Struggling to Survive Poverty: The strategies taken by Afghan families pushed to the limits 

Gulhan Durzai

Afghanistan Analysts Network

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Much has been written about the Afghan economy since the re-establishment of the Islamic Emirate in 2021: the data show a calamitous economic contraction, a fragile recovery where per capita GDP is actually falling, a labour market struggling to provide jobs and livelihoods, women and children taking on home-based work for a pittance, a large number of older boys taken out of school to work and Afghans emigrating, even as millions more are forced to ‘return’ from Iran and Pakistan. This report goes beyond the macro-economic trends to look at what they mean for individuals and their families. Guest author Gulhan Durzai* hears from Afghans, especially Afghan women, about their efforts to survive deepening impoverishment, the daily calculations and sacrifices, their relentless determination to try to keep households afloat and the point at which survival requires the unthinkable. 

You can preview the report online and download it by clicking here or the download button below.

The accounts in this report reveal the sequence through which households exhaust one coping mechanism after another, something that economic indicators alone cannot convey. Some of the interviewees were once self-reliant, with professional jobs, savings and assets. Others were already poor and had little cushion against further economic shocks. Yet their stories reveal a common progression as families exhaust one option after another. Savings are spent and assets sold. Women and children take on home-based piecework for meagre returns or become street vendors. Families borrow from relatives, neighbours and landlords. Sons are sent on dangerous journeys to Iran in the hope that remittances will keep those left behind afloat. Children are withdrawn from school to work, or sent to residential institutions that can provide them with food and shelter. Strategies that ensure immediate survival often erode the very resources – education, assets and earning potential – on which a family’s future depends. The accounts show, as well, how Emirate policies have removed many of the options available for women by severely restricting their access to education and paid employment. For those with no male breadwinner, the options are desperate indeed.

These stories illustrate how sudden shocks – work drying up, illness, a breadwinner dying – can push even the better-off into previously unimagined poverty and already vulnerable households into extreme hardship. They show how economic shocks cascade through Afghan society: when a university lecturer loses her job, the widowed cleaner she employed loses her income as well and is pushed to begging; when a son who has been sending back remittances, is deported, his whole family is impoverished, overnight; when a widowed mother becomes too ill to work, it is her eldest daughter, just 11 years old, who has to try to keep the family afloat.

The interviews also demonstrate how households struggle relentlessly to survive, rather than passively succumbing to poverty, tracing a process that aggregate economic indicators cannot capture. The strong social contract whereby Afghans try to help each other in a crisis still holds, but is under strain. As one coping mechanism after another fails, today’s survival increasingly comes at the cost of tomorrow’s prospects, until some families are left facing choices no parent would willingly make.

Edited by Kate Clark and Roxanna Shapour


*Gulhan Durzai graduated in 2026 with a Politics, Philosophy and Economics (PPE) degree from the School of Oriental and African Studies (SOAS), University of London. She has worked as a freelance researcher for AAN since 2023, and as an archive researcher, interpreter and assistant in documentary film production.


You can preview the report online and download it by clicking here or the download button below.

 

Struggling to Survive Poverty: The strategies taken by Afghan families pushed to the limits 
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US Congressman Seth Moulton Says He Is Working With Veterans to Evacuate Afghan Allies

 

Democratic Congressman Seth Moulton says he is continuing to work with U.S. military veterans to help evacuate Afghans who supported the United States during the war in Afghanistan, accusing the Trump administration of effectively halting relocation efforts for former Afghan allies.

Speaking to CBS News on Sunday, August 23, Moulton sharply criticized President Donald Trump’s immigration policies toward Afghan refugees, calling the suspension of relocation programs “racist” and arguing that the administration does not want “anyone except white people” entering the United States.

Moulton, a former U.S. Marine who served in Iraq and has long advocated for Afghan wartime allies, said many interpreters, security personnel and other Afghans who worked alongside American forces remain at risk of Taliban retaliation after the U.S. withdrawal from Afghanistan.

“The first thing we’re doing is continuing to work behind the scenes with veterans across the country to get Afghans to safety,” Moulton said, adding that veterans’ groups remain actively involved in helping vulnerable Afghan families relocate through available legal and humanitarian pathways.

