Will Democrats’ Midterm Victory Benefit Afghan Refugees?

The fate of Afghans who worked with US forces and American-affiliated organizations over the past two decades is also a major concern.

A Democratic victory in the US midterm elections and securing majorities in both chambers of Congress could pave the way for increased pressure on President Donald Trump’s administration to reconsider its policies toward Afghanistan.

Political analysts say Democrats could use congressional oversight and budgetary powers to push for continued humanitarian assistance to the people of Afghanistan, support for Afghans, and the processing of Afghan immigration cases.

Najib-ur-Rahman Shamal, a political analyst, said: “It is expected that they will be able to influence the US president to change his policies toward Afghanistan and other countries in need of assistance, and also make serious decisions regarding the provision of humanitarian services to the Afghan people and the fate of Afghan migrants.”

The fate of Afghans who worked with US forces and American-affiliated organizations over the past two decades is also a major concern.

Several Democratic lawmakers have previously called for addressing the pending cases of Afghans who cooperated with the United States and resuming the issuance of Special Immigrant Visas (SIVs).

However, a Democratic victory would not necessarily lead to immediate changes in US policies, as Donald Trump remains president and retains executive authority over foreign policy and visa issuance procedures.

Tariq Farhadi, an international relations analyst, said: “A number of candidates had called for a halt to deportation flights, and now they have won. The political landscape in the United States will change significantly after January next year.”

Sayed Massoud, an economic analyst, said: “This will not change US foreign policy; only the tactics will change. It could lead to some flexibility, or it could even result in a slight intensification of existing policies.”

Following the return of Republican President Donald Trump to power in January 2025, Afghans faced new restrictions on immigration and foreign assistance.

His administration suspended refugee admissions and the relocation of some Afghans who had worked with US forces, while also imposing restrictions on the entry of Afghan nationals into the United States.

At the same time, US foreign assistance programs in Afghanistan were suspended.

Will Democrats’ Midterm Victory Benefit Afghan Refugees?