Afghanistan: Forced returns to Taliban rule must end as latest figures reveal millions unlawfully deported in 2025

Amnesty International

16 December 2025

All forced returns of refugees and asylum seekers to Afghanistan must immediately end, Amnesty International said, as the latest UN figures revealed that Iran and Pakistan alone have unlawfully expelled more than 2.6 million people to the country this year. About 60% of those returned are women and children. Thousands of others have been deported from Turkey and Tajikistan.    

The figures come as the Taliban intensify their attacks on human rights with devastating effect particularly on women and girls, and the country remains in the grip of a humanitarian crisis, which has been further exacerbated by the recent series of natural disasters. Afghanistan’s deepening humanitarian crisis increases the real risk of serious harm for returnees and underscores states’ binding non-refoulement obligations under customary international law, which prohibits the forcible return of anyone to a place where they face a real risk of grave human rights violations.

This year, European states have also ramped up efforts to forcibly return Afghans, with media reporting GermanyAustria, and the European Union in negotiations with the de facto Taliban authorities to facilitate forced returns.

“Despite the Taliban’s well-documented repression of human rights, many states, including Iran, Pakistan, Turkey, Tajikistan Germany and Austria, are clamouring to deport Afghans to a country where violations particularly against women, girls and dissenting voices are widespread and systematic. This is without even mentioning the dire and deepening humanitarian crises, with more than 22 million people – nearly half of the country’s population – in need of assistance,” said Smriti Singh, Amnesty International’s Regional Director for South Asia.

This rush to forcibly return people to Afghanistan ignores why they fled in the first place and the serious dangers they face if sent back

Smriti Singh, Amnesty International’s Regional Director for South Asia

“This rush to forcibly return people to Afghanistan ignores why they fled in the first place and the serious dangers they face if sent back. It shows a clear disregard for states’ international obligations and violates the binding principle of non-refoulement.”

Under the Taliban, women and girls are being systematically erased from public life. They are banned from education beyond the age of 12, their freedom of movement and expression are denied, and they are prohibited from working with the UN, NGOs, or in state affairs – except in exceptional cases such as airport security, primary education, and healthcare. Those who worked for the former government – specifically members of the Afghanistan National Defence and Security Forces (ANDSF) – or those criticizing the Taliban’s draconian policies, including human rights defenders and journalists, also face continued severe reprisals.

Amnesty International conducted 11 remote interviews: seven with those who were forced to return to Afghanistan from Iran and Pakistan, and four with Afghan refugees and asylum seekers who were at risk of immediate deportation from Iran and Pakistan, between July and November 2025. One of the four interviewed, fearing arrest by the Taliban, managed to return to the country from which she had been deported.

Attacks against former government employees

Following recent cross border clashes with the Taliban, Pakistan has intensified its efforts to deport Afghan refugees. Meanwhile, in Iran, at least 2.6 million Afghans were registered in 2022 for temporary protection and access basic services, including public education, work authorization and state healthcare, via a “headcount” document. However, on 12 March 2025 Iran’s Centre for Foreign Nationals and Immigration Affairs, which falls under the Ministry of Interior, announced that “headcount” documents for Afghans would automatically expire from the start of the year 1404 on Iran’s calendar (corresponding to 21 March 2025), and that access to socioeconomic services would be terminated.

The Iranian authorities’ mass expulsions scaled up in the aftermath of the escalation of hostilities between Israel and Iran in June 2025, and between July and October 2025, over 900,000 Afghans were unlawfully expelled from Iran, out of 1.6 million between January and October 2025.

Shukufa* worked with the former Afghan government and at an international organization prior to the Taliban takeover in August 2021. She fled to Iran in early 2022, but was forcibly returned a few months later after her visa expired. Immediately after returning, she fled to Pakistan where she managed to register for asylum with the UN Refugee Agency (UNHCR). But in June 2025, the police raided her house, and she was deported to Afghanistan along with her family members.

She described the situation under the Taliban: “We cannot freely leave our home… there are no job opportunities. Girls’ schools are closed. There are no employment opportunities. We [as former government officials and activists] cannot directly go to the Taliban-run offices for fear of being recognized.”

Several former government officials, members of the former security forces, and activists who spoke to Amnesty International said that they live in fear and could not return to their provinces or previous residences due to their past work and activism. Despite announcing a general amnesty for those who worked under the former government, the Taliban have persistently targeted former government officials and members of security and defence forces with arbitrary arrests, torture, unlawful detention, and extrajudicial killings.

These abuses have continued, including against individuals who have been forcibly returned. The UN Assistance Mission in Afghanistan (UNAMA) documented 21 instances of arbitrary arrest, torture, and ill-treatment, along with the killings of 14 former members of the security and defence personnel between July and September 2025 alone. On 21 November, an Afghan media outlet operating from abroad reported that Taliban had arrested five former security personnel who had been deported from Iran and were on their way to their home province, Panjshir.

Shukufa*, who worked with the previous government, said: “I cannot go the place where I previously lived. Someone else is staying in the house. We have rented a house in a different location… My husband worked in the security agencies. He is also afraid for his security.”

Gull Agha*, who worked in the security and defence agencies prior to August 2021, was forced to return from Iran in April 2025 after his “headcount” document was declared expired. He said the Iranian officials had claimed that he and other Afghan nationals could re-enter Iran by applying for work visas at the Iranian consulate and embassy in Afghanistan without acknowledging the grave risks Gull Agha and others like him would face if returned to Afghanistan.

He said: “Though we were told that (in Afghanistan) we can refer [ourselves] to the Iranian Consulate for a work visa, since I am a former security personnel, I cannot go and apply for a [Afghan] passport at the passport department. It has all my biometric data.”

He also said those who had approached the Iranian consulate were told no such ‘work visa’ programme existed.

In August 2025, a survey by UNHCR reported that 82% of the returnees were in debt due to displacement, a lack of jobs, and loans taken to meet basic needs upon arrival in Afghanistan.

Persecution of women and girls

Despite facing some of the worst gender-based discrimination in the world – amounting to the crime against humanity of gender persecution – women and girls are being deported to Afghanistan in large numbers. According to UN estimates, half of those deported from Pakistan were women and girls, while 30% of deportees from Iran up to June 2025 were women and girls.

All states must immediately stop forced returns and uphold their non-refoulement obligations under international law

Smriti Singh

Women’s rights activist Sakina* fled to Pakistan after the Taliban takeover in 2021 but was forcibly returned in September 2025, despite being registered with UNHCR and being listed on a US humanitarian resettlement programme.

The Taliban twice arrested and beat members of Sakina’s family to reveal her whereabouts. Upon her return to Afghanistan, she moved to a different province before escaping the country again.

“I did not leave the house during my stay in Afghanistan. Women are afraid of the Taliban. I felt [hope] had died in people because of the fear from the Taliban. I was not only afraid that the Taliban would recognize me, but also, I was afraid that the Taliban would arrest me for not wearing hijab,” Sakina told Amnesty International.

“All states must immediately stop forced returns and uphold their non-refoulement obligations under international law. Failing to do so means ignoring the grave dangers Afghans face and turning away from their legal and moral responsibilities. States must also widen and fast-track resettlement routes and recognize Afghan human rights defenders, women and girls, former officials, journalists, and others at increased risk, as prima facie refugees,” said Smriti Singh.

*Names changed to protect identities

Afghanistan: Forced returns to Taliban rule must end as latest figures reveal millions unlawfully deported in 2025
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Afghan Women Spoke: The People’s Tribunal for Afghan Women listened

Rachel Reid

Afghanistan Analysts Network

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The judges of the People’s Tribunal for the Women of Afghanistan have found the Taliban guilty of the crime against humanity of gender persecution. Although this civil society tribunal does not have the force of law, it was conceived as a platform that could powerfully amplify the voices of women from both inside and outside Afghanistan, engage national and international media and provide evidence for any future prosecutions. The hearings were held in Madrid in October, after which the international panel of eight judges reviewed the evidence. They delivered their verdict in The Hague, where they also warned of the political ramifications of any normalisation of the Emirate’s diplomatic status. AAN’s Rachel Reid attended both the hearings and the verdict and heard from prosecutors, witnesses, organisers and experts about what the tribunal set out to do and what its findings might yet set in motion. 

The People’s Tribunal for the Women of Afghanistan’s panel of judges read their final judgment during a session in The Hague. Photo: Rachel Reid, AAN, 11 December 2025
These are not just my words; this is the pain of women who have been silent for the past four years and could not speak out. They were alive but not living; they were just breathing.
The words of Witness 14 at the People’s Tribunal for the Women of Afghanistan, dedicating her testimony to all the women she described as having been silenced for the last four years. Her testimony was just one of many memorable moments in two days of hearings. Some witnesses gave their testimony in person, though some concealed their identities; testimony from inside Afghanistan came in the form of voice notes or written statements with simultaneous translation.

The Tribunal comes at a time when several countries are moving toward diplomatic engagement with the Emirate, despite, often at the same time, decrying its restrictions on women and girls. The fear of creeping normalisation was one factor driving the setting up of the Tribunal. It was requested by and primarily organised by four Afghan NGOs, with the assistance of the Permanent People’s Tribunal (PPT), which has convened such tribunals since 1979, often to address crimes that would otherwise not be tackled by international justice mechanisms. Although the International Criminal Court issued arrest warrants for two senior Taliban leaders for the crime of gender persecution in July 2025, the Afghan organisers fear that arrests might be a distant prospect.

The witnesses provided the emotional power of the indictment, presented by four Afghan prosecutors, in which they accused ten individual Taliban leaders and the Taliban as a group and as the de facto rulers of Afghanistan of the crime of gender persecution and several other violations of international human rights law. The Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan (IEA), which defends its policies towards women as religiously ordained, ignored multiple requests to provide a defence.

The tribunal was livestreamed in its entirety by Afghan media via satellite TV across Afghanistan and beyond, with around 350,000 people watching or engaging both the hearings and verdict on social media. People attending the hearings received photographs of friends and relatives in Afghanistan watching the proceedings in real time, in secret.

This report will provide an overview of the indictment and the testimony, as well as hearing from witnesses, organisers and experts on the tribunal’s political and legal significance.

The Hearings 

The hearings were held in Madrid from October 8-10. They were opened by the Executive Director of Rawadari, Shaharzad Akbar, with a clear enunciation of the reasons why they had brought it into being:

We want this tribunal to be a platform to share the struggle of women, as well as to highlight their inspiring resistance. This tribunal will enable them to claim their right to be seen to speak and to demand justice in the face of the world’s most extreme system of gender-based oppression… The Taliban for now, make themselves untouchable through brutality. They maintain their violent patriarchal dystopia through the stolen lives of our mothers, our sisters, our daughters. We will not relinquish those lives. We will not relinquish hope. This tribunal puts on record the suffering of our sisters. It’s a form of resistance and remembrance. 

Akbar was personally instrumental in instigating this People’s Tribunal, but the event itself was a feat of organisation by Rawadari and three other Afghan NGOs, Afghanistan Human Rights and Democracy Organization (AHRDO), DROPS (Organization for Policy Research and Development Studies) and Human Rights Defenders Plus (HRD+). Organising such a tribunal often takes a year or more: this event was pulled together in just eight months.

The hearings were held over two days in Madrid at the offices of the Madrid Bar Association, a nineteenth-century building with gilded décor and walls lined with law books, lending the event a sense of grandeur. Around 100 people attended, mostly victims and survivors, along with some invited experts, UN officials and observers from the International Criminal Court. The panel of eight international judges sat on an elevated podium throughout the proceedings.[1]

The four Afghan prosecutors, Benafsha Yaqoobi, Orzala Nemat, Moheb Mudessir, and Azadah Raz Mohammad, had submitted their indictment to the judges in advance of the hearings and opened proceedings by presenting their core allegations. The indictment focused on the crime against humanity of gender persecution and numerous violations of international human rights law.[2] The prosecutors also made a case for the codification of a new crime of gender apartheid, a campaign initiated in 2023 to put the systematic and institutionalised nature of the Emirate’s policies towards women on a legal par with existing laws against systems of racial apartheid (explored in this AAN report). The prosecutors encouraged the judges to add their authority to the gender apartheid campaign in their verdict.

The indictment named the Taliban as a group and the State of Afghanistan as responsible for these crimes, as well as listing ten IEA leaders whom they said bore individual criminal responsibility (spellings as per the indictment):

  • Habatullah Akhundzada (Supreme Leader);
  • Sirajuddin Haqqani (Minister of Interior);
  • Mullah Mohammad Yaqoob (Minister of Defence);
  • Abdul Ghani Baradar (Deputy Prime Minister);
  • Noor Mohammad Saqib (Minister of Hajj and Religious Affairs);
  • Sheikh Muhammad Khalid Hanafi (Minister for Promotion of Virtue and Prevention of Vice);
  • Shaikh Abdul Hakim Haqqani (Chief Justice of the Supreme Court);
  • Neda Mohammad Nadeem (Minister of Higher Education);
  • Habibullah Agha (Minister of Education); and
  • Abdul Haq Wasiq (Director of the General Directorate of Intelligence, GDI).

In her opening statement, Azadah Raz Mohammad explained that the prosecutors would establish that “the Taliban’s policies on gender persecution are not isolated or random. They’re systematic, institutionalised, and intentionally directed at women and girls solely on the basis of their gender. This is the very essence of gender-based persecution under international criminal law.”

Another prosecutor, Orzala Nemat, told AAN that the indictment had taken them months of work. The team had reviewed and cross-referenced evidence from academic journals and “credible” organisations and institutions, as well as considering the international treaties and conventions to which Afghanistan is a signatory, to clarify the legal framework. They also had a careful process of selecting witnesses, as well as interviewing the witnesses “several times, to make sure that the witnesses are ready and prepared to come and present their testimony in this tribunal.”

The witnesses

The testimony from the witnesses brought the many aspects of the crime of gender persecution into sharp focus. Their accounts were at times harrowing, yet the witnesses spoke with dignity, defiance and clarity of purpose. Several witnesses spoke of being assaulted in the streets, detained and tortured. Others spoke of the mental and financial strain caused by the sudden loss of their jobs, hopes for higher education and career ambitions.

