls is not restored, the future of Afghan women’s health can only be one of decline.
NAC’s work, always done in coordination with local communities, donors and the Ministry of Public Health and its provincial departments, demonstrates the possibilities and limits of intervention under the current constraints. Establishing small, local clinics in remote districts where there are already trained midwives, supporting women-and-child facilities and quickly adapting training programmes into apprenticeship schemes, show ongoing efforts – at NAC and elsewhere – to maintain professional standards in healthcare and safeguard earlier investments in female health education. These approaches cannot resolve the ongoing crisis in Afghanistan’s health sector, nor serve in any way as a substitute for a functioning national training pipeline, but they do help mitigate the most severe consequences in specific locations and communities.
The stories presented in this report show much of what is ultimately at stake. Momina’s experience demonstrates how education can transform an individual life and lead to long-term community trust in female health workers. Nadia’s shows how sustained, specialised care can restore mobility, dignity and hope to women who would otherwise be excluded from treatment altogether. Yet the gains demonstrated are small and vulnerable. Without restored access to education, institutional protection and sustained funding, even these openings will become fewer and farther between for the next generation of Afghan girls.
NAC’s programmes offer neither a comprehensive solution nor a scalable national substitute. They do, however, show that, even if they are constrained, locally embedded interventions can preserve professional standards and sustain essential services. Even so, without a reversal in restrictions on female education and either a solid international commitment to health financing or a radical change in Emirate funding priorities, these gains will remain fragile — and the cost of their loss will be borne most heavily by Afghan women and their families.
Edited by Rachel Reid
References
References
↑1
The Norwegian Afghanistan Committee is one of the grassroots solidarity NGOs established in various countries to support Afghans in the wake of the Soviet invasion. Active since 1980, it opened its first office in Peshawar, Pakistan, in 1983, followed by field offices in Ghazni province in 1986 and Badakhshan in 1991 and, from 1997 onwards, an office in Kabul. It currently has programmes in the following fields: health, technical and vocational training, climate change and disaster risk reduction, food security and natural resource management, disability inclusion, humanitarian aid and early childhood development.
↑2
The World Bank gives the following figures for other countries: Bangladesh 115 women dying in childbirth for every 100,000 live births; India 80; Uzbekistan 26; US 17; Iran 16; Tajikistan 14; France 7; Norway 1.
↑3
The order to halt aid, pending an assessment, was made by Donald Trump on the day he was inaugurated for his second term, 20 January 2025 (AAN). The decision to resume only two tiny, short-lived projects came gradually over the next few months and finally the almost complete cessation of aid became clear on 30 April (AAN).
↑4
At its peak in the late 2010s, Afghanistan had more than 3,000 health facilities. By 2024, that had been reduced by about a half, with just over 1,500 still operational. According to the WHO July 2025, Health Cluster Bulletin, only 297 of the approximately 400 districts in Afghanistan’s 34 provinces now have health facilities.
↑5
Research for the report was led by the Afghan Midwives Association (AMA), with the technical and financial support of the Afghanistan Nurses and Midwives Council (ANMC) and the United Nations Population Fund (UNFPA).
↑6
A pharmacy technician works under a pharmacist and plays a more junior, but still vital role.
↑7
Under the Islamic Republic, insurgency-related insecurity meant that some districts never got girls’ schools. Elsewhere, the plague of ‘ghost teachers’ and ‘ghost schools’ that only existed on paper, while officials pocketed money meant for wages and operations, undermined education at all levels and of both boys and girls (see AAN’s 2017 report, A Success Story Marred by Ghost Numbers).
Holding the Line in Afghanistan: Women’s health in crisis and one NGO’s response
This is a story about what happens when you are stateless and powerless—the daily humiliations, the endless waiting, the impossible choices, the dependence on strangers, the danger in every official encounter, the high price of survival, the struggle for dignity.
Safia Noori and Fakhruddin Elham are a young Afghan couple who both served in the Afghan special forces, fighting alongside American troops in Afghanistan. After the fall of Kabul, they fled Taliban persecution in their own country, then escaped to Pakistan, where they lived as refugees with their two small children, waiting for the United States to make good on its promise to bring Afghan allies to this country. Last year, Donald Trump returned to power and broke that promise, closing the doors to resettlement. Around the same time, the Pakistani government stopped renewing the visas of Afghan refugees and began deporting them by the hundreds of thousands. The family became fugitives with no legal status, hiding from the police in Islamabad to avoid being sent back to death or misery in Afghanistan, trying to find a way to safety.
On March 24, this magazine published my story about Safia and Elham. (I gave them pseudonyms for their own protection, but can safely use their real names now.) That day, an acquaintance who leads an international humanitarian organization, and who had brought the family’s plight to the attention of high-level Spanish officials back in January, used my essay to nudge Madrid about the family’s request for asylum, and Madrid nudged its embassy in Islamabad, setting in motion the maddening, dreamlike events that followed.
The next day, on March 25, the Spanish ambassador sent a letter approving the family’s travel to Spain for “international protection.” The embassy instructed Safia to send copies of plane tickets for Madrid, as well as all-important exit permits from the government of Pakistan, before their visas could be issued.