He said the second priority is changing U.S. immigration policy so Washington honors its commitment to Afghans who risked their lives alongside American troops. Moulton argued that the United States has a moral obligation to protect those who served with U.S. forces during the two-decade conflict.

The congressman also said he is working to help Democrats regain majorities in the House of Representatives and Senate, saying a shift in political control would make it possible to reverse the administration’s immigration policies affecting Afghan allies.

The remarks come as thousands of Afghans remain stranded after the Trump administration suspended several refugee and immigration pathways, including restrictions affecting Afghan applicants for immigrant visas and refugee resettlement. The administration has also maintained broader entry restrictions on nationals from several countries, including Afghanistan.

Moulton’s comments also follow a recent federal court ruling that struck down the Trump administration’s policy suspending immigrant visa processing for nationals of 75 countries, including Afghanistan. However, Afghan advocacy organizations have warned that the ruling does not automatically reopen the path to the United States and that applicants should wait for official guidance before making travel plans.

US Congressman Seth Moulton Says He Is Working With Veterans to Evacuate Afghan Allies
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Major Infrastructure Projects Advance in Afghanistan Over Past Five Years

In the water management sector, the Qosh Tepa Canal is one of the major projects that has continued to advance during this period.

Major infrastructure projects have been a key part of the Islamic Emirate’s economic agenda over the past five years.

The projects are aimed at developing infrastructure, strengthening regional connectivity and creating opportunities for the country’s economic growth.

Amir Khan Muttaqi, foreign minister of the Islamic Emirate, attributed progress on major domestic economic projects to the government’s economic policies.

Muttaqi said: “Our economic sector has performed better than at any other time in Afghanistan’s history. Afghanistan has never witnessed this level of progress in factories and infrastructure projects.”

In the water management sector, the Qosh Tepa Canal is one of the major projects that has continued to advance during this period.

The project began in 1401 (2022), and its second phase is now nearing completion.

The first two phases of the Qosh Tepa Canal are part of a six-year plan and are expected to be completed by 2028. Work on the third phase is also expected to begin as the second phase is completed, although no completion date has yet been announced.

Qosh Tepa Canal – Key Facts and Objectives

Route: Balkh, Jawzjan and Faryab
Water source: Amu River
Objective: Supply water to expand agricultural land
Water capacity: Nearly 65 cubic meters per second
Total length: Nearly 285 kilometers
Target land: More than 3 million jeribs

Nabiullah Arghandiwal, spokesperson for the National Development Corporation, said: “Since work began, the National Development Corporation has continued the project intensively and to a high standard. Work on the second phase is now in its final stages.”

In the energy sector, the TAPI project entered its operational phase in Afghanistan in 1403 (2024), with pipeline construction officially beginning.

The pipeline has a route of nearly 816 kilometers through Afghanistan, of which nearly 120 kilometers has so far been laid.

No specific date has been announced for completion of the entire Afghan section, but the Herat section is targeted for completion by this winter.

TAPI – Key Facts and Objectives

Project: Turkmenistan-Afghanistan-Pakistan-India gas pipeline
Countries: Turkmenistan, Afghanistan, Pakistan and India
Capacity: 33 billion cubic meters of gas annually
Afghanistan’s share: Gas transit revenues
Gas supply agreement: 30 years
Purpose: Energy supply and support for industries and power plants

Alongside TAPI, the CASA-1000 project has also resumed after several years of suspension.

Work on the project in Afghanistan is now 80% complete, and the Afghan section is expected to be completed by the beginning of 1406.

Humayun Afghan, spokesperson for the Ministry of Mines and Petroleum, said about progress on TAPI: “Work on the Herat section of the project is expected to be completed by the end of this calendar year and become operational.”

CASA-1000 – Key Facts and Objectives

Objective: Transfer surplus electricity from Central Asia to South Asia
Countries: Afghanistan, Tajikistan, Kyrgyzstan and Pakistan
Transmission capacity: 1,300 megawatts
Afghanistan’s share: Nearly 300 megawatts
Transmission line: Nearly 1,370 kilometers
Project launched: 2016

In the transport and regional connectivity sector, the Afghan Trans project has yet to enter the implementation stage, although a feasibility study agreement was signed in 2025.