For their security and that of their family members inside Afghanistan, witnesses were identified only by number rather than by names. Some came to the hearings in person, having fled into exile since 2021, though many still covered their faces. Others, still inside the country, sent testimony in the form of voice notes or written statements, which were read aloud by volunteers in the room, with simultaneous translation into three languages (Dari, Pashto and English).

As an indication of how determined some were to testify, one woman who could not send her audio testimony because of the two-day internet blackout in Afghanistan, made a risky and difficult journey to the border of a neighbouring country, just to find an internet connection and send her statement.

Protests, detentions and torture 

Several of the witnesses had been part of the protests in the early weeks and months of the Emirate’s rule. Witness 22 recalled 15 August 2021, when the Taliban took over Kabul: “On that day, we lost everything we believed in.” She explained why she had felt she had no choice but to take to the streets: “The Taliban, from their very first days, denied women the right to education. And day by day, their restrictions increased, which was intolerable for us. So, we resorted to protests.”

Witness 13 had been a schoolteacher, originally from Herat. She too got involved in the protests but went into hiding after seeing other women arrested and tortured. In 2023, she was arrested, along with her two daughters: “I was tortured in their dreaded torture chambers in the worst ways. Due to their savage beating, my brain was damaged and my neck was severely injured; my ears bled for a full month.” She was eventually released after mediation by village elders, but said the experience left her whole family traumatised and forced them into exile: “[It was] the fear and dread that my children might be tortured that forced us to leave our homeland, my mother. I didn’t begin protesting in order to leave it.”

Several witnesses spoke of abuse at the hands of security forces. A woman, who is ethnic Hazara, described being sexually harassed by the notorious religious police from the Prevention of Vice and Promotion of Virtue Ministry, saying they had joked that it was halal – Islamically permitted – because she was Hazara. Witness 3 told of her attempt to seek protection from her violent husband, whom she had been married to at the age of ten. She said her husband’s violence “intensified with the arrival of the Taliban.” With nowhere else to turn to, she sought help from the Taliban:

When I took my petition to the Taliban, they tore it to pieces. They dragged me out of the police station; they beat me and told me that I was “a bad woman. … He is your husband. He is your owner. He has the right to beat you. You’re a bad woman. A woman who goes to the authorities to complain – we should put a bullet in her head and get rid of her. You are a bad woman” 

Eventually, she ran away but was quickly arrested and returned to her husband. She ran away for a second time and this time, found some women protestors in Kabul to stay with. But then, the house was raided:

They beat all the girls and took our phones. They said, “You’re raising your voices against Islam,” but we were only asking for our rights: the right to work, the right to education, the right not to be forced into a marriage, and not to have our children taken from us. What crime had we committed that the Taliban tortured us and beat us? … The moment the Taliban attacked us, I thought it was the last day of my life. They said, “You are women. Women are the second sex. What we are doing to you is correct; it is stated in Islam.” They arrested all the girls and beat us. Some girls fainted and fell on the ground. The Taliban showed no mercy. We asked them to let us take a girl to the doctor, they said, “No, you are women. Women are deceitful.” They beat us, tortured us and insulted us.

Denial of education

The testimony and evidence presented were broken down by the prosecutors into several strands of the crime of gender persecution, as well as other violations of international human rights law, including the denial of education. Multiple witnesses spoke of this as a crushing loss

Witness 18 said the ban had erased “our hope, plans, and the decisions we‘d made for our future.” She had tried to register for a post-graduate degree but was told: “Who gave women so many rights? You had seven or eight years of education, that’s enough for you, you have already learned too much.”

Witness 13, a former teacher, recounted her struggle to console girls whom she said would ask her: “What is our sin? What should we do? What crime have we committed besides pursuing an education?’ I’d encourage them to remain steadfast and resilient, but I’d cry to myself.” Several women recounted bruising interactions with Emirate-appointed officials at universities, including Witness 7. She tried to get her education certificate from the university where she’d studied, but said she was told: “You women committed prostitution for twenty years and now you want to continue those things? The Islamic Emirate has arrived.”

Denial of employment

For some witnesses, the loss of educational opportunities was tied to the loss of employment. Witness 14 said that taken together, these restrictions stripped women of their “autonomy and even dignity.” The impact of job losses was described in terms of the damage to mental health, as well as pushing families into poverty, particularly those where women were the primary breadwinners. Witness 19 was a journalist, who, like most women journalists, was forced out of her job. She and other journalists tried to hold a press conference to draw attention to the job losses, but were barred from doing so and detained.

They were holding their weapons, standing above us as if we were dangerous criminals – murderers – waiting to be executed. It was terrifying. One of them sat facing us, speaking in a vulgar and aggressive tone. He said, “We’ve come to make the country Islamic, to bring back the ways of Islam, and to make people true Muslims. But you’re making us look terrible to the world. You’re giving us a bad name.” 

She said one of the Talibs shouted profanities and said: “How dare you, a woman, come here among non-mahrams and stand in front of me and speak?”

After she was released, she decided to go into hiding for a few days, but two days later, the Taliban raided her house:

They asked my husband, “Where is your wife?” My husband said, “I don’t know, she left yesterday, but she hasn’t come back home yet.” They told him: “What kind of man are you — letting your wife leave the house without a mahram, and you sit here without a care in the world, not even knowing where she is?” Then they beat him. They beat him right there in front of my children. My youngest, who was seven at the time, was terrified and screaming. My eldest tried to stop them – he shouted for them to stop beating his father — and they beat him too. 

The family later managed to get over the border, but even from their place of relative safety, the trauma of those experiences endures:

The mental state of our whole family is, unfortunately, not very good. From my husband and me to my youngest son – we’ve all been deeply affected. Since the day the Taliban beat his father, my youngest has been in shock. Even after all these years, he still wets the bed at night. He’s older now, but he must still wear diapers. I have nightmares. At the slightest sound, I wake up with a start … thinking they’ve come back for us.

Denial of healthcare

Access to health services was another focus of the prosecutors’ case, as witnesses described the combined effects of Emirate policies on women’s ability to access even basic medical treatment. Time and again, witnesses spoke of not being able to receive care due to the restrictions on women’s movements, the constraints on the ability of women health workers to work, the segregation which prevents male doctors from treating female patients and the acute shortages of female doctors and nurses. From Kandahar, Witness 9 said: “There are no female dentists at all in the province and probably just one or two female doctors in the entire city. They have completely banned male doctors from treating female patients. Female patients are now even banned from seeing female doctors.” The situation, she said, was like going back in time, with women dying “because of very simple illnesses,” particularly now that women were having to give birth at home, “like a century ago.”

Women with disabilities 

Some of the witnesses described difficulties and discrimination on multiple fronts, not least women with disabilities. Witness six, originally from Khost, lost the use of her legs in a suicide bombing in 2013 and has used a wheelchair or walker ever since. She described an encounter with the Vice and Virtue police when she was trying to get to her doctor’s office. Even though she was wearing a long dress and hijab, she was told her clothes were “inappropriate.”

I explained to them that I was disabled and used a walker to move. I told them that if I wore longer or heavier clothing, as they demanded, it would get caught under my walker or wheelchair and cause me to fall and injure myself. But they refused to listen. They said, “No matter what your condition is, you must wear the clothing we prescribe. If we see you again dressed like this, we’ll take you to the police station.” I was terrified. With tears in my eyes, I returned home.

She said that since the incident, she has stopped going out, “and every day I feel the walls closing in on me.” She also described the frustration of being unable to leave the house by herself:

Even when I need to go somewhere, I cannot find a mahram to accompany me, as required by Taliban rules. This dependency is deeply painful. The emotional wound of being treated as helpless is worse than my physical disability. There is no cure for that pain.

An Islamic scholar’s challenge to the Emirate

Towards the end of the hearings, the prosecutors invited evidence from an Indonesian Islamic scholar, Dr Nur Rofiah, who teaches at the University of Quranic Sciences in Jakarta, Indonesia and was representing the Congress of Indonesian Women Ulema. Rofiah condemned the Taliban’s “misusing of the Islamic sharia against women,” stating that “Islam views men and women as equal human beings,” with the “right to seek knowledge and to access economic resources, healthcare services and other essential aspects of life.”[3] She also challenged the Taliban’s notion that women are the source of fitna (temptation to sin): “Is it women or the mindsets about women as sexual objects that is the source of fitna?”

The Emirate’s (non-) response 

During the course of the hearings, the judges repeatedly invited any representative of the Taliban to present their defence. Prior to the hearings, a letter was sent to the IEA’s Foreign Ministry, requesting their participation and offering assistance. No response was ever received. The Emirate’s silence reflects its longstanding stance of rejecting international scrutiny and dismissing attempts to hold its leaders accountable. When the International Criminal Court issued arrest warrants for gender persecution for the Emirate’s Amir and Chief Justice, for example, deputy spokesman Hamdullah Fitrat, defended their record as upholding “the religious and national values of the Afghan people within the framework of Islamic Sharia.” The Emirate, he wrote, “does not recognize any legal obligation under the Rome Statute and deems the previous administration’s accession to this statute to be devoid of legal validity”  (statement issued on X on 19 February 2025). The question of whether the Emirate can withdraw Afghanistan from the Rome Statute is a subject of debate, given that it is still recognised by the member states of the Rome Statute or the United Nations (as argued here in the European Journal of International Law).

The judgement 

At the close of the hearings, the judges gave a preliminary verdict. One, Dr Ghizaal Haress – an Afghan constitutional lawyer and former Ombudsperson of the Republic – sent a powerful message to Afghan women: “The panel of judges assure the women of Afghanistan that they have been heard.”

The judges spent two months considering the indictment, testimony and other evidence they had been given. They came together in The Hague on December 11 to deliver their verdict. It upheld everything the prosecutors had asked for and added some pointed recommendations.

First, the judges found that the “Taliban’s sustained and deliberate campaign of gender persecution, carried out through edicts, institutional decrees, and systematic violations, constitutes a direct and egregious violation of international criminal law.”

While recognising that gender apartheid is not yet recognised in international law, the judges basically accepted the prosecutors’ argument in its favour, saying: “The situation in Afghanistan meets the constitutive elements of an apartheid-like system, an institutionalized regime of segregation, exclusion, and domination,” and recommended that the UN and member states should support its codification. The judges also confirmed that there had been multiple violations of international human rights law:

[T]he Taliban have intentionally, and severely deprived women and girls of fundamental rights, including the right to life, the right not to be subjected to torture or to cruel, inhuman or degrading treatment or punishment, the right to personal liberty and security, the right not to be subjected to arbitrary detention, the right to education, the right to work, the right to health, freedom of expression, freedom of movement, freedom of association, the right to bodily autonomy, and the civil and political rights of participation. 

The judges described the impacts of gender persecution in terms of physical harm done to women and the psychosocial ill-effects on women, girls and men, as well as on the social fabric of Afghanistan. The judges observed that, while many witnesses were able to speak relatively freely about some forms of physical abuse, any “reference to rape and sexual violence in custody is subtle,” though they did draw attention to a witness who said: “Even our colleagues and friends in Taliban prisons were raped, oppressed and tortured.”

The judges were clear about the Taliban’s criminal responsibility, both individually and as a group. Although the judgment did not ascribe specific crimes to any of the ten individuals named by the prosecutors, it said:

Statements from Taliban leaders explicitly justify their decrees and bans through an ideological framework that prioritizes male dominance and defines women as subordinate under a restrictive interpretation of Sharia. …The system is not the result of isolated or spontaneous acts but rather a State-organized and systematic policy designed to exclude women and girls from all aspects of public life, restrict their freedoms, and subordinate them to male authority. 

Alongside their legal findings, the judges also warned about the danger of normalising the Taliban administration, which had been a common refrain of witnesses. Citing Russian recognition in July 2025 and the “dangerous” trend for increased diplomatic presence in Afghanistan and the appointment of Taliban officials abroad, the judges said:

First, the immediate political impact is that it will embolden the Taliban while simultaneously diminishing international leverage. … Second, the normative and human rights impact of normalization is profound. It risks undermining the universality of women’s rights by signalling that women’s freedoms can once again be sacrificed for political convenience. Third, the effect on global norms and precedents is deeply troubling. It erodes the longstanding taboos against normalizing regimes of institutionalized oppression. … Finally, normalization will severely harm Afghan women and girls. … [it] erodes hope, weakens advocacy, and ultimately reinforces the Taliban’s control over society, prolonging their repressive rule. 

They made a series of recommendations, starting with a call to the Taliban to reverse a host of repressive policies. They also urged the Organisation of Islamic Cooperation, Muslim countries and Islamic institutions and scholars to issue fatwas and legal opinions “publicly rejecting the regime’s restrictions on women as having no basis in Sharia and violating established Islamic principles of justice, dignity, and equality.” On the subject of normalisation, they were concrete, calling on governments to “suspend diplomatic relations and revoke accreditation of Taliban-appointed diplomats” until there is verifiable and sustained progress. They also criticised the efforts of several European states to deport Afghans, including some women (DutchNews).

Hope and validation: Reactions to the tribunal

The tribunal offered a rare occasion for Afghan women to be centre stage, Witness 1 told AAN in The Hague:

This tribunal is important to me both as an ordinary woman and as a woman who was imprisoned in a land where a woman’s voice, her identity, her honour and her human dignity are being trampled on. … Even if the tribunal doesn’t have an immediate impact – today or tomorrow – the very fact that I can formally tell my story means that I’m taking back my honour and the human dignity that were crushed under the Taliban’s feet and in their prisons.

Many of the organisers, prosecutors and witnesses said they had been contacted by friends and family inside Afghanistan to say how important it was to see their experiences reflected at the hearings. Witness 2 told AAN that women inside Afghanistan had thanked her for being their voice at the tribunal:

Many people in Afghanistan saw the People’s Tribunal on TV, on YouTube, in the media, especially women, they secretly watched it, which was so important because they don’t have any way to be seen or heard, they can’t go to the streets and they can’t demonstrate or protest. This gives them hope. 