Spain’s positive decision didn’t guarantee anything. The family now had to get out of Pakistan without being caught and deported. This was difficult for Afghans in any circumstance; two wars would make it even harder. The American and Israeli attacks on Iran had shut down commercial flights over much of the Middle East and left only one viable route from Islamabad to Madrid—through Istanbul on Turkish Airlines. The other war, between Pakistan and Afghanistan, received much less international attention, but it had turned Afghan refugees, already a despised underclass around the region, into pariahs in Pakistan. Safia and Elham became enemies of a state that wanted to punish them for the actions of a Taliban regime in Kabul that regarded them as traitors and infidels.
A few days before hearing from the Spanish embassy, Safia and Elham had paid $1,400 to a fixer at a “travel agency” that put them on a waitlist for three-month tourist visas issued through a Pakistani consulate somewhere in Afghanistan. (The official cost for such a visa was $8, but obtaining one the normal way, through Pakistan’s embassy in Kabul, was virtually impossible.) Safia explained to me that this sketchy document would keep them relatively safe from the police while they looked for some way to leave Pakistan, but it wouldn’t be official enough to legalize their status. Also, the $1,400 was just a deposit. Delivery of the visas, not including ones for the children, would eventually cost $3,100—or maybe more. The price fluctuated almost daily, as if visas were being sold like black-market gasoline. Now, with Spain allowing the family to travel to Madrid, the $1,400 was a sunk cost.
The Pakistani government finds ingenious ways to profit off the desperation of Afghan refugees. It requires every foreigner without a valid Pakistani visa to obtain permission to leave the country—a document called, without irony, a “Humanitarian Safe Passage Exit Permit.” Four of them would cost the family $2,650 in fines and fees for overstaying the expired visas that Pakistan refused to renew. Even then, the exit permits weren’t certain. Like most things in Pakistan, they depended on connections and bribes.
First, Elham had to register their 2-year-old son, Yusuf, who didn’t have an entry visa, because he had been born in Pakistan, but who couldn’t leave without being recorded in the national database. This task required Elham to spend a day driving around Islamabad in the car of his Pakistani landlord, who had become a kind of guardian angel to the family because he and Safia were both Shiite Muslims, co-religionists of an oppressed minority. To prevent Elham’s Afghan accent from giving him away at the many police checkpoints, the landlord claimed him as his mute brother.
But even with a Pakistani at his side, Elham was turned away from one registration office after another. “When they checked my documents and saw that I am Afghan, they told me to leave the office and said that this matter was not their responsibility,” he told me later. Finally, the landlord called a friend in the Interior Ministry, who got the matter resolved. But Elham’s day spent wandering through bureaucratic Islamabad, he told me, “truly shows how people take advantage of the suffering of others.”
Pakistan now required all Afghans to pick up their exit permits in person at the Interior Ministry—but this seemed a likely trap for arrest and deportation. The work-around, of course, meant yet another bribe, and on Friday, March 27, Safia and Elham transferred $600 through the “travel agency” to the bank account of a ministry employee. In exchange, they were told, the exit permits would be issued digitally the following Monday.
“I do not trust the government of Pakistan at all, not even one percent,” Safia wrote to me. “But this situation is about bribery, and I know that in such cases, once they receive the money, they usually complete the work. By Monday, everything should become clear.” Meanwhile, the family would shop for suitcases and clothing to prepare for their departure, which seemed more and more like a jailbreak.
I was sending money to their landlord by way of Western Union for their expenses. (When I described the situation to my editors at The Atlantic, they decided to have the magazine reimburse me for some of the money I spent on the family’s travel.) By now I was exchanging a dozen messages a day with Safia and Elham. As they came closer to escape, I found it hard to concentrate on anything other than getting them out. But every day threw an unreasonable, enraging obstacle in their path.
Monday arrived. Safia and Elham waited all day for their exit permits. In the late afternoon the Interior Ministry issued a single permit: for 2-year-old Yusuf. Apparently, the rest were delayed by a computer glitch. Their fixer at the “travel agency” reported that the other permits would come within an hour if the glitch could be solved. If not, then tomorrow. An hour passed. Night fell. Safia and Elham drank coffee to stay awake. “Only when the exit permits finally arrive will my heart become calm and I will be able to sleep,” Safia told me.
The next morning brought no permits. The word now was that they would be sent at two in the afternoon. Two o’clock came and went. The unofficial price had apparently gone up. At 4:30 Safia wrote with alarming news: “They have stopped all exit permits and are not approving them. They said that tomorrow I and all my family members must go in person to the Ministry of Interior, and only then there may be a possibility of approval.” By now just hearing the word Pakistan left Safia trembling. She was, she said, “going crazy from worry.”
I didn’t think it was a good idea for a family of Afghan refugees to show up at the heavily guarded Interior Ministry, which was subordinate to Pakistan’s intelligence service, a rogue agency widely accused of aiding terrorist groups, including the Taliban during the American war in Afghanistan. I reached out to everyone I knew with Pakistani government contacts who could spring the exit permits. A friend managed to reach a top official in the Foreign Ministry, who agreed to help.
But Safia had already made up her mind. Life in Pakistan was unbearable. She would gather her courage and move toward her dreams or be handed over to the Taliban and killed. She was ready to accept either outcome.
The next morning, April 1, the family’s landlord drove them to the white concrete Interior Ministry building. Safia, Elham, and the children went inside the reception hall—a cramped room where two men in civilian clothes sat behind a counter. Safia handed over their passports and receipts showing that they had paid for the exit permits.
According to Safia, as soon as the men realized that these were Afghans standing in front of them, their manner turned hostile. One of them glared at her. “Come back next week,” he told her. “Then your work will be done.”