Despite efforts to begin the feasibility study, practical work on the process has not started during the past five years.

Afghan Trans – Key Facts and Objectives

Objective: Establish a regional rail and transit corridor
Proposed route: Through Afghanistan, linking Central Asian countries with Pakistan
Focus: Railway development and facilitating regional transit
Status: Has not yet entered the implementation stage
2025: Feasibility study agreement signed

Overall, work on several major infrastructure projects has continued over the past five years, with some entering the implementation stage, though progress has varied from project to project.

Major Infrastructure Projects Advance in Afghanistan Over Past Five Years
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US Visa Suspension Lifted, but Afghan Entry Ban Remains: AfghanEvac

 

The organization urged Afghan families not to travel or visit embassies or consulates without official instructions.

AfghanEvac said in a statement that lifting the suspension on immigrant visa issuance for citizens of 75 countries, including Afghanistan, does not mean that the pathway for Afghans to enter the United States has reopened, as the entry ban on Afghan nationals remains in effect.

The head of the organization urged Afghan families not to make travel plans or visit an embassy or consulate for an interview until they receive official instructions.

The statement said cases that were refused solely on the basis of the visa suspension would be returned to consular officers for reconsideration, but stressed that the outcome is not guaranteed.

AfghanEvac said in part of the statement: “Nothing about your case changed automatically. Do not make travel plans. Do not go to an embassy or consulate for an interview you were not scheduled for, and do not treat news coverage as an instruction to act. Do not withdraw, refile, or pay anyone who tells you the path is now open.”

Abdul Raziq Adil, a migrant rights activist, said: “The main obstacle cannot be resolved through the courts alone. A final solution to this crisis requires three-way cooperation: binding court rulings to end delays, executive action to facilitate security procedures, and congressional action to pass lasting protective legislation.”

The organization called on the US State Department to reconsider these cases and reinstate entry exemptions for Afghan allies.

Mohammad Jamal Muslim, a migrant rights activist, said: “As a country that accepts immigrants, the United States should serve as a model for the world. Unfortunately, at times, its own interests have created hundreds of challenges for migrants, as we have seen in recent months.”

Samir Angar, an international relations analyst, said: “To fulfill its commitments to Afghans, the United States should distinguish between humanitarian obligations, legal commitments and security considerations. It should make the process transparent and simpler to end the uncertainty facing Afghans.”

The Trump administration suspended immigrant visa issuance for citizens of 75 countries, including Afghanistan, in January 2026. The suspension took effect on January 21.

US Visa Suspension Lifted, but Afghan Entry Ban Remains: AfghanEvac
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Former US Envoy Links Kabul Embassy Reopening to Policy Changes

Neumann said there are reasons for reopening the US Embassy in Kabul and that he could envision Washington taking such a step.

Ronald Neumann, former US ambassador to Kabul, says reopening the US Embassy in Kabul would require specific changes in the policies of the Islamic Emirate.

Neumann, who served as US ambassador to Afghanistan from 2005 to 2007, said that despite deep disagreements over the policies of Afghanistan’s current authorities, there are practical reasons for Washington to engage with Kabul.

Neumann said there are reasons for reopening the US Embassy in Kabul and that he could envision Washington taking such a step. He added that the United States is already engaging pragmatically with the Islamic Emirate in some areas, including through visits to Kabul related to the release of American detainees and counterterrorism.

His remarks come as the Islamic Emirate’s spokesman has previously emphasized positive relations with all countries, including the United States, and confirmed contacts between Kabul and Washington.

Political analyst Yousuf Amin Zazai said the United States is pursuing its own intelligence and strategic interests in Afghanistan rather than the country’s development and long-term stability.

Although US policy toward Afghanistan has remained unclear since 2021, Washington has engaged with the Islamic Emirate on a limited number of issues. US officials have previously said they maintain engagement with Afghanistan’s current authorities on certain sensitive security matters.