The UN Special Rapporteur for the situation of human rights in Afghanistan, Richard Bennett, who was present in both Madrid and The Hague, described the verdict as a milestone that represented a “powerful vindication for victims and survivors.” Bennett told AAN that, irrespective of any other impacts, the testimonies were a form of transitional justice:

The official record of a hearing where witnesses gave their testimonies will stand as an important part of the story of Afghanistan, the records of Afghanistan. Truth-seeking and truth-telling is a very important tool, and actually a right, in any kind of transitional justice process. It does not replace judicial accountability, but it complements it and has been found to be a very important affirmation in other countries as well to victims of human rights violations.

Several prominent international experts delivered messages of support at the closing of the session, in person or by video, including Dr Mustapha Sheikh, a professor of Islamic Studies at Leeds University in England, who called on Islamic scholars to speak up:

Afghan women are being subjected to discrimination, segregation, dehumanisation and systemic erasure. Because this cruelty is being justified through religious language, scholars of Islam have a heightened obligation to correct the misuse of Islamic law and to name this oppression for what it is.

The road ahead

The four NGOs that organised the tribunal issued a statement at the end of proceedings, concluding: “Afghan women have spoken. The judges have spoken. The law has spoken. Now the world must respond.”

With this verdict, the organisers and other activists will turn their attention to advocacy and more campaigning to build wider public support. Although the tribunal has no legal authority, its judgment can still have practical impacts. The findings could be helpful to prosecutors, whether at the ICC in their ongoing investigation, or national prosecutors pursuing investigations under universal jurisdiction in years to come. One of the prosecutors, Azada Raz Mohammad, said she hoped the tribunal’s evidence would serve as an important archive for prosecutors, as well as for the new UN Independent Investigative Mechanism for Afghanistan, which will support the work of prosecutors (for more on this mechanism, see this AAN report).

The findings could also influence the decisions of states as they debate their engagement policy with the IEA – the judges specifically reminded states of their duty to act under international law in the face of some of the most egregious crimes. For Director of DROPS, Mariam Safi, follow-up with diplomats will be key, particularly given what she described as her “utter frustration” at the “normalisation” of the Taliban. She listed the United States “speaking to the Taliban about reopening its embassies in Kabul,” and in the week the hearings took place, India inviting the Taliban foreign minister to visit, “Germany allowing Taliban authorities to enter the country in order to work in the consulates,” and regional countries “that have already accepted the credentials of the Taliban.”

Organisers hope that hearing the opinions of Islamic scholars in both the tribunal’s hearings and the verdict session of the tribunal will strengthen their advocacy with Muslim-majority states and the Organisation of Islamic Cooperation. This is not straightforward: Akbar said that some efforts had been made to hold the tribunal in Islamic countries, which “did not receive a positive signal,” though she notes they had limited time. Similarly, it was hard to find male Hanafi scholars to publicly support or participate in the hearings, though Mustapha Sheikh told AAN that this should not be understood “simply as indifference or tacit approval of the Taliban’s policies.” Rather, Sheikh said, “In many Muslim contexts shaped by colonial rule and its aftermath, political engagement by religious scholars has been securitised” so that organised religious activities of Muslims are perceived as a ‘threat’. As a result, Muslim scholars have internalised a form of defensive quietism, in which public engagement on issues framed as ‘political’ (human rights, gender justice, international law) is perceived as “endangering institutional survival, legal status or personal safety.”

There are precedents of Islamic scholars condemning aspects of the Emirate’s regime, however, which offer potential building blocks for activists wanting to take the findings of the tribunal forwards.[4]

Lessons from other People’s Tribunals

People’s tribunals were born of frustration in earlier times, with the then diplomatic status quo. The first was the International War Crimes Tribunal in 1966, better known as the Russell Tribunal, which examined US aggression and war crimes in Vietnam.[5]These tribunals differ in scope and context, but all were created to respond to grave abuses when formal institutions were unable or unwilling to act. The Permanent People’s Tribunal was set up in the 1970s and has now held over fifty sessions, including two previous sessions on Afghanistan in 1981 and 1982 to look at Soviet aggression and war crimes.[6]

One of the inspirations for the Afghan People’s Tribunal was the Aban Tribunal, a tribunal set up by Iranian activists in 2021 to investigate the Iranian state’s violent response to protestors in 2019, which was carried out with impunity and under a media blackout.[7] The main organiser, Shadi Sadr, told AAN that tribunals offer a powerful alternative at a time when international law and judicial mechanisms are in crisis:

Many atrocities are happening as we speak around the world, but the international justice system would be only capable of dealing with a very few of them and even [when] the international justice mechanisms are available, most of the time they are incapable of providing real justice and remedy to the victims. When it comes to women, the situation is even worse. 

Women’s tribunals have drawn attention to the inequities of formal justice institutions, including the International Tribunal on Japan’s Military Sexual Slavery, which pushed the Japanese state towards recognising and apologising for the use of rape and sexual slavery by Japan’s Imperial Army in the 1930s and 40s.[8] The 2015 Women’s Court in Sarajevo, Bosnia-Herzegovina, also gave voice to the experiences of women who had been raped and sexually abused during the war in the former Yugoslavia in the 1990s.[9]

The beginning of accountability 

The tribunal’s verdict was delivered in The Hague, symbolically important as the home of the International Criminal Court. While the court has already issued arrest warrants for gender persecution for Amir Hibatullah and Chief Justice Abdul Hakim Haqqani, the reclusive leaders are not likely to travel anywhere where they might be arrested, so their arrests seem a long way off. The ICC prosecutor could have requested additional arrest warrants for other Taliban leaders from the court, but as of November 2025, it had changed its policies so that the default approach will be to issue arrest warrants confidentially, so as not to deter arrest opportunities (MSN). The tribunal judges pointed out that there are also no current prosecutions under universal jurisdiction and encouraged states to make greater use of their ability – and duty – to investigate. All of this makes criminal accountability seem a rather distant prospect.

In this context, the tribunal’s decisive verdict, in The Hague, does have more than symbolic power. In helping establish a public record of the crimes perpetrated by the Taliban, it could influence diplomatic decisions and raise the cost of normalising relations with the Taliban, disrupting what Shaharzad Akbar described in her opening statement as “the crime of silence.” This tribunal, she said, puts victims and survivors at the heart of the process and “makes visible the invisible.” Akbar says that the message they want to send to the Taliban is that the world is standing with Afghan women, but that the normalisation trend makes it “hard to send that message now.”

If the volume of Afghan media coverage is any indication – organisers cited coverage by more than 20 Afghan outlets, including 18 hours of live broadcasting – the tribunal was a noteworthy event. If the Emirate pays any attention to the tribunal, it will no doubt be to dismiss it. For the organisers, however, the tribunal’s most enduring legacy is in the archive of testimony, the indictment and the judges’ verdict – material that can be used as tools for advocacy, public engagement and, potentially, future prosecutions. In his remarks after the verdict, Bennett said that too often victims are marginalised by justice mechanisms, whereas this tribunal “should serve as a model for future human rights efforts.”

For the women who testified, the hope is that being heard — on record, at the tribunal, and before the world — is not an end in itself, but the beginning of accountability. It may be many years before a criminal court hears their testimony, but as Witness 1 said: “I’m waiting for the day that I see the Taliban in front of a judge and the Taliban in prison.”

Edited by Roxanna Shapour and Kate Clark

References

References
1 The Panel of Judges consisted of: Rashida Manjoo (South Africa), who acted as president of the panel; Elisenda Calvet-Martínez (Spain); Mai El-Sadany (Egypt/United States); Marina Forti (Italy); Araceli García del Soto (Spain); Ghizaal Haress (Afghanistan); Emilio Ramírez Matos (Spain); and Kalpana Sharma (India). Their biographies are available on the People’s Tribunal website.
2 The full list of crimes in the indictment are: Crimes against humanity, particularly the crime of gender persecution under Article 7 of the Rome Statute; other inhumane acts codified in the Rome Statute; violation of Afghanistan’s binding obligation under core international human rights treaties, including the Convention on the Elimination of All Forms of Discrimination against Women (CEDAW), the International Covenant on Civil and Political Rights (ICCPR), the International Covenant on Economic, Social and Cultural Rights (ICESCR), the Convention Against Discrimination in Education (CADE), the Convention on the Political Rights of Women (CPRW), the Convention on the Rights of the Child (CRC), the Convention on the rights of People with Disabilities (CRPD), and the Convention against Torture (CAT).
3 The full Expert Opinion On Women In Islam by Dr Nur Rofiah refers to jurisprudence on all of the points noted above, and more.
4 For example, education for girls was declared an Islamic right in the Islamabad Declaration for Girls’ Education in Muslim Communities, which was supported in January 2025 by senior muftis, scholars and Islamic bodies and councils, including the Saudi scholar, Mohammed Al-Issa, Secretary-General of the Muslim World League and President of the Association of Muslim Scholars (Amu TV).
5 For more on the Russell Tribunal, see Tom Krever, Remembering the Russell Tribunal, London Review of International Law, 2017. See also Marcos Zunin, Russell Tribunal, Oxford Public International Law, 2024.
6 A session was held in Stockholm in 1981 (PPT verdict in Italian), and in Paris in 1982 (also in Italian). A British Pathe television report on the 1982 session is viewable here.
7 For more on the Aban Tribunal and other examples, see Shadi Sadr, International Justice System v. People’s Tribunals: A Fictional Hierarchy, Opinio Juris, April 2024.
8 It is also known as the Tokyo Tribunal. A transcript of the Tokyo Tribunal judgement has been archived by the Women’s Caucus for Gender Justice. This 2020 documentary about The legacy of the Tokyo Women’s Tribunal is still accessible via the London School of Economics.
9 For more, see Andrea Oskari Rossini, Sarajevo, the Women’s Tribunal, Osservatorio Balcani e Caucaso Transeuropa, May 2015.

 

Afghan Women Spoke: The People’s Tribunal for Afghan Women listened
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Afghanistan’s Trade Via Alternate Routes Bypasses Pakistan Closures

Khaama Press
Ankit Kumar, Assistant Professor (Research) at SICSSL, specializes in modern warfare, geopolitics, and nuclear policy. He has consulted for India’s Ministry of External Affairs and Defense and contributed to leading think tanks and international publications. He is pursuing a PhD on nuclear policy ambiguity with India as a case study.

Afghanistan’s authorities have intensified efforts to diversify trade corridors, gradually reducing dependence on Pakistan following repeated and lengthy border closures that have disrupted bilateral commerce. Major crossings such as Torkham and Chaman – which previously accounted for an estimated 40 percent of Afghanistan’s official trade – experienced extended shutdowns throughout late 2024 and into 2025 amid escalating allegations related to cross-border militancy and security incidents. These closures, often lasting several weeks, have reportedly inflicted monthly losses exceeding USD 200 million on Afghan exporters of perishable fruits, vegetables, and dried nuts. Imports of fuel, wheat, and pharmaceuticals were also delayed, contributing to domestic inflation and periodic shortages. In response, Kabul has increasingly prioritised alternative routes, including India via Iran’s Chabahar Port and new air links, alongside expanded overland connections with Uzbekistan, Turkmenistan, and Kazakhstan, aiming to build a more resilient, multipolar trade network less vulnerable to sudden disruptions.

The deterioration in Pakistan-Afghanistan relations since 2021 has intensified tensions. Islamabad’s concerns regarding Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) activities inside Afghanistan and Kabul’s objections to Pakistan’s visa restrictions have compounded mistrust. The situation escalated in October 2025 during border clashes that prompted indefinite closures under counter-terrorism justifications. Prior to these developments, annual bilateral trade was estimated between USD 2.5 and 3 billion, with Afghanistan exporting around USD 1.5 billion in agricultural produce while importing fuel and basic commodities through Karachi and Gwadar ports. That figure is now believed to have fallen below USD 1 billion. Afghan agricultural products, such as grapes, have reportedly sold for significantly higher prices in Pakistani markets amid supply volatility, while hundreds of Afghan and Pakistani cargo trucks were left stranded near border points. Analysts suggest that although Pakistan sought to pressure Kabul regarding militant sanctuaries, the interruptions have also reduced Pakistan’s leverage as Afghan traders increasingly rely on costlier yet more predictable alternative routes.

A central component of this shift is the Chabahar International Transport and Transit Corridor, where India has maintained a long-term investment strategy. New Delhi’s USD 500 million contribution to Chabahar, operational since 2018, offers Afghanistan direct access through Iranian ports without requiring Pakistani transit. During Afghan Acting Industry Minister Nooruddin Azizi’s visit to India in November 2025, the sides discussed streamlined visas, lower air-freight tariffs, and expanded cargo flights from Delhi, Amritsar, and Mumbai to Kabul, with the objective of raising bilateral trade toward USD 1 billion. Chabahar has already facilitated the delivery of 1.5 million tonnes of Indian wheat and pulses since 2022. More recently, Afghan pomegranates and raisins have reached Indian markets within days rather than weeks. Although U.S. sanctions complicate Iranian port operations, Chabahar’s reduced docking fees and quicker customs processing have reportedly increased cargo volumes by 30 percent year-on-year.

Northern trade corridors to Central Asia also present expanding opportunities. Trade with Uzbekistan was estimated at USD 1.1 billion in 2024, supported by the Hairatan rail terminal and the Termez bridge, with 2025 targets approaching USD 2 billion across commodities including Uzbek flour, machinery, and Afghan minerals. Turkmenistan’s Torghundi crossing has seen fuel and construction material volumes rise, while Kazakhstan has proposed a USD 3 billion regional transport roadmap focused on road upgrades and dry ports. Afghanistan’s participation in the Ashgabat Agreement since 2018 underpins multimodal rail-and-road connectivity extending toward the Caspian region and aligning with segments of China’s Belt and Road Initiative through the Wakhan Corridor. Taliban officials, including Deputy Prime Minister Mullah Abdul Ghani Baradar, have encouraged Afghan traders to prioritise alternative routes, describing Pakistan’s measures as economically restrictive. Supporters of diversification argue that Afghanistan could gain a more central role as a regional transit hub, including potential energy import and export projects such as CASA-1000.