As politely as possible, Safia explained that their papers were in order, their fines had been paid along with extra “fees,” and they urgently needed the permits so they could leave Pakistan.
The official’s face hardened. “Afghans have no right to speak here,” he said. “Leave the hall.” He threw the family’s papers on the floor.
Safia was 26 years old. The past five years had brought many blows. The loss of her career in the Afghan military after the fall of Kabul, and of any hope for a decent life in her native country. A suicide bombing outside the Kabul airport gate that left scores of corpses all around her in a sewage ditch and barely spared Safia, her husband, and the child in her womb. The family’s flight from Taliban pursuers across Afghanistan, during which they survived on rice, bread, and water and slept in strange houses and mountain caves. Safia’s overwhelming desire in the worst moments to end her own life, which only her husband’s sympathy and the thought of her unborn child prevented. The two weeks Safia spent all alone in a Kabul hospital as she struggled to give birth to their daughter, Victoria, while her family stayed away for their safety and hers. The decision to sell everything she owned, including her wedding dowry, to pay for a black-market passport, then say goodbye to her parents and siblings and escape with her husband and baby into Pakistan. The refugee years that followed—the forms and interviews and medical exams the family was put through as they waited in vain for America to make good on its promise to bring its Afghan allies to safety. Those last months spent hiding from Pakistani police in a sunless room. The daily insults of petty bureaucrats. The waste of her youth, her life.
But instead of breaking, Safia clung with all her strength to the only thing she hadn’t lost.
“I’ve done nothing wrong,” she told the men in the ministry. “I’m not a terrorist. I’m a woman.” She later told me that her voice shook and rose nearly to a shout. “You must not treat me this way. I deserve to be treated like a human being. We’re human beings! Look at my children—what is their fault? You should be happy we’re leaving your country. I’ll file a complaint if you don’t do your job. We won’t leave until you do it!”
She sat down in a chair as if she would never again get up. An hour passed. Then one of the men called her to the counter. “You are very stubborn,” he said, and disappeared with their documents into an inner office. Half an hour later he emerged and handed over the exit permits. “Go,” he commanded.
Safia laughed. “Soon I’ll go, and I will never see this place again.”
Elham was hearing stories of Afghan travelers at the Islamabad airport separated from other passengers by immigration officers, harassed with impossible demands, and shaken down for hundreds, even thousands, of dollars. One family missed their flight to asylum, their exit permits expired, and they were deported to Afghanistan.
I discussed these last-minute risks with an American lawyer named Tom Villalon—a member of a tiny nonprofit called Rescue Afghan Women Now that helps keep dozens of Afghan women who’d served in their country’s military alive in Afghanistan and Pakistan. (Last week, one of them, a widow with two young sons, was arrested and deported to Kabul. Pakistan is now deporting as many as 5,000 Afghans a day.) Villalon had a colleague who knew the brother of a senior Pakistani official, and this man agreed to contact the immigration chief at the airport to ensure that Safia and Elham would be allowed to leave. I can’t tell you the brother’s name, just as I have to keep the landlord’s name out of this story. Among all the grief that Pakistan caused the family, some Pakistanis treated them with extraordinary kindness, and for that they might be punished.
The Turkish Airlines flight was scheduled to depart Islamabad in the predawn hours of Friday, April 10. That night I was with my wife and daughter in Córdoba, in the south of Spain. We had come for a short vacation, but also in hopes of meeting Safia, Elham, Victoria, and Yusuf at the Madrid airport. A picture appeared on my phone: a family selfie inside the terminal, broad smiles; by chance, 4-year-old Victoria was wearing a T-shirt that read ESCAPE. Sometime before midnight in Spain—1:30 a.m. in Pakistan—Elham tried to reach me on WhatsApp, but the call was dropped. A few minutes later a text message came. Turkish Airlines would not let them board the flight.
Their luggage had been weighed, and they were about to receive boarding passes, when two airline employees noticed the family and demanded their passports. One of the employees, a young Pakistani woman, sneered: “Go away, dirty Afghans, damned Afghans. Sit there. No one will allow you to travel.”
When the family didn’t move, the other employee, a Pakistani man who seemed to be the manager, snapped: “The lady is telling the truth. Why don’t you go over there? Didn’t you hear what she said? Do you want us to call the police to force you to leave?” The family abandoned the ticket counter and went to sit down. The manager called Elham back and told him that they couldn’t board their flight without return tickets—to Kabul. Elham displayed their Spanish visas and the letter from the ambassador granting their request to travel to Spain for asylum, but it made no difference.
Elham had spent five years in the Afghan special forces, fighting alongside American troops. Military service had given him a highly respected place in society. Now, to save his family, he had to try to put an American journalist he’d never met on the phone with an airline employee who suddenly had the power to ruin their lives. But the manager continued to insult Elham and refused to talk with me, and it seemed as if the family’s chance at freedom was going to slip away at the very last minute. If they weren’t able to reach safety, I thought to myself, then the world was an utterly hopeless place.
Then Villalon, the American lawyer, discovered that Turkish Airlines had flights from Madrid through Istanbul to Kabul. I got online, bought four fully refundable tickets, and sent them to Safia’s email. Their sudden appearance on her phone seemed to upset the manager, but he had to let the family go. A few minutes later, Safia sent me a message: “My heart has grown very dark toward this place.”