Former US Envoy Links Kabul Embassy Reopening to Policy Changes
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The Ongoing Betrayal of Our Afghan Allies

Grace Segers

The New Republic

Tens of thousands of Afghans are stuck in legal limbo as the Trump administration makes it more difficult for them to arrive in the United States and resettle.

Five years ago this month, when the U.S. military withdrew from Afghanistan and Kabul fell to the Taliban, Sayed Sadat was out of the country earning his master’s degree at a university in Germany. Having worked with the American government as a lawyer in Afghanistan, Sadat believed it would be relatively easy for himself and his wife to apply for asylum in the United States.

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Despite beginning his application in 2021, he did not arrive in the U.S. until 2024. Because his wife was included in his asylum application, he expected that she would join him shortly after he arrived. She had previously been informed by the United Nations International Office of Migration in Jordan that she would be able to receive a visa, then be evacuated first to the United Arab Emirates and the United States. But conditions changed before she could leave Afghanistan: President Donald Trump took office in January of 2025.

It wasn’t long before she heard the bad news. Sadat’s wife received word that the Trump administration had suspended resettlement of refugees. As a result, she would be unable to leave Afghanistan for an indefinite period of time. Sadat has not seen his wife in five years.

Along with halting the refugee resettlement program, the Trump administration has suspended visas and immigration requests for all Afghan migrants, and included Afghanistan in a travel ban that makes it nearly impossible for any Afghan—including family members of asylum seekers already in the country—to enter the U.S. Even for those relatives who have seen their petitions approved, the State Department refuses to issue travel documents in accordance with the travel ban.

“Every day, when she’s calling me three times a day, she’s asking me six times a day: ‘Is the travel ban over, and is the family reunification open now? When is the time that we’re going to be reunited?’ I don’t have an answer for her,” said Sadat. Meanwhile, he has been unable to obtain his green card because of the pause on visa processing.

Sadat’s situation is common for Afghans living in the U.S., nearly 200,000 of whom arrived in the wake of the U.S. withdrawal from Afghanistan. Tens of thousands were admitted through humanitarian parole, a temporary legal status for evacuees. Others arrived as holders of Special Immigrant Visas, or SIVs, reserved for allies who assisted the U.S. military during the war in Afghanistan. To Afghans and their supporters in the U.S., including many American veterans with whom they worked alongside—an alliance that puts those who assisted U.S. forces at risk now that the Taliban has resumed control—the administration’s policies and congressional inaction are a betrayal of trust.

Speaking in a press call, Sharif Ali, the president of the International Refugee Assistance Project, a legal aid and advocacy organization that represents refugees said, “As we take stock of whether the U.S. has lived up to its obligations and promises to the Afghans who worked and served alongside American military personnel and partners—often at great personal risks—the clear answer, unfortunately, is a resounding no.”

In July, a federal judge ruled that the Trump administration must allow the family members of asylum seekers, like Sadat’s wife, to be permitted to enter the U.S. The State Department has appealed the decision and requested a motion to stay the court’s order.

“It is really hard to achieve that sense of permanency and belonging when your family’s still separated and you don’t know that they’re safe, or you know that they’re not safe,” said said Kristyn Peck, the CEO of the Lutheran Social Services of the National Capital Area, a regional refugee resettlement organization.

Sadat also hears stories from fellow community members as an intake and administrative coordinator in the Sacramento office of World Relief, a refugee resettlement organization. Family separation weighs most heavily on these clients, as their relatives of all ages are stuck in Afghanistan or neighboring countries. Sadat said that sometimes he will hear from parents that their children in Afghanistan feel abandoned, and will no longer speak to them. The uncertainty has contributed to a frustration within the Afghan community writ large, and a sense that they have been left behind by the American government.

“They’re, like, emotionally hurt. Their feelings are hurt, they don’t believe that anything will happen soon. As I don’t expect that anything will happen soon,” said Sadat. “I even heard from one of the Afghan community members here, they said, like, ‘We were betrayed.’”

