Return of Over Four Million Migrants Deepens Afghanistan’s Economic Crisis

The return of more than four million Afghan migrants from Iran and Pakistan since 2023 has intensified Afghanistan’s economic crisis, worsening unemployment, displacement, and humanitarian pressures.

Since September 2023, more than four million Afghans have been forced to return from Iran and Pakistan, including nearly 1.5 million in the current year alone.

According to Al Jazeera on Thursday, September 18, the sudden influx has placed enormous pressure on Afghanistan’s fragile economy, already weakened by years of conflict, isolation, and shrinking international aid.

The World Bank warned that the surge in returnees has worsened unemployment and could push Afghanistan into a deeper jobs crisis. By 2030, over one million additional young people are expected to enter the labor market, intensifying the strain.

The Bank cautioned that without urgent investment in education, vocational training, entrepreneurship, and job creation, many returnees may once again be forced to migrate abroad in search of survival.

The International Organization for Migration (IOM) added that beyond cross-border returns, 350,000 Afghans were newly displaced in just the first four months of this year due to climate shocks, border closures, and internal insecurity.

Analysts say the mass return has become one of Afghanistan’s greatest humanitarian and economic challenges since 2021, reshaping demographics and overwhelming already stretched infrastructure and social services.

Aid agencies warn that unless international donors and regional partners step in with sustained support, Afghanistan could face spiraling poverty, renewed displacement, and long-term instability affecting millions of families.

Return of Over Four Million Migrants Deepens Afghanistan’s Economic Crisis