The last station in this gantlet of abuse was immigration. The family was sent to Booth #8, but Booth #8 sent them to Booth #3. Booth #3 was empty. Then Booth #1 called them over. Several officers examined the passports and conferred. Elham overheard enough of their Urdu to realize that the officers were familiar with the names of his family. One of them told Elham. “We’ll check your documents and make sure there’s no problem.”
The children were exhausted and had begun to cry. “There’s no problem,” Elham said. “We paid a lot of money to put everything in order.” And he added—perhaps with a gleam in his eye, since he was about to recover a morsel of all that Pakistan had taken from him: “If you want, I’ll call the brother of the senior official right now.”
“No, no, don’t call. Your documents are fine.”
Passports stamped—the last trace of Pakistan. The family started toward the departure gate, but the immigration officer had one more thing to say.
“If they hadn’t reported your names to us, we wouldn’t have allowed you to leave from here. We would have deported you to Afghanistan tonight.”
“Why?”
Elham would never forget the answer.
“Because you are Afghans.”
On the sidewalk outside the departures hall of Terminal 1 at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport, a dark-haired little girl in a yellow T-shirt is running toward me with outstretched arms. A minute later, in pictures taken by my daughter, Elham, Safia, Victoria, and Yusuf look impossibly young and hopeful.
And now they live in Madrid. Elham quickly mastered the metro, and Safia is competing with her husband in language acquisition, and Victoria and Yusuf love riding on playground swing sets. The Spanish government provides temporary housing in a neighborhood of outer Madrid, three meals a day, metro cards, Spanish lessons, recreational activities, and school for Victoria, while the family’s asylum request moves through the system. All alone in this strange country, Safia and Elham are determined to learn, work, and build a life for their children.
One day, Elham showed me a picture of a small desktop stand on which he’d placed the flags of Afghanistan and the United States. It made my heart sink. America didn’t deserve his unrequited loyalty. “Why not the Spanish flag?” I asked. After all, Spain had given his family the second chance that America denied them. Elham agreed: He would put a Spanish flag alongside the other two, which, he told me, stood for the bond between us.
When the Trump administration locked out Safia’s family and nearly all refugees, the rest of the world did the same. Pakistan and Iran have deported millions of Afghans back into misery; Canada, Australia, and other countries known for humanitarianism have narrowed the pathway to safety; most of Europe has shut itself off from desperate and oppressed people. Safia’s younger sister, a talented artist and writer, is stuck in Afghanistan, trying to resist a forced marriage to a Talib. Elham’s brother is being held in a Taliban prison because of Elham’s military service. It’s impossible for me to appreciate Spain’s generosity to this family without also thinking of the scale of injustice around the world, the toll of countless humiliations.
At night Safia still dreams of Pakistan. “It is as if our bodies have left, but part of our souls are still trying to escape,” she told me. “Those days left such deep marks on our spirits.” But after many years of only surviving, she said, “little by little I feel that a new chapter is opening before us. For the first time in a long time, alongside all the pain, I can also feel hope. I can feel that maybe life still holds beauty for us.”
The Final Hours: An Afghan family’s flight to safety
Choosing Defeat: The Twenty-Year Saga of How America Lost Afghanistan by Paul D. Miller. Cambridge, 545 pp., £35, October 2025, 978 1 009 61437 5
The United States brought the war on terror to practically every part of the world – landing military advisers on the Sulu archipelago in the Philippines, operating black sites in Poland and Romania, filling the cages of Guantánamo Bay. But the challenge to American power presented by the 11 September attacks came from a particular region: what Adam Garfinkle, a future speechwriter for both Colin Powell and Condoleezza Rice, referred to in 1999 as the Greater Middle East. Iraq would suffer what George W. Bush’s vice president, Dick Cheney, called the ‘full wrath of the United States of America’. Pakistan, Yemen and Somalia were subjected to a drone assassination programme. Iran was placed ‘right at the top of the list’ of America’s enemies by Cheney – even if it took his successors another two decades to get round to attacking it. But Afghanistan occupied a special place. The US would use the country, as Douglas Feith, who served in Bush’s administration, later put it, to ‘send signals to the Libyas, and the Syrias, and the Sudans, and the Iraqs and the Irans’. Once thought of as ‘the other war’ or the ‘good war’, Afghanistan became the forever war. By the time it ended in 2021 at least 175,000 people had been killed, not counting the far larger number of deaths caused indirectly by disease and malnutrition.
The basic story of the war can be told in relatively simple terms. A complacent empire struck at from its furthest periphery sought brutal retribution and enacted a bloody occupation. Eventually it grew tired and withdrew, leaving behind no great transformation. Many of those who had been involved in the war’s inception saw the chaotic Nato withdrawal in August 2021 as a betrayal both of Afghanistan and of the project of American power in the world. There are still eccentrics who believe the occupation failed because the US and its lieutenants were insufficiently committed to terrorising the locals. As with Iraq, the war in Afghanistan is not yet widely acknowledged to have been a crime rather than just a mistake, but even the political establishment in the West sees it as a cautionary tale.
An effort to rehabilitate the memory of the war may therefore seem to have a certain romantic quality. A former CIA officer enlisted in the war effort, Paul Miller is one of the few US officials of that period who focused his career on Afghanistan. From the CIA he made his way to the staff of Douglas Lute, adviser on Iraq and Afghanistan to both George W. Bush and Barack Obama. Between 2007 and 2009 Miller was director for Afghanistan and Pakistan on the US National Security Council, and was in the room when many of the major decisions of the war were taken. He has now set out to rescue its reputation from posterity. In his account, it was embarked on with fine intentions, even if it was conducted with carelessness. It dragged on for two decades and ended in a loss, but only because ‘every president who oversaw the war made major strategic errors’: Bush decided to invade Iraq; Obama announced the timeline for withdrawal during the surge; Trump gave the game away to the Taliban by negotiating that withdrawal; and Biden conducted the coup de grâce. If it hadn’t been for all that, the American adventure in Afghanistan could have been won.