The Trump administration also removed a previous exception for SIV holders to the travel ban, who are already stuck in an approval process that has been found in court to be unlawfully slow. Shawn VanDiver, the founder and president of #AfghanEvac, an organization that was founded in 2021 to facilitate the arrival of Afghans into the U.S., said [in a press call] that nearly 180,000 people have been approved for visas but are still waiting for interviews.

“They finished all of the paperwork. All they needed is an interview, a medical check, and a visa printed. That’s not a backlog. A backlog is what you have when you’re working through cases. This is what you have when you just stop it,” VanDiver said. He added that roughly 3,000 relatives of current active-duty American service members are stranded outside of the United States, including 150 in Camp As Sayliyah, a refugee camp in Qatar. The 1,100 Afghan families currently living there have been vetted by the U.S. government.

The Trump administration has also ended Temporary Protected Status for Afghans, leaving around 11,000 Afghans in the U.S. unable to work and facing the threat of detention and deportation. Even those with seemingly secure legal status have been subject to new scrutiny. The Department of Homeland Security has sent notices to hundreds of Afghans with green cards who arrived through SIVs saying that the approval letters that formed the basis of their applications have been revoked.

Even though there are “no inadequacies or insufficiencies or credibility issues” with peoples’ legal status that the team can find, Peck said, the re-vetting process creates fear and anxiety.

“We want people to feel like they belong in their communities, and how can you feel like you belong if your very legal status here is at risk?” Peck asked.

In a press call, Danilo Zak, the director of Policy at Church World Service, another refugee resettlement organization, told reporters, “The provisions have left families and children hungrier and sicker, and denied them often the temporary help they need to get established in their new homes.”

Resettlement organizations and charitable groups have been forced to pick up the slack. Zak said that Church World Service programs are opening up food banks for the first time to help support community members in need.

Jonathan Parsons, interim regional director for the resettlement organization World Relief Texas, said that the ending of SNAP eligibility for refugees had required his colleagues to pivot to providing more basic needs. On the upside, this has allowed for strengthening connections with the local community who can help provide resources, but it also introduces significant challenges.

“It is definitely stretching us in our capacity, and also it does add a lot of stress to staff,” Parsons said. “There’s a lot more weighing on our staff on a day-to-day basis, and just feeling like we don’t have the answers, and … we don’t know when the end is in sight for some of these situations.”

Meanwhile, Afghans in the U.S. are afraid of being detained and deported under the stricter immigration enforcement implemented by Trump. Arrests of Afghans already in the country increased in the wake of a shooting by an Afghan national in Washington, D.C. last December that killed one member of the National Guard. Some asylum seekers have been detained during routine required check-ins with Immigration and Customs Enforcement.

Peck said that their organization was offering legal trainings and bringing food to the apartment complexes where clients are living, because they are afraid to leave their homes.

“We’re hearing from food banks that they’re seeing a significant decrease in the cohort of refugee and immigrant populations that would be typically accessing their services, and so we’re trying to do what we can to bring it to them,” she said.

Some Afghans have been detained in their communities. Earlier this summer, Mohammad Nazeer Paktiawal, an Afghan man who had fought alongside the U.S. military, was taken from his home by ICE and died while in custody the day after from an allergic reaction.

Laila Ayub, the co-founder and director of Project Anar, a legal advocacy organization, said [in a press call] that the detention of Afghans was a “direct consequence of restrictive immigration policies and a lack of meaningful access to pathways” to permanent residency. Some Afghans have sought to enter the United States through the southern border, resulting in their being sent to detention centers.

“Many that we are in touch with still today are in detention centers for months or even years. At this point, they face harsh conditions, lack of access to medical care, and often mistreatment based on their nationality and faith,” said Ayub.

More recently, members of Congress from both parties and chambers have introduced legislation to reinstate TPS for Afghanistan. Representative Don Bacon, one of the bill’s Republican cosponsors, has suggested using a discharge petition to force a vote on the legislation on the House floor. Even if the bill were to receive sufficient bipartisan support to receive a vote in the House, it’s unclear whether it could overcome a filibuster in the Senate.

“We have a moral obligation to those we have served with in Afghanistan, who serve by our side, helping us out. We had a promise, and promises made should be promises kept,” Bacon said in a press call.