The diversification approach, however, faces significant constraints. Infrastructure limitations – including inadequate road quality, insufficient cold-chain storage, and limited rail connectivity – raise transportation costs by an estimated 20 to 40 percent for time-sensitive exports. Security risks persist on northern routes, while fluctuating Iranian transit regulations and tariffs in Central Asia add additional challenges. Afghanistan’s projected economic growth of around 2.5 percent in 2025 remains closely tied to imports, and customs revenues have reportedly fallen by roughly 25 percent due to border disruptions. Humanitarian concerns persist regarding wheat imports, particularly during drought periods. Nevertheless, analysts argue that forced diversification may create opportunities in value-added processing of Afghan agricultural products, expanded mineral exports to Asian markets, and joint logistics ventures that could gradually narrow the country’s approximately USD 6 billion trade deficit.

These evolving trade patterns also carry broader geopolitical implications. Pakistan risks strategic isolation as Afghanistan deepens economic cooperation with India and Central Asian states, while emerging transit alternatives potentially dilute the influence of the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC). For Afghanistan, long-term success will depend on sustained infrastructure investment and diplomatic engagement, including efforts to secure sanctions relief for Iranian-linked ports. If diversification strategies continue and logistical barriers are addressed, Afghan officials estimate that non-Pakistani trade could rise to USD 10 billion by 2027. While the current shift has been shaped by prolonged border tensions, policymakers emphasise that a broader network of trade partners may offer Afghanistan greater economic resilience and stability in the years ahead.

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the position of Khaama Press.

Afghanistan’s Trade Via Alternate Routes Bypasses Pakistan Closures
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Ali Faqirzada is an Afghan refugee. He deserves to stay in America

Thu 4 Dec 2025 10.30 EST

On 14 October, Ali Faqirzada – an Afghan refugee, a resident of New Paltz, New York, and a computer science student at Bard College – arrived for an interview at a federal immigration office on Long Island. He was applying for political asylum, a designation for which he was – and remains – a perfect candidate.

In his native country, Faqirzada had assisted the American government and Nato with projects designed to improve the lives of Afghan women and help them get an education. But after the US withdrawal from Afghanistan in 2021, the ministry where he, his mother and sister had worked was bombed by the Taliban, and one of its employees was murdered.

Understandably concerned that they would be tortured and killed like so many Afghans targeted by the Taliban for their cooperation with humanitarian agencies, the Faqirzadas made their way to Mexico, and from there to the US, where they immediately applied for refugee status. Six family members have already been granted asylum after having successfully made the case that repatriation to their Taliban-controlled homeland would probably mean a death sentence.ad

When Ali Faqirzada went for his 14 October interview, it seemed probable that his petition would also be approved. According to Malia Dumont, a military veteran formerly deployed in Afghanistan and now chief of staff and vice-president for strategy and policy at Bard, Ali is a brilliant, generous, community-minded student who has worked in New York state as a hospital security guard, a position of great trust and responsibility.

In a more reasonable, more compassionate country, the immigration official would have walked around the table, shaken Faqirzada’s hand, and thanked him for how much he has done on behalf of his people and our own. In a more recognizably American country, the interviewer would have congratulated Ali on how obviously he is thriving in his adopted land and on the good chance that he will go on to make valuable contributions to our society.

But that is not what happened. That is not how the story went in Donald Trump and Stephen Miller’s America. Immediately following his interview, during which he convinced the authorities that his claim of “credible fear” was justified, Faqirzada was arrested by ICE agents and sent to the Delaney Hall detention facility in Newark, New Jersey, a for-profit prison operated by the GEO Group. He has been there ever since, in a cell with 12 other men, where his access to books, water, and halal food has been severely restricted. According to visitors, he has devoted his energies to maintaining the morale and the welfare of his fellow inmates.

The merits of Ali’s case and the sheer absurdity of the suggestion that the genial, well-liked college student could pose any sort of terrorist threat has prompted an outpouring of popular support.

Among his advocates are Leon Botstein, president of Bard College and himself a refugee from the Nazis, who has stated that wisest course in such situations is to be as vocal – to make as much noise – as possible. Others who have spoken out on Faqirzada’s behalf include the New York governor, Kathy Hochul, Congressman Pat Ryan, a Democrat of New York, the communities of New Paltz and Stone Ridge, New York, and the Episcopal bishop Matthew Heyd, who led a vigil in November outside Delaney Hall.

Their efforts to free Faqirzada have been complicated by a 29 November government ruling that has paused the final approval of all asylum applications. It’s the newest and most drastic addition to a series of recent measures – including the temporary cessation of the US Refugee Admissions Program on 20 January – that have made the process of asylum-seeking steadily more challenging. In addition, there is now a pause on new immigration from Afghanistan and on the issuing of green cards to Afghans already residing in the United States. Decisions on the granting of asylum are made by the Department of Homeland Security and not the judiciary, thus making it easier for the Trump administration to drastically curtail the flow of refugees.

The sweeping new changes targeting Afghans were enacted in the aftermath of the tragic Washington DC shooting of two national guard soldiers, one fatally, by an Afghan national who had worked with the CIA and whose application for asylum had been thoroughly vetted and approved.

Common sense – a trait that the Republican party has claimed as an essential aspect of their political agenda – suggests that a genial, kind-hearted, highly motivated computer science student and hospital security guard should not be held accountable for someone else’s crime. Nor should the entire Afghan community, many members of which have fled great danger at home, be punished for the actions of one man and made to worry about whatever safety and stability they have managed to find in our country. There is great confusion, uncertainty and a dispiriting lack of clarity about what precisely these new measures mean and how to proceed from here.

Many questions remain about Ali Faqirzada’s detention. How long will he continue to be held prisoner at Delaney Hall? How will the new rulings affect his chances of being granted the protections he clearly deserves? But perhaps the most important questions are the ones that we have been asking ourselves since January 2025 and that we will likely ask ourselves for years to come. How did we let this happen – and what can we do about it now?

  • Francine Prose is a former president of PEN American Center and a member of the American Academy of Arts and Letters and the American Academy of Arts and Sciences.

Ali Faqirzada is an Afghan refugee. He deserves to stay in America
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Report: 20% of all US aid to Afghanistan was ‘wasted’

Responsible Statecraft
The Special Inspector General for Afghanistan Reconstruction issued a scathing final analysis

The United States wasted up to $29 billion dollars during its two-decade long effort to transform Afghanistan into a stable and democratic state, according to a major new report from the Special Inspector General for Afghanistan Reconstruction (SIGAR).

The wasted funds account for roughly a fifth of the $148 billion that the U.S. spent on reconstructing Afghanistan — a sum greater than what Washington spent to rebuild Europe after World War II, in inflation-adjusted terms. Among the most wasteful projects were a $7.2 billion effort to eliminate opium production in the country as well as a $4.7 billion program that tried and failed to build local state capacity.

The report marks the final update from SIGAR, which will officially close up shop early next year. Over its 17 years of existence, the office used its uniquely focused mandate to ferret out cases of waste and fraud while making recommendations about how to avoid further abuses. According to the report, its efforts led to 171 criminal convictions while saving taxpayers as much as $2.5 billion.

SIGAR was among the most influential critics of America’s nation-building efforts abroad. Its work revealed not just individual instances of waste but also the more fundamental problems that plagued Washington’s reconstruction efforts. “Over two decades, the United States invested billions of dollars and incurred thousands of casualties in a mission that promised to bring stability and democracy to Afghanistan, yet ultimately delivered neither,” the final report says. “The rapid collapse of the Afghan government in August 2021 laid bare the fragility that had been concealed by years of confident assertions of progress.”

The office pointed out “contradictions” in the U.S. approach in Afghanistan, arguing that “the relentless pursuit of reconstruction resulted in perpetual Afghan government dependency, fueled corruption, and in some cases strengthened the very insurgency it sought to undermine.”

It is unclear whether Washington has fully grappled with the critiques put forward by SIGAR over the past 17 years. Congress chose not to create a special inspector general for Ukraine aid, for example, opting instead to coordinate oversight through the office of the Pentagon’s inspector general.

Former SIGAR John Sopko argued that this approach would be insufficient for properly tracking the $187 billion that the U.S. has given Ukraine. “Just look at the amount of money we’re spending,” Sopko told RS in 2023. “When you pour that much money in, even if it’s the most noble cause in the world, you can’t help but waste a lot.”

Report: 20% of all US aid to Afghanistan was ‘wasted’
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Who Dares, Kills? Alleged war crimes and cover-ups by Britain’s special forces

British special forces are being investigated for war crimes allegedly committed between 2010 and 2013 in Afghanistan. A public inquiry is looking into the deaths of Afghans who were killed in suspicious circumstances, mostly involving detention operations that showed hallmarks of summary executions. The killings came to light because of whistle-blowers inside the military, combined with the tenacity of victims and investigative journalists. The scale of the alleged crimes is shocking – lawyers say there were more than 80 suspicious deaths in the time period of the inquiry – but for the families involved, the end may be years away, or may never come. In this themed report, Rachel Reid explores what is known about the killings and the failures of accountability, which resonate darkly with other incidents and with the behaviour of the ‘elite forces’ of other nations. The inquiry and the reporting around it raise questions about the true numbers of victims and the dangers of a culture of exceptionalism among special forces, which morphs easily into one of impunity. 

You can preview the report online and download it by clicking here or the download button below

The SAS occupy a special place in British culture, illustrated by the rule-bending bravado of their motto, “Who Dares Wins.” Yet, in recent years, this reputation has been tarnished by growing accusations of not just rule-bending but potential war crimes, including the suspicious deaths of detainees, mostly during night raids, primarily in Helmand province between 2010 and 2013. Lawyers representing victims’ families say that more than 80 were killed, including children.

The UK military police did try to investigate a number of the killings, but they met resistance from special forces and produced no real accountability for victims’ families. The victims’ lawyers forced a judicial review, which forced the Ministry of Defence to release incriminating documentation, which revealed deep concerns about the incidents inside the military. Investigative reporting by the BBC and others rang raised yet more suspicious deaths and internal military concerns. One former SAS member told the BBC that on some operations, “the troop would go into guest house type buildings and kill everyone there. … It’s not justified, killing people in their sleep.”

According to the laws of armed conflict, detainees cannot be killed, unless in self-defence. To give the appearance of acting within the law, special forces appear to have concocted stories of firefights and even planted weapons on victims. This casual disregard for Afghan lives and for the law is all the more disturbing given what has been learned over the years – including through AAN investigations – about the patchy intelligence that special forces relied upon, which suggests that at least some – or perhaps many of the detainees being killed were not Taliban, but civilians.

This report outlines the patterns of the suspicious deaths, the alleged cover-ups and the failed investigations. It will consider the factors that may have contributed to this bloody period, including wider abuses by special forces, with similar patterns by Australian special forces and reports of extrajudicial killings by United States and Afghan special forces. It will look at the somewhat limited hopes for justice for victims emanating from the public inquiry and beyond.

Edited by Kate Clark and Roxanna Shapour 

You can preview the report online and download it by clicking here or the download button below

Who Dares, Kills? Alleged war crimes and cover-ups by Britain’s special forces
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Claimed by Gunfire: How a single shot stole an Afghan girl’s future

In parts of southeastern Afghanistan, a boy seeking to force a girl into marriage may fire gunshots outside her home to claim her publicly as his future wife, often after the girl’s family has refused his proposal. The shots are a signal that the girl now belongs to him – regardless of her wishes or her family’s decision. Once a girl has been claimed in this way, no one else dares to marry her, fearing retaliation. It is rare, though not unheard of, for families to give their daughter in marriage to the boy. In those cases – usually involving community mediation and large payments – the relationship between the families never truly heals and the girl’s family will forever resent their new son-in-law. Most girls who fall victim to this coercive practice remain unmarried for the rest of their lives, living in their father’s home, trapped by someone else’s reckless actions. In this instalment of The Daily Hustle, Hamid Pakteen hears from 47-year-old Bibi Salima about how her cousin’s actions thirty years ago altered her life and shattered her dreams. 

A Kabul street mural by the Afghan artist collective ArtLords reads: “A true Muslim is one whose words and actions do no harm to others (Hadith Sharif). Violence against women goes against the teachings of Islam.” Photo: ArtLords, 2017

 

When I was 17 years old, my cousin – my mother’s nephew – asked for my hand in marriage, but my family refused. My mother said, “She’s still young. She hasn’t reached the legal age yet.”

We are three sisters and I’m the youngest. At the time, my eldest sister was already married and my other sister, who is a couple of years older than me, hadn’t married yet. My mother wanted her to marry first, and according to our customs, that made sense. But my cousin wasn’t having it. He kept asking my mother to let him marry me, every chance he got.

One day, my eldest brother confronted him outside our house. What was supposed to be a quiet chat between two cousins grew into a heated argument when my cousin refused to stop asking for my hand. He told my brother he was determined to marry me, either with the family’s approval or by force. When my brother came inside, he was furious – visibly shaken and red in the face. He told my mother that we should no longer have any relations with her brother’s family. “We shouldn’t go to their house and they should never again come to ours,” he shouted.

The gunshots that changed everything 

From that day on, resentment grew between the two families until one afternoon, my cousin came to our house with a gun. He stood on the street outside our front door and fired shots into the air. He called out my name and then called out to my brother, “Come and save your sister from me now, if you dare.”

That day, none of the men in our family were at home. My mother ran outside to try to calm him down. She begged him not to destroy both families with his actions, but he ignored her pleas. He kept shouting, telling her that she was ruining his life and then he fled.

When my brothers came home and heard about what my cousin had done, they were furious. One of my brothers grabbed the household gun and stormed out of the house. He said he was going to my uncle’s house, a half-hour’s walk from our village, to kill my cousin. But my cousin was nowhere to be found.

My uncle, devastated by what his son had done, rushed to our house. He begged my mother to stop my brother. “Control your son so that he doesn’t do anything that we will all regret,” he pleaded. He said that his son had run away from home and gave his word that he would punish him severely if he found him. He said that he could never forgive his son for doing such a shameful thing, especially to his niece, and then running away like a coward. He apologised over and over again. I think he was truly ashamed and heartbroken. But my brothers were incensed. They said terrible things to my uncle and pushed him out of our home.

Disgrace, repentance and a broken family 

My father was a respected religious scholar, but he wasn’t at home. He was in Kabul, where he was the imam of a mosque. He came back home as soon as he found out – angry and determined to seek satisfaction. He talked it over with my brothers and together they filed a complaint at the district centre. At that time, during the mujahedin regime, there was no official government to speak of, but because everyone respected my father, they took the matter seriously and started an investigation.