Whether or not a war is winnable depends on its objectives. According to Miller, Afghanistan was ‘a clear-cut just war of self-defence’ which ‘just happened to require liberating an oppressed people’. In common with most accounts of the war, his neglects to mention that in September 2001 Afghanistan was in a state of incipient famine. In 1999 and 2000, the country had suffered drought and crop failures. A joint UN Food and Agriculture Organisation and World Food Programme mission found the ‘almost total failure of the 2001 harvest’, reporting that five million people would require international food shipments to survive. When the bombing campaign began that October the aid agencies were forced to suspend this programme. Médecins sans Frontières warned that ‘the air strikes, lack of aid and onset of winter will only magnify this catastrophe.’ Mass starvation was avoided by the concerted action of relief agencies when the air campaign abated in December 2001. But in September, when the decision was taken to attack, it wasn’t clear that this would be possible. No one seemed to care very much.
Miller argues that carpet-bombing perhaps the poorest country on earth as it faced famine was the only option. The standard argument used to justify the invasion was that the Taliban and al-Qaida were bound together by pact and thus were ‘indistinguishable’. But even if one were to accept that argument, the Taliban had no capacity to resist US action, so America could have ignored it – concentrating instead on trying to capture the al-Qaida leadership. This was never considered. As Donald Rumsfeld, the US secretary of defence, said in December 2001, ‘If you walked in and said “Here is Mr bin Laden” the problem would not go away.’ The invasion was ineffective in targeting al-Qaida’s leaders, who largely survived it and evaded capture. Some were captured at Tora Bora, but bin Laden lived for another decade, until the raid on Abbottabad. Khalid Sheikh Mohammed was captured in 2003, not by American soldiers but by Pakistan’s intelligence agency, the ISI, in Rawalpindi. Abu Hamza Rabia and Abu Laith al-Libi were assassinated by drone strikes in Waziristan in 2005 and 2008. Ayman al-Zawahiri survived numerous assassination attempts by drone before he was killed in Kabul in 2022.
Defences of the initial invasion often put great emphasis on the fact that the US had offered the Taliban the chance to surrender. Shortly after the 11 September attacks, the CIA’s Islamabad station chief, Bob Grenier, travelled to Quetta to meet the Taliban leaders Abdul Jalil Akhund and Akhtar Mohammad Osmani, who told him that the Taliban ‘would not risk the destruction of their nation for the sake of one man’. The CIA director at the time, George Tenet, is said to have passed a message via the ISI to the Taliban’s supreme leader, Mullah Omar, to say that the Taliban could avoid war if they gave up bin Laden. Omar refused to do so without proof that he had been responsible for 9/11. In Miller’s version, Bush and Cheney were models of emollience, and the fact that the US began marshalling its proxy forces on 12 September is merely evidence of prudent planning. But the idea that there was a real American attempt to avoid war is challenged by all serious scholarship. The US never entertained any option other than a full attack on Afghanistan. One reason for the Taliban’s obstinacy may have been that they knew what they were dealing with. As Wendy Chamberlin, the US ambassador to Pakistan, put it, ‘there was no inclination in Washington to engage in a dialogue with the Taliban.’ Miller disputes this. But the US certainly knew its demand that the Taliban hand over the al-Qaida leadership would never be accepted. As Bush himself would later write, it was intended to ‘firm up our justification for a military strike’.
The attack on Afghanistan began on 7 October and employed a combination of tactics – aerial bombardment and special forces working with local proxies. The CIA arrived in the Panjshir Valley with guns and cash for the Northern Alliance, a collection of mostly Tajik and Uzbek warlords who had a long history of collaborating with the agency – some of them had been involved in the destruction of Kabul in the 1990s after the fall of the communist regime. CIA officers handed $100,000 in cash to Abdulrab Rasul Sayyaf (who had palled around with bin Laden in the past). The UK Special Boat Service embedded with Abdul Rashid Dostum, whose men would soon herd hundreds of Taliban supporters into shipping containers to be suffocated to death, before bulldozing their bodies into holes in the desert. The notion that the CIA teamed up with Dostum, Fahim Khan and Gul Agha Sherzai to secure the principled liberation of Afghanistan is ludicrous, but Miller never questions it.
The air campaign mirrored the brutality meted out by the US’s local auxiliaries. Miller quotes Ryan Crocker, America’s first chargé d’affaires in Kabul, who described the devastation. ‘Just driving in from Bagram to Kabul, not a building standing... whole city blocks of Kabul were gone,’ Crocker wrote. ‘It looked like pictures of Berlin in 1945.’ (This description is offered not as a reflection on the attack but to demonstrate the need for reconstruction programmes.) In only two months the US had achieved what it thought was a ‘stunning victory’. As the Taliban leadership withdrew to Pakistan, the CIA rode into Kabul and took over the Ariana Hotel. Tens of thousands of Northern Alliance supporters sought their share of the spoils. The ease of the assault demonstrated the weakness of the Taliban state that was allegedly ‘protecting’ bin Laden, who sought the safety of the Spin Ghar mountains rather than a Taliban bunker.