Sadat said that he remains confident that he will be able to obtain his green card and is hopeful that he will be joined by his wife soon. He added that Afghans may need support in their continued resettlement, but they are also integrated into their communities in the U.S.

“I don’t care about if I don’t have a green card, or I’m not a permanent resident. Still, I see that I’m a member of this family, this community, and I know we will overcome these challenges, and I will keep fighting,” said Sadat.

 

The Ongoing Betrayal of Our Afghan Allies
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Now Is Not The Time To Recognise the Taliban, Says Former Afghan President

Afghanistan International
21 August 2026

Former Afghan President Hamid Karzai says Taliban recognition and legitimacy depend on meeting specific conditions, including allowing girls to return to school and women to work.

Speaking to Bloomberg on Friday, 21 August, Karzai said the international community and the United Nations had repeatedly called on the Taliban to lift restrictions imposed on women and girls.

He stressed that the Taliban must allow girls to return to school and women to resume work if it wants to gain legitimacy and international recognition.

Karzai said this was not merely his personal position, but a demand repeatedly raised by the international community and the United Nations.

Asked whether he supported beginning a process of normalising relations with the Taliban under the current circumstances, Karzai said he wanted a process in which Afghans could come together and find a solution for the country’s future, one in which all people felt included, had a sense of belonging and enjoyed their rights.

He said the goal should be to build a country in which all Afghans could live, work and make progress towards their future inside Afghanistan.

Russia is the only country to have formally recognised the Taliban administration. The international community and regional countries have set conditions for recognition, including respect for human rights, the formation of an inclusive government involving ethnic groups and women, counter-terrorism measures and compliance with international obligations.

The Taliban has rejected these demands, describing them as interference in Afghanistan’s internal affairs.

Karzai said in another part of the interview that he remained in contact with several Taliban leaders and had discussed with them the importance of girls’ education and women returning to work.

He said some Taliban officials who met him understood the importance of the issue and agreed with his position.

The former Afghan president also said that despite the ban on girls’ education beyond the sixth grade and sweeping restrictions on women’s employment, he was not willing to send his daughters abroad to continue their education.

He added that, as an Afghan citizen, he felt responsible for working to create conditions in which girls could study inside the country.

Karzai said sending his daughters abroad for education would amount to accepting the current situation, something he said he would never do.

Now Is Not The Time To Recognise the Taliban, Says Former Afghan President
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Five Years of Taliban Rule Bring Stability – and Misery – to Afghanistan

The Miami Herald

August 21, 2026

For a young Afghan girl preparing for her sixth-grade exams, the fifth anniversary of Taliban rule this weekend was also a countdown to the day her formal education ends.

Under the hardline government, girls can’t study past the sixth grade.

“I am 12 years old, preparing for my sixth-grade exams – the last I will be allowed to take,” the unidentified girl told the Guardian. “What future am I studying for, when that path no longer exists?”

Her predicament embodies how profoundly life has changed since the Taliban took over the country five years ago and the growing anger in the country because of it.

The Taliban swept back to power on Aug. 15, 2021, when the United States and its NATO allies ended their 20-year operation in the country, leading the Western-backed government to collapse. Five years later, Afghanistan is safer but poorer.

For example, violence has sharply fallen under its rule: The government has successfully beaten back its main enemy, the Islamic State-Khorasan Province, the militant group’s local affiliate behind repeated bombings over the past five years. As a result, roadside bombings and terror attacks in Kabul are rarer now.

“Afghans can travel to parts of the country that were once effectively inaccessible without fearing for their lives,” Al Jazeera said. “For a country where even movement within the capital was dangerous, this is a significant achievement.”

Yet greater security within Afghanistan has not brought prosperity. While the economy is growing again – 4.3 percent in 2025 – a rapidly expanding population, aid cuts, weak investment and severe restrictions on women have left millions in dire poverty.

Almost one-quarter of young Afghans remain unemployed. Meanwhile, about 21.9 million people – 45 percent of the population – are expected to need humanitarian assistance this year. At the same time, Afghans complain about poor wages that make it impossible to afford the basics, much less plan for the future.