The authorities summoned my uncle’s family and demanded that they hand over my cousin. But, knowing what was in store for him, he’d fled to Pakistan, cutting all ties with his family. My uncle, who was well-respected in the community, publicly apologised to my parents and even said, “I’ve disowned him. He’s no longer my son.” He and his sons were detained, but after a few days, when it became obvious they had no idea of my cousin’s whereabouts, they were released.

Afterwards, my uncle came to our house along with his family and several tribal elders to ask for forgiveness according to our custom of nanawatai (sanctuary), which obliges victims to forgive a transgressor who comes to repent. Although my father was still angry, he had no choice but to accept their apology. But he said there would be no contact between the two families ever again. From that day on, our families became strangers. My uncle and his family never visited us again and we never visited them. On rare occasions, my uncle would quietly visit my mother, without my father or brother’s knowledge. But when he passed away, my mother didn’t go to his funeral.

The woman that I never became 

I often think about how a single moment – a single rash act, a single word spoken in anger or a single shot fired to the sky – can alter someone’s life forever. I sometimes look back at my 17-year-old self – a carefree, innocent girl, unaware of the gathering clouds and the storm that was about to destroy her future.

Every girl has dreams of getting married and having a family. And I was no different. I wanted a big wedding, as is our custom, lasting several days and turning the entire village into a festival. I imagined a kind husband who would take me on visits to Kabul and maybe even to Pakistan and Iran. But that life wasn’t meant to be.

I was too young then to understand what all this would mean for my future. I thought that in time, the storm would pass and the families would go back to how things had always been before the shots were fired. But my family knew that things could never be the same and that my life would be one of dependence, isolation and sorrow. Looking back, there were clues in the way people looked at me, in their hushed voices, and in the silence when I walked into a room. But at the time, I was too young and inexperienced to recognise them.

I still didn’t think much about it when my older sister got married. After all, according to our customs, it was her turn and I thought that I’d be next. But reality hit hard as I watched one girl after another in the family get married, but my turn never came and I realised that it never would. At wedding parties, girls would whisper hurtful things: “It’s your turn now, but you can’t marry. You will always stay in your father’s home.” Their words cut into my heart like a knife.

My mother tried to comfort me. She was the keeper of all my secrets and the source of my strength. But when I was alone with my thoughts, the sense of gloom and hopelessness overpowered me. I felt trapped, cursed by circumstances that I had no part in. However, with each passing day, my anxiety only grew. Eventually, my family took me to a doctor. When that didn’t help, they took me to one mullah after another. They all prayed for me. A couple of them said that I had been cursed by an evil eye and gave me amulets, and one even said I had been possessed by a jinn. But there was no cure for my suffering.

After my parents died, my brothers, who had families of their own, moved into their own homes. Our family became scattered. Now, everyone’s busy with their own lives and I’m left alone. I live in my father’s house with my eldest brother and his family. Although my brother and my nieces and nephews take care of me and I lack for nothing, I still feel like a burden.

Thirty years without hope

My cousin never came back to our area again. He never visited his family because his father had sworn to kill him and warned him to stay away, but I later learned that he had sent a letter warning people that no one had the right to marry me. People remained fearful that if anyone did marry me, he’d harm them. We heard that he’s living in Pakistan and has a family of his own.

He’s living his life, but his decision to fire a gun outside our house killed my future. In an instant, all my dreams, all my hopes and aspirations, turned to dust.

It’s been nearly 30 years since the day the shots rang outside our house and ruined my life forever. After the Islamic Emirate regained power, it criminalised this despicable act. I wonder if it will make any difference; I haven’t heard of anyone being jailed for it. Whatever happens, the new law came too late for me. I’ve spent my life living through other people’s happiness, watching in the mirror as my hair turned white and wrinkles appeared on my face. These days, I pass the time lost in my own thoughts, without a sense of direction, watching the girls I grew up with – now grandmothers – tend to their own families and grandchildren.

People live on hope. My hope died a long time ago and a life without hope is a slow kind of dying. There is more than one way to kill a person. You can take a gun to a girl’s house and fire shots in the air outside her door.

Edited by Roxanna Shapour

Authors:

Hamid Pakteen

More from this author

Roxanna Shapour

More from this author

Claimed by Gunfire: How a single shot stole an Afghan girl’s future
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The Islamic Emirate and the (Other) Authoritarians: Afghanistan-Central Asian relations since 2021

Since the Taliban’s return to power, they have invested heavily in building diplomatic relationships with the five states of Central Asia — Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan. Under Republic-era governments, Central Asian governments – avowedly secular in outlook since they became independent nations – frequently sounded warnings over the threat that Islamic extremism posed to their own security and to the security of the wider world. Cracking down on Islamist opposition at home has been a consistent priority for the states of Central Asia. And yet they now appear interested in drawing closer to the Emirate. They have made diplomatic visits and hosted Emirate officials in return, announced numerous regional trade deals and promoted massive regional projects to deliver energy and transportation infrastructure. As AAN guest author Letty Phillips* explores, this suggests that pragmatic economic and regional interests have trumped earlier concerns. 
You can preview the report online and download it by clicking here or the download button below

The second Emirate might be uninterested in accommodating the demands of Western powers, but it is not isolationist. In fact, establishing relationships with the five Central Asian states has become a key focus of the IEA’s foreign policy. Al-Emarah News, the official mouthpiece of the Emirate, describes this strategy as a “new and distinct era” in Afghanistan’s foreign relations, grounded in cooperation with neighbouring states.

This report examines how these interactions have developed over time and the pragmatism that now defines the relationship between the Emirate and its northern neighbours. Although none of the Central Asian states have formally recognised the Emirate, all have established practical channels for diplomacy, trade, and cooperation. Central Asian states, which were once cautious of the threat of Islamist extremism, are now opting for engagement, driven by concerns over stability, security and regional connectivity.

Drawing on open-source data and official statements, this report analyses the political, security, and economic aspects of these relationships. It reviews the expansion of cross-border trade as well as the progress – and limitations – of large infrastructure projects such as TAPI, CASA-1000 and regional railway links. It also considers illicit and informal trade networks and examines the role that customs revenues play in sustaining the Emirate.

Finally, the report explores how these regional connections contribute to the Emirate’s resilience. It finds that Afghanistan’s engagement with Central Asian states is indicative of a broader trend of cooperation among authoritarian states, in which shared interests in maintaining regime stability and ensuring non-interference outweigh ideological differences. These dynamics, the report argues, are central to understanding the future trajectory of Afghanistan’s foreign relations and internal governance under the current regime. These dynamics, the report argues, are crucial for understanding the future direction of Afghanistan’s foreign relations and its internal governance under the current regime.

Edited by Jelena Bjelica and Rachel Reid

*Letty Phillips is a researcher and analyst who worked in Afghanistan from 2021 to 2024.

You can preview the report online and download it by clicking here or the download button below

 

The Islamic Emirate and the (Other) Authoritarians: Afghanistan-Central Asian relations since 2021
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A New Accountability Mechanism for Afghanistan: What the IIM-A can (and cannot) do

The United Nations is creating an Independent Investigative Mechanism for Afghanistan (IIM-A) which will collect evidence of war crimes and other grave violations of international law. The new UN body will investigate, preserve and analyse evidence, creating case-ready files that prosecutors can use in multiple jurisdictions. Its mandate is not time-limited, covering past, ongoing and future international crimes and serious violations committed within Afghanistan’s territory. The move follows years of campaigning by victims’ and human rights groups and comes despite the wariness of countries whose militaries fought in Afghanistan and the current UN liquidity crisis. In this report, Ehsan Qaane explains what the mechanism will do, its potential contribution to accountability in Afghanistan and its limitations and risks.

Delegates attend a session of the United Nations Human Rights Council at the Palais des Nations in Geneva. Photo: UN Photo/Jean-Marc Ferré

On 6 October 2025, the United Nations Human Rights Council (HRC) adopted a resolution to establish the Independent Investigative Mechanism for Afghanistan (IIM-A). For those campaigning for this body, this is a huge win, which has at times looked uncertain amid a challenging global climate for human rights and fluctuating international attention to the ongoing human rights crisis in Afghanistan. This UN body will be tasked with collecting and preserving evidence of serious human rights violations and international crimes. The IIM-A will not act as a court or tribunal, but will function as a professional investigation hub, collecting, storing and analysing evidence and preparing files that can support future prosecutions in national, regional or international courts. It will complement and cooperate with other UN and international bodies, but it is an independent body.
The IIM-A follows similar mechanisms for Syria and Myanmar, each with slight variations in mandate and oversight.[1] These mechanisms are part of a trend towards supporting or incentivising national and international bodies to investigate and prosecute international crimes. Growing numbers of countries have enacted universal jurisdiction laws, allowing them to prosecute crimes wherever they have been committed, based on the principle that some crimes are so egregious they transcend borders. However, most national investigative bodies tend to have very limited resources, including investigators, country specialists and access to evidence. The International Criminal Court is also hampered by limited resources. By creating a kind of ‘one-stop shop’ for evidence, expertise and legal analysis, these UN mechanisms can boost the capacity of prosecutors to carry out investigations.

Given the sheer number of crimes, perpetrators and victims in Afghanistan, the hope is that the IIM-A can make it far easier for prosecutors – either at the ICC or anywhere in the world with jurisdiction – to take on the challenging work of prosecuting war crimes and other grave violations.

This report will examine the mandate of the new mechanism, explain what difference it might make and why civil society fought so hard for it. It will then look at some areas of ambiguity and identify potential pitfalls.

Mandate and scope of the IIM-A

The core purpose of the IIM-A, as set out in paragraph 25 of the Human Rights Council (HRC) resolution, is:

[T]o collect, consolidate, preserve and analyse evidence of international crimes and the most serious violations of international law, including those that may also amount to violations and abuses of international human rights law, committed in Afghanistan, including against women and girls, and to prepare files in order to facilitate and expedite fair and independent criminal proceedings, in accordance with international law standards, in national, regional or international courts or tribunals that have or may in the future have jurisdiction over these crimes, in accordance with international law[.] 

The mandate of the IIM-A is very broad, encompassing a wide range of crimes, an open-ended temporal scope, a geographic scope limited to crimes committed in Afghanistan, in addition to a requirement to identify the perpetrators “with a view to ensuring that they are held accountable” (para 26(e)). Each of these areas is briefly explained below. (For the IIM-A’s entire mandate, see paragraphs 25 to 32 of the HRC Resolution 60/9.)

Crimes covered

The IIM-A covers international crimes, which are the most egregious conflict-related crimes of genocide, war crimes, crimes against humanity and the crime of aggression. Its mandate also covers “the most serious violations of international law, including those that may also amount to violations and abuses of international human rights law” (para 25), which apply in times of war and peace, such as torture, discrimination and other breaches of civil and political rights.[2] When outlining this broad scope, the operative paragraph of the resolution notes international human rights law “including against women and girls,” which clearly indicates that the ongoing persecution of women and girls by the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan (IEA) is of concern.

Temporal scope

Importantly, the mandate is not tied to a specific timeframe, but covers past, ongoing and future crimes and violations. The issue of time limits is politically charged, given the decades and cyclical nature of war and abuse in Afghanistan, as well as the time limitations of other mechanisms. The ICC can only investigate crimes committed after Afghanistan joined the Rome Statute in May 2003 and the prosecutor has placed his emphasis on ongoing crimes, de facto limiting his investigation to the post-2021 situation for now at least (AAN). Similarly, the mandate of the UN Special Rapporteur primarily focuses on ongoing violations and abuses (AAN), as does a potential case before the International Court of Justice (ICJ), focused on breaches of the Convention on the Elimination of All Forms of Discrimination against Women (CEDAW) by the IEA after August 2021 (AAN).

This leaves huge numbers of victims with no real avenue to justice. In theory, the IIM-A is authorised to examine the full historical record. However, the colossal number of potential crimes and perpetrators over decades of war and egregious human rights violations in Afghanistan will present a dizzying challenge to the mechanism. Combined with resource constraints, the IIM-A’s case selection policies will be critical (more on this later).

Place of conduct 

The mechanism will have jurisdiction over crimes committed anywhere in Afghanistan, regardless of the specific province or district. This country-wide scope could enable the IIM-A to track patterns across provinces and years, drawing stronger connections between evidence, crimes and perpetrators. It may also allow for a more even-handed coverage of harms suffered by affected individuals and/or communities. However, crimes committed entirely outside the country but linked to the Afghanistan conflict are likely excluded, such as the alleged rendition and torture by the United States Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) to multiple destinations (AAN).

Perpetrators

The IIM-A is mandated to investigate crimes attributed to both “individuals and entities.”  So far, only the ICC has a mandate to look at individual perpetrators, something that will also be vital for universal jurisdiction cases. This means the IIM-A can focus on individuals with command responsibility within armed groups, as well as current and former Afghan authorities and military forces, in relation to multiple crimes. In the context of the ICC investigation, for example, this might mean identifying other individuals within the IEA who might be responsible for the crime against humanity of gender persecution, beyond the two whom the court has already issued indictments for (AAN piece on those indictments).

In addition, the inclusion of ‘entities’ means it can also look at the groups themselves (para 26(e)). This could encompass a very long list, from the Taliban as an insurgency and an authority; previous Afghan authorities or entities within authorities (such as intelligence agencies); the Islamic State for Khorasan Province (ISKP); various former mujahedin groups, multiple foreign forces over several decades, from the Soviets to the Republic era. Granting the IIM-A authority to investigate entities may lead to the exploration of corporate accountability, though this is still an emerging concept in international law, and many countries, including those with UJ laws, have yet to codify it.[3]

Overall, this broad multidimensional scope mirrors the longstanding recommendations of Civil Society Organisations (CSOs) for a comprehensive investigative mechanism. Fereshta Abbasi, Human Rights Watch’s Afghanistan Researcher, told AAN in October 2025 that it kept “a high moral ground” by not excluding any victims or creating a hierarchy among them. However, it remains to be seen how well the mechanism will deliver this broad scope.