By early 2002 the US believed it had won the war. Miller thinks in hindsight that the ‘light footprint’ of the early occupation was a mistake. It doesn’t help his argument that the examples he offers of successful state-building by the US and its allies are the Balkans, Sierra Leone and Liberia. The merits and demerits of state-building were much debated. But in 2002 the US wasn’t willing to spend much on Afghanistan (the easy money didn’t start flowing until much later). Miller argues that the US prioritised counterterrorism and set aside ‘virtually no resources’ for roads, schools and hospitals during the first two years of the occupation. Having spent $4.5 billion on three months of war, it set up a paper-thin transitional government on shoestring funds.
The Afghan Interim Administration and the Transitional Administration that succeeded it were dressed up as governments, but in practice they were satrapies dependent on external sponsorship. Hamid Karzai was chosen to lead the administration because of his American connection, his claim to a Pashtun lineage and because unlike Zahir Shah – another possibility – he hadn’t once been king. Days before the invasion the CIA had told Karzai, then in Pakistan, to get on his motorbike and enter the country. With his past support for the Taliban absolved, the Americans gave him a security team. After he was informed by a satellite phone call from Bonn that he would head the new government he started travelling around with American bodyguards. Almost all the political figures in post-invasion Afghanistan had ties of some sort to US intelligence. And as Miller notes, ‘for all intents and purposes, there was no government outside of Kabul and a few provincial capitals well into 2005.’
In a story brimming with failures Miller sees the internationally sponsored government in Kabul as one of the ‘islands of success’, crediting Karzai’s administration with producing ‘a more open society’. Miller praises the new Afghan army and police forces for fighting off the Taliban for more than a decade. But while they were supposed to be building a professional army, US forces were hiring local militia members whenever they needed muscle. America spent billions of dollars on anti-narcotics programmes; the result was a net increase in poppy cultivation. Miller claims to admire the work of the academic Thomas Barfield on the American state-building endeavour. But unlike Miller, Barfield saw that post-invasion Afghanistan was a corrupt paper state dependent on international donations, offering little to the population and subject to the final authority of the US empire. As he put it in 2010, the ‘unexpected measure of goodwill from the Afghan people in 2002 was heedlessly squandered in the coming years by inept policies that failed to bring security to many regions’.
Soon enough the Taliban recovered from its defeat. It started ambushing coalition forces, downing helicopters, attacking the funerals of collaborating clerics and conducting suicide operations at Bagram airbase, withdrawing into tribal Pakistan when necessary. The British army redeployed to Helmand in 2006 in the hope that a reputation destroyed in Iraq might be rescued by fighting the insurgency alongside the reasonable Canadians and Dutch. But in the event they often ended up fuelling the violent conflict they were ostensibly there to prevent. That is, when they weren’t executing farmers in their beds in front of their wives. Somehow this didn’t help eliminate support for the Taliban.
Miller tries to finesse this by arguing that if the occupation forces behaved poorly it is because there were too few of them, and that if there had been more they might have been more professional. But given his claims about the merits of the occupation it’s unclear why he thinks there was an insurgency at all. His view seems to be that the Taliban, by some metaphysical means, conjured up a bitter struggle across the country against an impeccable project. When American planners realised how severe the insurgency was they sent in the marines, who couldn’t speak the local languages, to train Afghan police and soldiers who couldn’t speak English. Young men were plucked from their villages, given a couple of weeks of training and then sent to man rural checkpoints. In the best-case scenario, they answered to the corrupt Ministry of the Interior in Kabul; often they ended up working with the Taliban. Miller says he knew at the time that the situation was ‘dire’. But it’s difficult to square that with his general claim, which is that if the cheques for the phantom Afghan army brigades had arrived a year earlier it would all have been different.
Obama entered office in 2009 believing that the situation in Afghanistan could be turned around. The first year of his presidency put paid to that. His two major innovations were the drone campaign in Waziristan and the surge. In February 2009, the US deployed 21,000 more soldiers and another 30,000 arrived in December. At the height of the surge there were 150,000 US and coalition troops in the country. Miller is very critical of Obama’s decision to put a public timetable on the surge (stating that the bulk of US forces would return home in July 2011), which he sees as the hinge point in the whole war. The timetable was intended to send a message to the government in Kabul that it had a limited amount of time to get its act together, but in fact the pre-announcement meant that the Taliban knew when the American push would end. The surge ensured there were plenty of American soldiers around, but it also drew closer attention to the nature of the Afghan government, which was festering in a way that was obvious even to the US officials who visited. When Richard Holbrooke, the US special representative, and Vice President Joe Biden met Karzai they immediately saw the problem. In 2009, Holbrooke and Karzai tried to rig the upcoming elections in different directions. In the resulting mess Karzai remained in place. Miller holds the view that it was a great moral achievement that a certain percentage of women won office in these fraudulent elections – presumably so they could work alongside the CIA assets in the cabinet.
Miller is preoccupied by the reason American officials, and Americans in general, thought of the war in Afghanistan in the way they did. He records that in 2001 the war had near unanimous support in the US, and still had substantial majority support in 2008. But by the end of the surge in 2012 enthusiasm had been replaced by a sense of futility. Miller chalks some of this up to a ‘mood music of pessimism that would swell throughout the war’. But the real reason the Obama administration scaled back its ambitions was the feeling that the whole thing was beyond repair. Though the US is thought to have provided more than $130 billion to the Afghan state between 2002 and 2021, most of it went straight to security forces and much of the rest was siphoned off to accounts in the Gulf and Switzerland. Looked at from this perspective, the war in Afghanistan wasn’t ‘wasteful’ so much as an efficient vehicle for the transfer of public funds to arms companies and contractors.