The Taliban’s successful enforcement of its 2022 ban on poppy cultivation has also intensified rural poverty. “The cash crop’s sudden disappearance has wreaked havoc on farmers,” World Politics Review reported. “A year after the ban, in 2023, agricultural income fell more than 92 percent, from an estimated $1.36 billion to $110 million.

Still, the most profound damage may emerge decades from now. Some 2.4 million girls have been shut out of secondary school, while women are barred from higher education, most jobs and even from leaving their homes without a male relative. The bans could cost Afghanistan $9.6 billion in lost economic activity by 2066.

“The greatest danger facing Afghanistan today is not only that 20 million women and girls are being systematically erased from public life,” wrote human rights lawyer Belquis Ahmadi for Georgetown University’s Institute for Women, Peace and Security. “It is that the world is slowly learning to live with it.”

For years after the Taliban’s takeover, the West shunned the country, demanding that it honor its promises to protect women’s rights and freedoms. However, more recently, foreign governments have been increasingly engaging with the Afghan government, putting practical interests ahead of isolation. While Russia remains the only country formally to recognize the Taliban government, India, China, Iran and Central Asian states have expanded diplomatic and business contacts in pursuit of trade, influence and security.

The West has also re-engaged amid fears of an Islamic State resurgence, with US officials meeting Taliban counterparts and European governments discussing the return of rejected Afghan asylum-seekers in meetings in Brussels that the Taliban portrayed as a coup, Le Monde reported.

Moreover, the Lowy Institute noted that in the US and Europe there are increasing restrictions on demonstrations against the Taliban and other forms of protest: “Major democracies and Western-aligned states increasingly behave as if the Taliban were a durable reality.”

That’s quite a switch from the first time Afghanistan was taken over by the Taliban – from 1996 to 2001 – when “the world largely forgot about the country,” noted Comfort Ero of the International Crisis Group, a Brussels-based think tank.

Still, the major exception is Afghanistan’s continuing conflict with Pakistan, once the Taliban’s chief foreign backer.

Pakistan declared an “open war” on Afghanistan earlier this year following a surge in militant attacks by the Tehrik-i-Taliban Pakistan (TTP), which it says operates from Afghan territory. That has resulted in air and ground strikes by Pakistan and retaliatory hits from the Taliban in the border regions.

Still, analysts say that predictions that either the Taliban wouldn’t last even five years because it would likely succumb to infighting under the strains of governing or would moderate in pursuit of international recognition have been proved wrong. But that doesn’t mean the government is secure, they add.

“What has emerged … is a government that is administratively more capable than its critics expected and politically more brittle than its own propaganda suggests,” wrote the London-based news site Afghanistan International.

Supreme leader Hibatullah Akhundzada continues to hold ultimate authority and surrounds himself with other hardliners. Meanwhile, neither more moderate Taliban figures nor divided opposition groups appear capable of forcing change.

Still, analysts believe that despite the violence subsiding, the population has been alienated because of a lack of rights for both men and women, the economic crisis and deteriorating living conditions, persecutions, executions and forced disappearances of those deemed enemies and a lack of opportunities for anyone not connected to the rulers: They are ethnic Pashtuns from southern Afghanistan and make up about 42 percent of the population.

They add that they believe change is coming from within, possibly leading to another period of deep insecurity and violence for the country. At least three groups have recently announced armed resistance against the Taliban in Badakhshan, a resource-rich northeastern province.

“The Taliban are using medieval ideas of governance to rule a country which faces complex 21st century challenges,” said Michael Semple of Queen’s University Belfast in an interview with RFE/RL.

“Armed resistance is growing,” he added. “The main thing prolonging the Taliban rule is the absence of an effective resistance able to mobilize people on the ground. I think that there is every chance that the Taliban emirate will be overthrown, but I suspect that the force that will overthrow it is not yet in the field.”

Five Years of Taliban Rule Bring Stability – and Misery – to Afghanistan
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Senior National Resistance Front Commander Hasib Panjshiri Killed

Abdullah Khanjani, head of the Political Committee of Afghanistan’s National Resistance Front, confirmed senior commander Hasib Panjshiri has been killed.