Why the mechanism matters for Afghanistan

The IIM-A can support existing and future accountability pathways for Afghanistan, particularly in the long term, by sharing evidence, analysis and case files with prosecutors in multiple jurisdictions – from the ICC to national courts and universal jurisdiction efforts – as well as in legal proceedings of a non-criminal nature. Each will be considered in turn.

Unlocking more universal jurisdiction cases

The IIM-A could be highly impactful in the context of universal jurisdiction, based on the example of similar UN mechanisms that have already demonstrated their ability to contribute to UJ cases. Most European countries, as well as Canada, Australia, New Zealand, South Africa, Senegal and Argentina have UJ laws, though not all apply universal jurisdiction in practice (see Trial International’s map tracking UJ laws and use).

The Syria International, Impartial and Independent Mechanism (IIIM) has become a clearinghouse for national war crimes units, receiving hundreds of formal requests for assistance from multiple jurisdictions and contributing material to multiple domestic prosecutions. Its 2024 report states that it has supported 215 investigations, including publicly disclosed contributions to justice processes in Germany, France, Belgium, the Netherlands, Sweden, the United States (US), Slovakia and the ICJ.[4]

Afghanistan has already featured in UJ practice in Europe, though the mixed outcomes – particularly weaknesses in evidentiary files – demonstrate why the IIM-A may be helpful. Dutch prosecutors have investigated six Afghan war crimes cases; only two resulted in final convictions for torture as a war crime. The Prosecutor closed two cases at the investigation stage due to inadmissible evidence or the death of one suspect. Judges acquitted two accused individuals due to insufficient evidence to prove their personal responsibility or command liability (AAN).[5] In the United Kingdom, one Afghan individual is currently under investigation for a murder in 2015; details have not been published yet (Trial International, p 108).

The IIM-A can help turn these kinds of uneven results into a steadier pipeline of viable UJ prosecutions by collecting and preserving evidence before it is destroyed.

The International Criminal Court (ICC)

The ICC investigation into Afghanistan could benefit hugely from the IIM-A. The Office of the Prosecutor (OTP) of the ICC is currently investigating alleged crimes against the Taliban and ISKP. It has already issued arrest warrants against the Emirate’s Supreme Leader, Mullah Hibatullah Akhundzada and its Chief Justice, Abdul Hakim Haqqani, for crimes against humanity of gender persecution in Afghanistan. The Prosecutor has said that he hoped more warrants would follow.

The investigation scope is potentially broad, but in practice, it was limited to the Taliban and Islamic State by the OTP due to resource restrictions as well as the “gravity, scale and continuing nature” of their alleged crimes (ICC). The OTP has been criticised for this approach, given wider accusations of selective justice as well as the risk that it creates a hierarchy and unnecessary competition among survivors (AAN).

The IIM-A could share evidence and analytical products in ways that meet the OTP’s evidentiary and analytical requirements and add immediate value to the ICC’s current line of investigation into the Taliban and ISKP.[6] It could also help address the apparent resource constraint that led it to deprioritise other aspects of the Afghanistan investigation by expanding its investigations to include additional perpetrators and examining cases before 2021.

The International Court of Justice (ICJ)

The IIM-A is also expected to cooperate with any future cases heard by the International Court of Justice relating to international human rights law. A case against Afghanistan is expected: in September 2024, four countries, Australia, Canada, Germany and the Netherlands, announced that if the Taliban did not stop violating the Convention on the Elimination of All Forms of Discrimination Against Women (CEDAW), they would initiate a case against Afghanistan before the ICJ (AAN). Since the ICJ is a state-to-state legal proceeding, any support from the IIM-A to the ICJ’s potential process would go through the state parties to the dispute.

Domestic accountability for military crimes abroad

Countries that deployed troops to Afghanistan under the Republic are expected to investigate and prosecute crimes by their own nationals that took place on Afghan soil. Some countries have already conducted military police investigations or launched public inquiries, but the results remain limited. For example, in Australia, an inquiry into alleged war crimes by the Australian special forces did result in a criminal investigation, but only one former soldier has been charged with the war crime of murder so far (Associated Press).[7] There are concerns that the longer the time between the crime and the investigation, the lower the likelihood of multiple prosecutions (ABC). In the UK, military police investigations have been criticised for their slow start, premature closure, failures to explore all evidentiary avenues and political interference (BBCGuardian). An independent inquiry currently underway may recommend further investigations, but prospects for justice for the victims of crimes that took place two decades ago seem slim.[8]

The IIM-A can accelerate cases in domestic courts in two ways. First, its existence may encourage states to step up their own investigations into allegations against their forces before the IIM-A gets involved. Second, the IIM-A can contribute to ongoing or future domestic investigations or inquiries by collecting, analysing and sharing evidence. National prosecutorial teams with limited or no access to Afghanistan could benefit from the IIM-A’s greater flexibility to work with civil society documentation efforts, combining the experience and access of CSOs with the IIM-A’s technical capacity.

Transitional justice

The open-ended time frame is important given Afghanistan’s prolonged history of systematic and systemic violence and crime through multiple eras of conflict. While current circumstances in Afghanistan do not allow for the implementation of a transitional justice programme, when this changes, the country will need a foundation of evidence and analysis (see AAN’s report on Afghanistan’s transitional justice process). The IIM-A’s work could make a significant contribution to future transitional justice efforts, particularly by preserving evidence archives. This could be invaluable for eventual national reconciliation and institutional reform. Abbasi told AAN, “When an opportunity for transitional justice arises, the IIM-A’s authentic records will be readily available, enabling Afghanistan to act quickly and not miss another crucial opportunity.” Although much of the IIM-A’s work will not be publicly released (unlike the more public-facing reporting of the UNSR or UNAMA, for example), it could share evidence and information with future Afghan domestic proceedings, assuming certain conditions are met, such as fair-trial standards and witness protection.

How the IIM-A was born: civil society advocacy 

The establishment of the IIM-A comes after years of advocacy by CSOs, gradually gaining support from UN experts and member states. Before the collapse of the Afghan Republic, voices from inside the country were urging an international investigation mechanism. A turning point occurred on 8 May 2021, when a bombing at the Sayed ul-Shuhada girls’ school in Kabul killed 85 mostly Hazara schoolgirls (see victims’ profile on the Hazara Genocide Archive website). The Afghanistan Independent Human Rights Commission (AIHRC) publicly condemned the attack in a statement and appealed for an independent UN-led investigation. Shaharzad Akbar, who was the commission’s chair at the time, explained her reasons for this call to AAN in October 2025, stating that she had little faith in the domestic justice system.

The call for a new UN mechanism grew after the collapse of the Republic in August 2021, though it was often thwarted. The HRC held a special session on 24 August 2021, in recognition of the human rights emergency, during which calls for an additional mechanism were repeated but not adopted. Nasir Andisha, who has been Afghanistan’s permanent representative to the HRC, told AAN in September 2025 that the outcome of that special session was not what he expected: “It was very weak and inadequate to the critical human rights situation of Afghanistan.” However, in October 2021, the HRC established the United Nations Special Rapporteur (UNSR) for Afghanistan, with Richard Bennett appointed as the UNSR in 2022. Alongside this mandate, Afghan and international NGOs pushed for an independent investigative mechanism, a call which the UNSR echoed. Repeated open letters signed by dozens of NGOs were sent to the Human Rights Council (see this one, hosted by the International Commission of Jurists).Behind the scenes, the European Union was scoping member states’ interest in moving forward with the mechanism, encountering only pockets of resistance (primarily from former troop-contributing nations, more on this later).

It was in the lead-up to the HRC’s 60th session (Sep–Oct 2025) that the drumbeat for a mechanism reached its peak. On 28 August 2025, a coalition of 107 Afghan and international organisations released yet another open letter urging the Council to “act where it has long failed” (accessible here on Amnesty International’s website). This time, the European Union felt it had the support it required from its members, with EU backing virtually guaranteeing the numbers needed for HRC to endorse the establishment of the IIM-A.

The final resolution was hailed as a significant victory for Afghan victims and a testament to the CSOs’ relentless advocacy. “After decades of pleas for justice, we finally have some hope,” Akbar told AAN. Abbasi told AAN, “One year ago, establishment of a comprehensive investigative mechanism seemed like a dream.”

However, both Akbar and Abbasi acknowledged that the hard job had just started for CSOs. According to Abbasi, the IIM-A’s access to information and witnesses inside Afghanistan is not guaranteed. Thus, the IIM-A will rely on CSOs, which will give renewed energy to their documentation efforts, but this comes at a time when many are struggling for funding. Akbar said that CSOs could continue advocating for funding for the IIM-A and their own funding requirements.

Operational framework: current design and early indicators

The realisation of this mandate and the potential impact outlined above will depend to a large degree on its operational framework. The Human Rights Council resolution provides the foundational elements of the IIM-A, including its independence, primary functions, and its place within the wider ecosystem of justice institutions, but plenty of questions remain.

The IIM-A is an “ongoing” entity within the UN system (para 25). Unlike the UNSR for Afghanistan and UNAMA, whose mandates are annually approved by the Human Rights Council (HRC) or UN Security Council (UNSC), the IIM-A’s mandate continues until the HRC decides to end it. While this does not guarantee long-term funding, it eliminates concerns about renewal, providing a relatively sustainable basis for the mechanism. This is crucial, since not only is the mechanism’s work time-consuming, but it should ideally also provide resources for prosecutors in multiple jurisdictions over a long period for maximum effect (allowing for the movement or discovery of perpetrators over time, for example).

It is an “independent” mechanism, meaning that it operates independently of UN agencies, including the Office of the High Commissioner of Human Rights (OHCHR) and the UN Secretary-General’s Office (para 25). Nevertheless, it will need to synergise its activities with other agencies (more on this below).

Investigative functions: collecting and preserving evidence, preparing case files

At its core, the IIM-A will function much like a professional team supporting a prosecutorial office, though it is not a police force, prosecutor or court. As an “investigative” mechanism, it is tasked “to collect, preserve and analyse evidence” and information and prepare case files to support criminal or civil law proceedings (para 25). Collecting evidence involves gathering diverse materials, such as witness statements, forensic samples, satellite imagery or digital media, before they are lost or destroyed. It is required to “consolidate” evidence, so that scattered archives from CSOs, UN bodies or individuals are gathered, analysed and stored securely.

Some of the biggest impediments to prosecuting international crimes are the erosion or destruction of evidence over time, making the IIM-A’s preservation function critical. It can maintain the integrity and ‘chain of custody’ of evidence by minimising access and the potential for tampering with each piece of evidence through secure storage, forensic protocols, and digital safeguards. Analysis might require experts to verify sources, identify patterns, connect acts to perpetrators or provide contextual and legal analysis.[9]

Civil society will be crucial to the IIM-A’s work, particularly if the IIM-A is not permitted to visit Afghanistan (more on that later). Most NGOs do not typically collect ‘evidence’ to the standards required by courts, but the IIM-A can act as a filter and sorting house for their documentation.

Complementarity

The IIM-A is intended to be a bridge mechanism that works “in complementarity with, and without risk of prejudice to, competent and robust existing national and international processes” (para 26(h)). AAN understands that this language is there to satisfy the concerns of states that had military forces in Afghanistan and are wary of external investigations. A source told AAN in October 2025 that “The purpose is almost certainly to guide the IIM-A to avoid investigation of the same cases” under existing investigations. The legal concept of ‘complementarity’ recognises the primacy of national investigations, which would mean that, for example, as long as investigations or inquiries are ongoing in Australia and the United Kingdom into potential war crimes by their forces in Afghanistan, the IIM-A would have to be cautious about doing anything that might “prejudice” those processes.

In contrast, the ICC is likely to be more welcoming towards the IIM-A. In 2023, the Prosecutor, Karim Khan, announced a new strategic focus on cooperation and complementarity, shifting the OTP from being the “apex” of the Rome Statute to a “hub” within a network of accountability efforts, with a view to greater cooperation with other accountability mechanisms and national authorities.[10] The OTP may still want to protect certain lines of inquiry from duplicative efforts that might “prejudice” its work, but given the scale of the task it has, it is not hard to see how the IIM-A and the ICC can have a constructive engagement.

The history of how complementarity is used at the ICC, however, also shows how states can abuse the principle to avoid accountability. The ICC only has jurisdiction over crimes if a state with primary jurisdiction is “unwilling or unable” to investigate (article 17 of the Rome Statute). Ideally, the threat of an ICC investigation can spur a state into a meaningful investigation. However, states can defer an investigation by claiming that they are investigating, even if that is more of a façade of superficial or inadequate investigations, much as the Afghan government did under the Republic when it sought to block the ICC’s investigation, even though its own ability and willingness to investigate war crimes were extremely doubtful.

A lack of clarity over these boundaries could create disputes between the IIM-A and states or other bodies over case selection, without further elaboration, as well as highlighting the need for a dispute-resolution mechanism in the event of disagreement about complementarity.

The IIM-A and the Special Rapporteur

The resolution goes some way to specify how the mechanism will work with the UN Special Rapporteur on the situation of human rights in Afghanistan under paragraph 26(b). It directs the IIM-A to “Build on the work and findings” of the UNSR and make use of relevant information, “with consent of information providers as appropriate.” (This will likely include obtaining additional consent from victims, which will be challenging, even with goodwill.) Once the IIM-A becomes operational, the ‘collection and preservation’ part of the UNSR’s mandate, which was added to his initial mandate in 2022, will transfer to the IIM-A. This appears to be a logical use of resources — the UNSR was never adequately resourced to conduct large-scale, criminal-grade evidence collection and preservation. However, the core work of the UNSR’s initial mandate – to “seek, receive, examine and act on information from all relevant stakeholders pertaining to the situation of human rights in Afghanistan” – will continue after the IIM-A is operational. This means that the UNSR can focus on public reporting on the human rights situation and on engaging with civil society, while the IIM-A operates discreetly in support of criminal accountability.

The resolution calls upon the entire United Nations system to fully cooperate and respond promptly to the IIM-A’s requests (para 31). UNAMA, in particular, has gathered extensive information and potential evidence on human rights violations and international crimes over many years. However, the extent to which such information has been preserved – with a clear chain of custody or the required consent – is less clear.