The American military commanders and political appointees who circled in and out of Afghanistan in those years tended to cling to a common delusion. Miller has interviewed plenty who believe they made great progress when they were there – a sentiment captured in the phrase ‘we were doing well when I left.’ He is kinder to those who opposed withdrawal. Leon Panetta, CIA director and then secretary of defence under Obama, tells Miller it was an achievement that ‘for twenty years we were able to prevent Afghanistan from collapsing and having the Taliban take over.’ Some officials knew how bad the situation was. Miller takes to task Chuck Hagel, Panetta’s successor at the Pentagon, for believing the US was losing while also wanting to withdraw (if the war was being lost, that should have been an argument for persevering). The fate of the surge was another example of a lack of commitment among American political leaders to ‘the moral necessity of victory in a just cause’.
The first time US officials made formal contact with the Taliban was in 2010, when a former aide to Mullah Omar came to Munich. The US insisted the Taliban accept principles (inclusion, pluralism) that it claimed were hallmarks of the administration it had erected in Kabul. The Taliban said it wouldn’t talk to Karzai. It was two years before the talks were picked up again. The second round of negotiations was half-hearted, but it did lead to the establishment of the Taliban office in Doha, which Karzai worried might look like a government in exile. The main problem the US had in dealing with the Taliban was that it had little to offer: its soldiers were already going home in advance of a planned full handover to the Afghan government. But the Kabul administration was already starting to lose territory. Narrow defeats for government forces in 2014 were followed by routs in Kunduz and Helmand in 2015. Obama was soon talking of bringing the war to a ‘responsible conclusion’. Miller credits Peter Lavoy, a veteran of the national security bureaucracy, with persuading Obama not to withdraw in 2016 and to keep 12,000 troops in place.
From then on the occupation was a holding action. Most of the coalition soldiers were doing little fighting, with the exception of American and British special forces death squads, which continued to terrorise the countryside. When Trump entered office it was on a platform that included getting the US out of Afghanistan. But he ended up introducing another 3000 troops and increasing the rate of airstrikes. It wasn’t until September 2018 that he tasked the US special representative Zalmay Khalilzad and Mike Pompeo, the secretary of state, with reopening negotiations with the Taliban. The Doha Agreement signed by Pompeo and Abdul Ghani Baradar in February 2020 stipulated that the US would leave Afghanistan fourteen months later and that the Taliban would not give safe haven to al-Qaida (in addition to whatever was included in a classified annex about anti-terrorism co-operation). Khalilzad, who had been there from the start, knew the US presence had run its course, but seems to have believed that the government in Kabul would persist in some form for longer than it did.
The Taliban began its offensive just after May 2021, the withdrawal deadline in the agreement. The Afghan army nominally had more than 200,000 men and should have been capable of holding the territory Kabul controlled. But the real function of the Afghan army units wasn’t to fight: it was to reinforce the political balance in Kabul. Miller blames the US for withdrawing military supplies to the Afghan helicopter fleet, which is fair enough. Still, there’s no reason to think this would have changed anything. In August the Taliban captured all the provincial capitals, including Kabul, in a matter of days. Ashraf Ghani, who had become president in 2014, fled to Uzbekistan and then to the UAE.
The debacle of the US withdrawal, being closer to us in time, now looms larger than most of the malfeasances of the war itself. The US had to scramble to evacuate more than 100,000 people in two weeks. A suicide bombing at Hamid Karzai airport in Kabul killed 170 Afghans and 13 US troops. In return a US drone strike killed ten Afghan civilians (seven of them children). Miller considers the withdrawal the core defeat of the war and an unnecessary act of abandonment. If the government in Kabul was still unable to govern the country after twenty years, all the more reason to stay. The forever war, he argues, ‘was affordable, sustainable, and successful at the bare minimum goal of keeping the lid on Afghanistan’. He comes down hard on Biden for going through with the withdrawal, and charges him with thinking that the war in Afghanistan was fundamentally similar to the Vietnam War (of which Miller also seems to think Biden was too critical). He makes no mention of the Parthian shot of freezing the assets of Afghanistan’s central bank during yet another humanitarian crisis.
In reality, since the early days of the Obama administration US leaders had often seen Afghanistan as an extravagance they could no longer afford. As early as 2009, the political scientist Robert Jervis argued that the presence of the international coalition was a problem in itself. The Taliban had roots in Afghan society: it was never going to be excluded from the country’s future. ‘Withdrawal without winning’ was the probable result. Jervis argued that if the Taliban simply took over, as was likely, the US would not be threatened to a significant degree. And the supposed reputational damage was exaggerated. Would the US really ‘appear more resolute – and wiser – for fighting in Afghanistan’? If not, why not withdraw?
Despite years of discussion of the prospect, the withdrawal was greeted in much of the American press with hysterical laments over the death of the American empire. Miller is unwilling to reckon with the possibility that the manner of the war’s end revealed something about its nature. He refers to the withdrawal as ‘the Versailles of the war on terror’, a comparison that speaks for itself. But the scarpering retreat can be counted among the war’s less shameful episodes. In April 2023, Biden’s White House published its official version of events, in which it blamed the Trump administration for the loss of territory to the Taliban, and US intelligence agencies for excessively sanguine assessments of the Kabul government. The withdrawal was justified by two conflicting claims. The US ‘had become bogged down in a war in Afghanistan with unclear objectives and no end in sight’, but it had also ‘accomplished its mission in Afghanistan’. The report’s conclusion was more plausible: ‘The speed and ease with which the Taliban took control of Afghanistan suggests that there was no scenario – except a permanent and significantly expanded US military presence – that would have changed the trajectory.’