Hasib Panjshiri, a senior military commander of Afghanistan’s National Resistance Front (NRF), has been killed, the group’s political leadership confirmed on Thursday.

Abdullah Khanjani, head of the National Resistance Front’s Political Committee, confirmed Panjshiri’s death in a video statement on Thursday evening, describing him as a “great commander.” Khanjani did not provide details about the circumstances of his death, while Kabul has not issued an official statement on the incident.

According to informed sources familiar with the incident, Panjshiri was traveling with seven other NRF fighters from Panjshir toward Andarab in Baghlan province when their convoy was ambushed in the northern Salang area. The group was reportedly traveling in two Toyota Hilux vehicles, with four fighters in each vehicle, and was heading to carry out an operation in Andarab.

The sources said the resistance fighters had checked the route before departing and believed it was safe to travel. However, the Taliban allegedly learned of their planned movement and set up an ambush along the route in northern Salang.

A fierce clash reportedly erupted after the convoy entered the ambush. The four fighters traveling in the first vehicle were killed during the fighting. Panjshiri, who was in the second vehicle with three other fighters, was also killed in the confrontation. The fate of the three men who were with him remains unknown.

Earlier on Thursday, Al-Mersaad, a media outlet affiliated with Taliban intelligence, claimed Panjshiri had been killed in an operation carried out by special forces. The National Resistance Front later confirmed his death but did not verify the details of the operation or disclose the location and timing of the incident.

Ali Maisam Nazary, the NRF’s head of foreign relations, also confirmed Panjshiri’s death in a Facebook post, without providing further information about how he was killed.

Hasib Panjshiri was one of the National Resistance Front’s most prominent military commanders under the leadership of Ahmad Massoud. Before the collapse of the former Afghanistan government in August 2021, he served in Afghanistan’s National Directorate of Security (NDS) special forces.

Senior National Resistance Front Commander Hasib Panjshiri Killed
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Aisha Wahab Makes History as First Afghan American Elected to US Congress

Aisha Wahab has won a special election for California’s 14th Congressional District, becoming the first person of Afghan descent elected to the US Congress, according to Decision Desk HQ.

Wahab, a progressive Democrat and California state senator, defeated Melissa Hernandez in Tuesday’s election to fill the seat vacated by former Democratic Rep. Eric Swalwell, who resigned in April following allegations of sexual misconduct. Swalwell has denied the allegations.

The victory marks another historic milestone for Wahab. She previously became the first Muslim and first Afghan American elected to the California state Senate. Born in New York to Afghan immigrant parents, the 39-year-old has emerged as a prominent progressive voice in California politics.

Wahab had already built a substantial lead over Hernandez in the June nonpartisan primary, finishing more than 25 percentage points ahead. Her campaign nevertheless faced significant outside spending, with super PACs spending at least $5 million in recent weeks to oppose her, according to Politico. At least $3 million of that spending was linked to the American Israel Public Affairs Committee (AIPAC), largely through efforts supporting Hernandez.

Hernandez, a member of the Bay Area Rapid Transit Board and former mayor of Dublin, California, campaigned heavily on affordability, public safety and housing. She will face Wahab again in November, when voters will choose a representative for a full congressional term.

Wahab’s campaign has been closely associated with the progressive wing of the Democratic Party. She has expressed support for Medicare for All, higher taxes on billionaires, abortion rights and immigration policy changes, and has called for an end to US military assistance to Israel while expressing support for Palestinian rights.

Foreign policy was not the central focus of the special-election campaign. Wahab has previously described the situation in Gaza as a genocide and co-authored a 2025 California Senate resolution calling for an end to the humanitarian crisis in Gaza and the release of Israeli hostages held by Hamas.

The election also comes amid a broader debate over women’s representation in Congress. Political scientist Meredith Conroy of California State University, San Bernardino, said Swalwell’s departure removed the significant incumbency advantage that often presents a structural obstacle for women seeking congressional office.

Aisha Wahab Makes History as First Afghan American Elected to US Congress
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