The resolution also calls for the cooperation of states, civil society, business enterprises and other stakeholders to provide any information and documentation they hold or may later obtain (para 30). As noted, the work of CSOs will be particularly important, especially if the IIM-A’s field engagement is hindered due to the de facto authorities’ lack of cooperation. CSOs are able to operate (discretely) inside Afghanistan and possess a rich archive of materials, including victim testimonies and datasets.   Victim-ce

ntredgender-responsive and multidimensional approach

The mandate requires the IIM-A to adopt procedures that are survivor-centred and gender-responsive (para 26(d)). Afghan women and girls have suffered disproportionately under the IEA rule, as demonstrated by the arrest warrants for Taliban leaders for gender persecution as a crime against humanity. This will likely mean that the mechanism will ensure they have the relevant staff and procedures to ensure that crimes like sexual and gender-based violence are prioritised and that the experiences of women, girls and minorities inform its investigations.

The IIM-A is also tasked with adopting procedures which are “multidimensional.” Although this is not defined, it could imply that the IIM-A should approach its work through multiple, interrelated lenses, including the historical, political, economic and social dimensions, as well as intersectional grounds.

Budget and staffing

There are two funding sources for the IIM-A: initial support from the UN to establish a start-up team and a Trust Fund for voluntary (state) contributions that will provide long-term support. The estimated 2026 budget is approximately USD 2.5 million, increasing to USD 3.5 million in 2027 and 2028, with an anticipated increase to around USD 9 million from 2029 onwards (Oral Statement by the UN Office of Programme Planning, Finance and Budget). None of this will be guaranteed, however, until December 2025, when it is subject to budgetary review and approval at the UN (the Fifth Committee, UN press statement).

The budget is significantly lower than the Syrian mechanism’s budget, which was around USD 25 million in 2024 (Justiceinfo.Net), while the annual budget for the Myanmar mechanism is around USD 15 million (Reuters). The oral statement suggests this may reflect, at least in part, the cost-efficiency of sharing data processing, cybersecurity, and other systems between the existing mechanisms and OHCHR. However, a staff of 43 is envisaged for the IIM-A, to be appointed over three years, while the Syrian mechanism was allocated a team of 100 (IIIM 2023 Results Report, p14). It presumably also reflects a backdrop of a significant reduction in resources for the UN, with the Secretary-General warning in October 2025 that the UN could “race to bankruptcy” (UN News).

Risks, limitations and mitigation factors

The mandate reads well on paper, but delivery will be shaped by real-world constraints, including limited access inside Afghanistan, political pushback on cooperation, lean staffing and restricted funding. Experience from the ICC’s Afghanistan engagement, as well as the IIIM and IIMM, suggests that these factors will define what the IIM-A can achieve. The most relevant risks and limitations are set out below.

Managing scope and expectations

The IIM-A’s expansive scope is a strength, but broad mandates can collide with finite resources, cooperation limits and political headwinds, producing disappointed constituencies when some victim groups are left behind. This has been seen in the ICC’s Afghanistan engagement – first because of how slowly things have moved, and second, in the narrowing of investigative focus, as discussed. The IIM-A’s remit is even wider than the ICC’s, covering pre-2003 conduct and serious violations of the International Human Rights Law (IHRL) that may not amount to international crimes, magnifying the risk of over-promising relative to staffing, funding and longevity.

The case selection procedure for the IIM-A has not yet been defined, except for a direct reference to crimes against women and girls in the operative paragraph of the resolution and it will likely be developed and published when it is operational. It has been directed to take a “gender-responsive and victim-centred approach,” which should allow for some degree of proactive case selection to meet clear victim/survivor demands.[11] Some Afghan victim/survivor communities advocate for a ‘representative coverage’ model, which would include at least one feasible, high gravity case from different periods and parties, to provide some equity for victim/survivor communities (the author participated in relevant discussions).

Resourcingandphased capacity development

As discussed, the IIM-A rollout will happen amid a UN liquidity crunch, which may already have influenced the proposed budget for the IIM-A, which starts at a fairly low level. Beyond core UN contributions, which are limited, the mechanism will rely on a voluntary Trust Fund, which could leave it vulnerable to unpredictable donor cycles and political conditionalities. In recent years, funding for human rights accountability work has generally decreased and for Afghanistan in particular (OHCHR’s 2025 annual report and AAN’s report on assistance cuts in Afghanistan). Donors may attempt to fund specific types of cases, excluding those they do not wish to support, which risks politicising the mechanism.[12]

Universal jurisdiction is highly state-dependent

UJ cases rise or fall on the will and capacity of states to prosecute, which in turn depends on a wide range of factors, including their legal frameworks, access to evidence and witnesses, the ability to identify perpetrators and, in many cases, the requirement for perpetrators to be present in the jurisdiction of the state. In addition, the advocacy and involvement of diaspora communities, as well as other civil society and donors, can all be influential.

The impacts of the Syrian (IIIM) and Myanmar (IIMM) mechanisms are quite different, though there are multiple reasons for this. The IIIM has received 500 information sharing requests, mainly from European states, while the IIMM has received only one, from Argentina. However, unlike the Syrian mechanism, the IIMM also cooperates with the ICC, so universal jurisdiction is not its primary focus.[13]For the Syrian mechanism, there is a greater presence (or potential presence) of perpetrators and victims in relevant jurisdictions, which relates to migratory flows as well as citizens travelling to take part in hostilities abroad (mostly to join sanctioned terrorist groups) and returning to their home country.[14]

The presence of the accused is not always necessary, however. A number of states, including Argentina and Germany, allow prosecutors to investigate and issue arrest warrants even when the suspect is abroad (though neither country will hold trials in absentia).[15] In France, not only can warrants be issued in absentia, but trials can also be held without the perpetrator present: three senior Syrian officials were tried in absentia and found guilty of war crimes in 2024 (Reuters). France also issued an arrest warrant for Bashar al-Assad in 2024, once he was no longer a head of state (an earlier warrant while he was still in office was ruled invalid, see this Reuters report).

However, prosecutors with limited resources may also want to know that there is at least the possibility of a perpetrator’s presence to justify their application of resources. In 2023, for example, the German Federal Prosecutor declined to open a universal jurisdiction case against Myanmar, which was filed by the NGO Fortify Rights and complainants from Myanmar, because the accused was not present in Germany or expected to be present (also noting the IIMM’s case building work). The decision that was criticised by Fortify Rights, which argued that the movement of persons of interest can be dynamic and unpredictable. More cynical observers might suggest that such pragmatism could be overridden only when high-profile arrest warrants align with foreign policy or business interests (Western states were criticised for many years for turning a blind eye to corporate oil and gas dealings with the Myanmar junta, for example, see this Guardian article).

Where does this leave Afghanistan?  On the one hand, Afghanistan is of importance to the ICC, which is expected to welcome the IIM-A. In addition, Afghanistan is relevant to many European states, with large Afghan diasporas and a longstanding political and military engagement. Dutch prosecutors, echoing Dutch judges’ earlier decisions, told AAN in 2019 that a key driver of their Afghan docket was ensuring the Netherlands did not become a haven for war criminals (AAN). On the other hand, several factors may temper expectations related to Afghanistan.

First, under-resourced war crimes units in several jurisdictions may remain focused on Syria and Iraq; even with assistance from the IIM-A, Afghan files may sit lower on priority lists. Secondly, the ‘presence or expected presence’ determination may affect the prosecutor’s case selection. Many former Taliban commanders and IEA officials are subject to travel bans or do not travel to jurisdictions where they might be arrested. Similar considerations may come into play with regard to ISKP commanders. However, in both cases, mid or lower-ranking commanders can defect and travel, even under the status quo, while the longevity of the regime itself is hard to predict. As things stand, this could leave former Republic officials more vulnerable to investigation, given that many are already in countries with universal jurisdiction. This, however, is a relatively under-documented area, with political sensitivities for some in the Afghan diaspora, given the scale of past and ongoing violations by other perpetrators.

Thirdly, the growing political normalisation with the IEA, which in some European states is linked to questions of migration and returns, may dampen the appetite to pursue Taliban cases. Over time, some EU countries, such as Germany, have increased their de facto engagement with the IEA, apparently driven by a need for IEA cooperation to receive Afghan deportees (InfoMigrants). Other countries, like Norway, have chosen a path of engagement with the IEA despite the gravity of their rights violations. For example, in 2022, a senior IEA delegation visited Oslo, including Amir Khan Muttaqi, the Minister of Foreign Affairs and Anas Haqqani, a senior member of the Haqqani Network (BBC).[16] While they were in Oslo, Afghan CSOs requested the Norwegian authorities to arrest them (NewsinEnglish.no).

Domestic inquiries and cooperation challenges

As discussed, there would almost certainly be resistance from former troop-contributing nations to the IIM-A opening investigations into potential war crimes that touch on their forces. States with potential exposure could narrow cooperation or seek to ring-fence sensitive files. The recent ICC experience with the United States is the most extreme example of a state’s backlash. The US imposed visa bans and financial sanctions on ICC officials over Afghanistan (2019 and 2020) and Israel (since 2025). Reports suggest that the US might even sanction the ICC as an institution (Financial Times). While US foreign policy under Donald Trump is far from the global norm, there are growing numbers of populist leaders as well as hostility to what is sometimes called ‘lawfare’ by conservative governments (including in the UK, see this article by the NGO Action on Armed Violence).

AAN obtained credible information that Poland, which eventually joined the EU consensus on the resolution, previously opposed the notion of proposing an IIM for Afghanistan during EU internal discussions over the last four years (the EU drafted and proposed resolution 60/9, which resulted in the adoption of the IIM-A). It is believed this was driven by concerns about allegations against the Polish military forces (in 2011, seven Polish soldiers were acquitted of war crimes in an incident in 2007, see this BBC report).

AAN also obtained information about the UK’s attempt to restrict the IIM-A’s scope during the informal discussions in September 2025. The UK apparently tried, but failed, to modify the wording so that the IIM-A would “be complementary with” existing national and international processes, while the wording in the draft was “working in complementarity with” those processes. A source suggested that the UK wanted to preclude the IIM-A from investigating crimes that a state has already investigated. (As noted, in December 2022, the UK established an Independent Inquiry Relating to Afghanistanto investigate potential war crimes in Afghanistan by its special forces.)

Access and witness protection

The resolution equips the IIM-A to conduct field engagement (para 26(c)). The IEA has not reacted to the IIM-A’s creation, though it is highly unlikely they would permit investigations into their own culpability. They might conceivably permit investigations into historical abuses against their own forces, such as the notorious massacre at Dasht-e Leili, though it would be equally hard to imagine the IIM-A travelling to Afghanistan to investigate only incidents by one perpetrator without compromising their own independence.[17] Thus, it seems quite possible that the IIM-A will not have an on-the-ground presence. Recent practice points the same way. They banned the UNSR from visiting after critical reports following his visits in 2022 and 2023 (Reuters). They also publicly announced that they would not cooperate with the ICC (Al Jazeera).

The IEA’s control over territory, institutions and records means that site inspections, facility visits and routine subpoenas are unrealistic. As a result, crucial information archives inside Afghanistan, including court and prison ledgers, hospital registers, school and payroll records, procurement files and telecom records, may be unreachable, altered or destroyed, degrading their value as evidence over time. Very little forensic work has been done and what there is may not be admissible. Remote investigation tools, satellite imagery, secure digital intake and proxy interviewing across borders can be helpful, but they also come with trade-offs. Without on-the-ground corroboration, authenticity and chain of custody challenges increase; translation and cultural context errors also rise.

Consequently, working with diaspora witnesses and with CSOs working on human rights issues will be vital to the IIM-A. That said, in terms of witness protection and protection for human rights defenders, even Afghans in exile also face security threats to their extended families and associates. How the IIM-A navigates this will be of utmost importance.

Conclusion

The IIM-A marks a decisive upgrade from monitoring to case building for Afghanistan, raising hopes for greater criminal accountability in the years to come. It is the first UN body mandated to collect, preserve and analyse evidence to courtroom standards across all parties, all periods and in relation to International Criminal Law, International Humanitarian Law and the most serious International Human Rights Law violations. Other UN mechanisms, including the Special Rapporteur and UNAMA, remain central for public reporting and advocacy and offer a good complement to the mechanism. Properly used, the IIM-A could encourage universal jurisdiction proceedings, enhance the capacity and potentially the scope of the ICC investigation, support a potential ICJ case and preserve evidence for future Afghan transitional justice.

The reality, however, will also be shaped by practical limitations. The same features that make the mechanism powerful – its broad scope, ongoing mandate and open-ended timeline – also carry risks familiar from Afghan civil society’s experience with the ICC. It could raise expectations that collide with finite resources, political headwinds, limited cooperation and access constraints. The IIM-A’s start-up budgets are lean and phased, cooperation may be uneven and field engagement inside Afghanistan may be limited or denied.

The decisions made by the IIM-A regarding its strategic lines of inquiry and case selection will be decisive for both the mechanism’s impact and its ability to be truly victim-centred. It will be a fine balancing act to reconcile the broad scope, limited capacity and significant expectations.

Responsibility does not rest with the IIM-A alone. Its operations and independence will depend upon predictable, preferably unearmarked funding and state cooperation. Much will also depend on the resources and interest of national war crimes units to proactively pursue UJ cases where the evidence leads. UN entities could play a significant role by enabling access to important files and aligning their future procedures, such as ensuring broader consent from their information providers, enabling them to share their documentation with the IIM-A.

Measured against Afghanistan’s decades of impunity, the IIM-A is far from a cure-all and it will not deliver justice quickly or evenly. Its contribution can be to help stop further loss of evidence, improve the quality and readiness of files for courts, encourage more prosecutors to take action and keep justice options open until judicial and political opportunities arise.