Because the war dragged on for as long as it did (Afghanistan is officially the longest war in US history), substantial reflections on its legacy appeared quite quickly. In 2021, Carter Malkasian published a major history of the war that made stinging criticisms of practically every facet of the undertaking. His conclusion was that the US had reanimated a brutal civil war and that the international intervention was ‘a blight on the peace and wellbeing of the people of Afghanistan’. Miller is superficially respectful of the breadth of Malkasian’s knowledge and his access to Pashto sources, but still accuses him of adopting the Taliban perspective. Lapsing into the rhetorical style of the early 2000s, he charges Malkasian with believing ‘the United States was an illegitimate, occupying power’ and implying ‘moral equivalence between the mistakes of the American war and the tyranny of Taliban rule’.
Miller himself sees the war in Afghanistan as a classic defeat of the will. If the US and its accomplices had summoned the fortitude, the war could have been won. There is a clear echo here of the idea that the US lost the Vietnam War on the home front – a view popular among former officials involved in its conduct. Perhaps it is more convenient, in both cases, to believe this than to accept that you have helped lead your country into a futile war that killed tens of thousands of people. The US may have ‘fought a selfish war with little regard for the Afghans’. But that was incidental. Another war had been possible. Just think, the US could still be in Afghanistan today.
Miller claims his book is a re-examination of the war and his part in it. But it is closer to an apologia. So much that is relevant to the story is absent. Torture plays little role in his account, despite its centrality to the spirit of those years. The name Salt Pit – a CIA black site near Kabul – does not appear. Neither does the Patriot Act. The only reference to special forces death squads is hidden in brief remarks about green berets ‘kicking down doors and doing night raids and putting bullets into bodies’. As for the role the US played in Afghanistan in the 1980s and 1990s, which created the conditions that attracted al-Qaida, Miller seems to think it better ignored. Only once is some introspection evident, when he admits that, fifteen years into the war, he came to the realisation that the public at home thought of ‘the American war in Afghanistan primarily as a war of retribution’.
American military power coloured by fantasies of retribution is once again being visited on the Greater Middle East. When the US and Israel began their deranged attack on Iran earlier this year, Trump referred to Afghanistan as the kind of debacle typical of his predecessors – one he would avoid. Pete Hegseth, the secretary of defence, stressed that Iran would not be ‘endless’ like Afghanistan but ‘realistic’. Holman Jenkins, a member of the editorial board of the Wall Street Journal, which has strongly supported the war in Iran, noted that even though ‘Afghanistan went on for twenty years’ it did not fatally injure the political prospects of the political leaders who prosecuted it. ‘Trump’s war is looking like a bargain in comparison and, by certain measures, even a victory.’
Who would want to rescue the reputation of the war in Afghanistan? Despite the efforts of some of those involved, its legacy is unlikely to improve with time and scrutiny. But bitter tastes fade. It’s possible to imagine a future in which disaster in Iran flatters by comparison the war in Afghanistan. The war was destructive for Afghanistan, but it wasn’t all that bloody for the home troops. And think of all the civilising we did. The tactics of mass torture and humanitarian bombing campaigns might be needed again. The damage the Afghanistan war did to America’s global position would be insignificant compared with the worst outcomes of the present war in Iran. Perhaps Afghanistan will once again come to be seen as a model rather than a warning.
The United Nations says aid workers are still in a “race against time” to remove rubble and rebuild after the devastating earthquake struck eastern Afghanistan last month, killing at least 2,200 people and cutting off remote areas.
The 6.0-magnitude quake on Aug. 31 was shallow, destroying or causing extensive damage to low-rise buildings in the mountainous region. It hit late at night, and homes — mostly made of mud, wood, or rocks — collapsed instantly, becoming death traps.
Satellite data shows that about 40,500 truckloads of debris still needs to be cleared from affected areas in several provinces, the United Nations Development Program said Wednesday. Entire communities have been upended and families are sleeping in the open, it added.
The quake’s epicenter was in remote and rugged Kunar province, challenging rescue and relief efforts by the Taliban government and humanitarian groups. Authorities deployed helicopters or airdropped army commandos to evacuate survivors. Aid workers walked for hours on foot to reach isolated communities.
“This is a race against time,” said Devanand Ramiah, from the UNDP’s Crisis Bureau. “Debris removal and reconstruction operations must start safely and swiftly.”
People’s main demands were the reconstruction of houses and water supplies, according to a spokesman for a Taliban government committee tasked with helping survivors, Zia ur Rahman Speenghar.
People were getting assistance in cash, food, tents, beds, and other necessities, Speenghar said Thursday. Three new roads were under construction in the Dewagal Valley, and roads would be built to areas where there previously were none.
“Various countries and organizations have offered assistance in the construction of houses but that takes time. After the second round of assistance, work will begin on the third round, which is considering what kind of houses can be built here,” the spokesman said.
Afghanistan is facing a “perfect storm” of crises, including natural disasters like the recent earthquake, said Roza Otunbayeva, who leads the U.N. mission to the country.