Edited by Rachel Reid and Roxanna Shapour

 

References

References
1 Another UN mechanism, the United Nations Investigative Team to Promote Accountability for Crimes Committed by Da’esh/ISIL (UNITAD), operated from 2017 to 2023, primarily to support investigations by the Iraqi authorities. For background see this article on JusticeInfo.Net.
2 Legal instruments include the Geneva Conventions and their Additional Protocols and the Rome Statute (1998) which established the International Criminal Court and four core international crimes: genocide, crimes against humanity, war crimes and the crime of aggression. International human rights law is enshrined in a series of instruments such as the Convention on the Prevention and Punishment of the Crime of Genocide (1948), the International Covenant on Civil and Political Rights (1966) the Convention on the Rights of Persons with Disabilities (2006) and the International Convention on Economic, Social and Cultural Rights (1966) and the International Covenant on Economic, Social and Cultural Rights (1976). See this UN list: The Core International Human Rights Instruments and their monitoring bodies.
3 Some countries including France and Sweden can hold entities accountable, see for example the groundbreaking 2022 Lafarge/Syria case (ECCHR) and Lundin Energy / South Sudan case (JusticeInfo.Net).
4 This was exemplified by Germany’s landmark Koblenz case (Anwar R.), which convicted for the first time a senior Assad government official for crimes against humanity in Syria (European Center for Constitutional and Human Rights).
5 The two convictions were against former KhAD (Khedamat-e Ettela’at-e Dawlati) officials. A third case, against another former KhAD officer, ended in acquittal, because the evidence was insufficient to prove personal responsibility or command liability. A fourth led to an initial conviction for war crimes linked to Pul-e-Charkhi prison; the Court of Appeal acquitted him in 2024 on a legal technicality, which was under appeal until he died in 2025 (AAN). There was another investigation into an individual implicated in the 1979 Kerala massacre but prosecutors closed the case in 2017 for lack of admissible proof (AAN).
6 The IIM-A’s gender responsive procedures also align with the OTP’s Policy on Gender-Based Crimes, including the crime against humanity of gender persecution.
7 In Australia, the government created the Office of the Special Investigator (OSI) in January 2021 to investigate criminal matters arising from the Inspector-General ADF (Brereton) Inquiry, which found “credible information” of unlawful killings and other violations by Special Forces (2005–2016). In 2023, former SAS soldier Oliver Schulz was charged with the war crime of murder of an Afghan civilian in 2012; his case is awaiting trial, pending the release of information by the Australian military.
8 The Independent Inquiry Relating to Afghanistan is not a court, but may recommend further military police investigations.
9 The IIIM says it received increasing requests for analytical products that help prosecutors establish elements of a crime, such as an entity’s organisational structure, see IIIM 2024 report, page 14.
10 See, ICC Office of the Prosecutor launches public consultation on Policy on Complementarity and Cooperation, 6 October 2023. The policy reflects a desire to work more cooperatively with national authorities working on universal jurisdiction, partly influenced by Khan’s own background working with a UN pre-prosecutorial mechanism, UNITAD (Just Security). There are also, however, concerns that “excessive deference to national systems could potentially leave victims without viable avenues for justice,” as expressed by the International Federation for Human Rights.
11 The IIM-A selection policies operate on the basis of requests, but also proactively, using three strategic lines of inquiry: detention; crimes associated with Islamic State in Iraq and the Levant and unlawful attacks against civilians and civilian objects. A cross-cutting theme is an attempt to “address biases” and include underrepresented persons and groups (IIIM Bulletin No 9, August 2023, p4). Its proactive work gives it some leeway to provide a more “victim/survivor-centred approach,” including under-represented crimes against children and gender-based violence, including sexual violence, as well as a focus on missing person. The IIMM says it prioritises cases on the basis of the nature, gravity and scale of each crime; the impact on victims; the strength of available evidence; the prospect of an investigation meeting international criminal standards; the likelihood of a court or tribunal taking jurisdiction over the crime, and the possibility of building a case against the alleged perpetrator. Incidents that include sexual and gender-based crimes and crimes against and affecting children are prioritized (IIMM FAQs).
12 This concern was raised in relation to the ICC following its opening of an investigation into the situation in Ukraine, when some states voluntarily funded the ICC. This was seen as influencing the ICC’s prioritisation and case selection policy, which ultimately prejudices its independence (Amnesty InternationalAl Jazeera). In response to such critiques, in 2022, the OTP announced that states can only fund OTP as a whole, allowing it to allocate funds according to its priorities.
13 The importance of the IIMM was noted by the ICC prosecutor when announced his request in 2024 for an arrest warrant for the Commander-in-Chief of the Myanmar Defence Services.
14 A 2023 analysis by The Syria Justice and Accountability Centre of more than 250 UJ cases relating to Syria found that “states are predominantly prosecuting their own citizens for crimes committed in the Syrian conflict.” While former Syrian officials were also prosecuted, these were mostly “low and midranked individuals” who had come to Europe.
15 See for example, the arrest warrants against Jamil Hassan, a Syrian Air Force Intelligence officer, in 2018 (ECCHR).
16 Muttaqi joined the Taliban in 1994 and served in various positions, including the Minister of Education (2000 and 2001) at a time when girls were largely banned from education, a practice which could amount to gender persecution. After 2001, he remained in a senior leadership role within the Taliban (his IEA biography is here: https://mfa.gov.af/en/page/30133). Haqqani was found guilty of terrorist crimes and convicted to death (later to imprisonment) by Afghan courts, but released in exchange with US and Australian hostages in 2019, before completion of his sentence (BBC).
17 For more on Dasht-e Leili and other mass grave sites, see Assessments and Documentation in Afghanistan by Physicians for Human Rights, which conducted several forensic investigations.

 

A New Accountability Mechanism for Afghanistan: What the IIM-A can (and cannot) do
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Five Ways Pakistan Is Trying To ‘Hide’ Its Own Blunders In Afghanistan

Sarral Sharma

NDTV (India) Opinion,

Updated:
Nov 04, 2025 15:53 pm IST
Pakistan is working to shift the global narrative in its favour amid ongoing tensions with Afghanistan and uncertainty regarding peace negotiations with the interim Taliban government. To achieve this, Islamabad is portraying itself as a victim of cross-border terrorism, calling the Taliban uncooperative, seeking external support from Western and friendly Islamic nations on the issue, justifying aggressive military actions in Afghanistan, and blaming India for the rift with the Taliban. All these factors also contribute to Pakistan’s attempts to hide its “strategic depth” policy failure in Afghanistan and coerce the Taliban leadership to fall in line or face consequences. Riding high on renewed ties with the United States and a growing diplomatic role in the Middle East, Pakistan believes it can reshape the perception about Afghanistan. While this tactic may work in the short term, Islamabad risks alienating the Taliban in the long run.

Pak Plays Victim

First, Pakistan is presenting itself internationally as the victim of cross-terrorism allegedly originating from Afghan territory. Islamabad has repeatedly accused the Taliban-led interim government of harbouring the Tehrik‑i‑Taliban Pakistan (TTP) and other militant groups that attack Pakistani armed forces. In the most recent round of talks in Istanbul (with mediation from Turkey and Qatar), Pakistan initially declared: “The dialogue…ended without any workable solution” and accused the Afghan side of being “indifferent to Pakistan’s losses”. However, the recent negotiations were extended due to third-party mediation efforts and finally concluded on October 30, with plans to hold the next round on November 6 in Istanbul. By emphasising its own sufferings and sacrifices, Pakistan is now portraying itself as a responsible, peace-seeking neighbour whose diplomatic overtures have been rejected due to the Taliban’s intransigence. This victim narrative gives Islamabad moral cover in international forums.

A ‘Peace Warrior’

Second, by pointing the finger at the Taliban and declaring its own peaceful credentials, Pakistan can claim the role of the peace warrior. The Pakistani side has claimed that the country had “always desired, advocated and immensely sacrificed for peace and prosperity for the people of Afghanistan” and warned that “Pakistan’s patience has run its course”. Whereas Pakistan’s army chief, Field Marshal Syed Asim Munir, warned the Afghan Taliban to choose between “peace and chaos”, and stated in January 2024, “when it comes to the safety and security of every single Pakistani, the whole of Afghanistan can be damned”. In doing so, Pakistan presents itself as both a willing negotiator and a powerful military force that reserves the right to act. This matters because the international community generally favours diplomatic negotiations over military solutions. Therefore, Pakistan’s argument that it engaged with the Taliban in Doha and Istanbul, but that the latter allegedly backtracked on commitments, gives Islamabad a diplomatic advantage and allows it to shift the blame away from itself and onto Kabul for bilateral tensions.

Look At What It Says To The World

Third, the failure of negotiations helps Pakistan mobilise external support from the West and some Islamic countries to pressure the Taliban. Islamabad has long argued with Washington that Kabul cannot be stable unless Pakistan’s security concerns (especially the TTP) are addressed. With the Taliban’s limited role in controlling militancy in Pakistan, which it considers the latter’s “internal problem”, Islamabad may use the uncertainty around peace talks as an example of the Taliban’s unreliability and solicit financial aid, intelligence, and military cooperation, or diplomatic backing from Western capitals on the issue. Notably, Pakistan remains a close counterterrorism partner of the United States and has strengthened bilateral security cooperation under the Donald Trump administration. With renewed support from Washington and ongoing tensions between the US and Afghanistan over the issue of the Bagram airbase control, Islamabad sees an opportunity to bolster its external support and portray the Taliban as a threat to regional and global security.

Justifying Its Aggression

Fourth, the diplomatic impasse gives Pakistan a convenient justification for an aggressive military strategy against Afghanistan under the pretext of counterterrorism operations against TTP and its affiliates. For example, Defence Minister Khawaja Asif threatened Afghanistan that Pakistan did not need “even a fraction of its full arsenal to completely obliterate the Taliban regime” if provoked further. The temporary breakdown of diplomacy between the two countries may lead to Pakistan using force and carrying out more and deeper strikes inside Afghanistan, such as in Kabul or Kandahar. In Pakistan, there are growing calls for ‘open war’ or redrawing the Durand Line by forcefully capturing some territories in eastern Afghanistan. Other options include increasing airstrikes on so-called militant hideouts, decapitation of top TTP leaders, and even attempts at regime change or a reshuffle in the current Taliban administration in Kabul. These options are possible as Pakistan is working to shape a global narrative that, if the ceasefire fails and peace talks with the Taliban break down, it reserves the right to take escalatory actions against Afghanistan.

Blaming India, As Usual

Fifth, Pakistan is also using the deadlock with the Taliban to further its propaganda that India is supposedly interfering via Afghanistan by supporting certain militant outfits. In its recent narrative, Islamabad is increasingly blaming India for influencing the Taliban regime to allegedly destabilise Pakistan’s western region. While Islamabad has failed to provide any evidence proving India’s involvement, this narrative serves the purpose of Pakistan’s military establishment: shifting attention away from its own counterterrorism policy failures, pressuring the Taliban, and placing India in the role of a destabiliser in the region. Pakistan is unsettled after the recent multi-day visit of the Acting Foreign Minister of the interim Taliban government, Amir Khan Muttaqi, to India. Muttaqi lauded India as a “close friend” that provides humanitarian aid, and announced Afghanistan’s desire for “mutual respect, trade, and people-to-people relations” with India.

Additionally, New Delhi recently agreed to upgrade its “technical” mission in Kabul to a full embassy. For Pakistan, the burgeoning India-Afghanistan relationship under the Taliban regime in Kabul is a clear failure of its decades-old “strategic depth” policy. To express its disapproval and frustration, Pakistan carried out airstrikes in Kabul, allegedly targeting key TTP leaders, during Muttaqi’s visit to India. This shows Pakistan will not accept growing diplomatic ties between Kabul and New Delhi and may intensify pressure on the Taliban through military strikes and narrative warfare against India. Nevertheless, these tactics will not solve Pakistan’s core issues with the Taliban administration, improve the internal security situation, or address deep ethnic divisions within the country.

By combining these reasons, Pakistan may extract short-term gains from ongoing tensions with the Taliban. The third-party mediation from Qatar and Turkey provides Pakistan with an additional advantage to pressure the Taliban and shape the global narrative and outcomes of the talks in its favor. Here, Pakistan’s aim is to change the Taliban’s behaviour in its favor, limit Kabul’s ties with New Delhi, and use regional instability as a time-tested tool to garner international attention.

However, this approach also poses certain risks to Pakistan. By leaning heavily on military operations and coercive diplomacy, Pakistan may further alienate the Afghan Taliban, reduce its influence, and increase the probability of a broader armed confrontation. The Taliban may turn away from Pakistan and cultivate new partnerships within the region and outside. Unlike the first Taliban regime in the late 1990s, Taliban 2.0 does not want to accept Pakistan’s policy directives and expects respectful treatment from its neighbour. On the other hand, Pakistan is not ready to accept the Taliban’s independent policy lines, especially Afghanistan’s growing ties with India, and would continue to push for a malleable leadership in Kabul. Even after four years, Islamabad has still not officially recognised the Taliban regime as the legitimate government of Afghanistan. This has generated serious mistrust in Kabul regarding Islamabad’s intentions and is one of the key reasons for tensions between the two sides.

‘Disappointment’ Is The Word

Since August 2021, Pakistan’s policy toward Afghanistan has shifted from one of triumph to one of disappointment. As the Taliban refuse to accept blatant subordination from Islamabad, Pakistan has decided to use coercive diplomacy, military measures, and the cross-border terrorism issue to create a narrative in its favour, which will allow it to justify its hard actions against Afghanistan in the future. This strategy may benefit Pakistan in the short term, as the Taliban’s international reputation is already struggling with credibility issues. However, Pakistan faces the following risks: losing influence over the Taliban in the long term, intensifying anger among Afghans, especially refugees and those impacted by Pakistani military actions, rising local militancy, and possibly consolidating the disgruntled members of the Pashtun community on both sides of the border.

Therefore, what remains to be seen is whether Pakistan’s aggressive policy on Afghanistan would ultimately pressure the Taliban and bring long-term peace to the two countries, or whether the regional instability would again help garner international attention and material support for Islamabad. One thing is clear: under Munir’s leadership, Pakistan’s military establishment is likely to use rising tensions on both its eastern and western borders as justification to further consolidate its power and deflect any calls for public accountability for its recurring counterterrorism failures and destabilising regional policy.

(Sarral Sharma is a Doctoral Candidate at JNU and a former Consultant at the National Security Council Secretariat)

Five Ways Pakistan Is Trying To ‘Hide’ Its Own Blunders In Afghanistan
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